riskbycounty
FEMA NRI 1.19.0Updated Nov 2023 · Coverage 2014–2023Methodology

Baldwin County Disaster Risk

Baldwin County, Alabama

FEMA Risk Rating

Relatively High

National Percentile

97th

of 3,144 counties

State Rank

#3

of 67 (1 = highest risk)

Flood Risk

92th

percentile

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Flood

River, coastal, and surface flooding risk

Moderate

Higher than 92% of US counties

Wildfire

Wildland and wildland-urban interface fire risk

Moderate

Higher than 91% of US counties

Tornado

Tornado and severe thunderstorm risk

Moderate

Higher than 93% of US counties

Earthquake

Seismic activity and ground shaking risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 72% of US counties

Hurricane

Tropical cyclone and hurricane risk

Relatively High

Higher than 99% of US counties

Risk Overview

About Natural Disaster Risk in Baldwin County, Alabama

Baldwin faces high natural disaster risk

Baldwin County's composite risk score of 96.72 ranks it as Relatively High—among the most at-risk counties nationally. This coastal location makes it vulnerable to multiple concurrent hazards, especially hurricanes and flooding.

Highest-risk county in Alabama

Baldwin's 96.72 score far exceeds Alabama's state average of 61.54, making it the state's most disaster-prone county. The gap reflects Baldwin's unique position as Alabama's only coastal county with direct hurricane exposure and extensive water-based development.

Baldwin stands apart from inland counties

Baldwin (96.72) faces dramatically higher risk than inland Alabama counties like Autauga (57.57) and Bibb (39.12). Its exposure to Gulf hurricanes (99.25 risk) and coastal flooding (92.21 risk) creates hazard intensities unmatched elsewhere in the state.

Hurricanes and flooding dominate Baldwin's threats

Hurricane risk peaks at 99.25—among the highest in the nation—while flood risk of 92.21 reflects both storm surge and inland rainfall concerns. Tornado risk of 92.84 adds another layer, meaning Baldwin residents face a rare triple threat of major hazards.

Hurricane coverage is non-negotiable

Baldwin homeowners must carry windstorm or dedicated hurricane coverage—standard homeowners policies exclude wind damage in coastal areas. Flood insurance is equally essential; federal law requires it for mortgaged homes in flood zones, and many Baldwin residents qualify.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index · Narrative reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Preparedness Guide

What to Prepare for in Baldwin County

Top Hazards by Exposure

  1. #1
    HurricanePrepare
    99th percentile
  2. #2
    TornadoPrepare
    93th percentile
  3. #3
    FloodPrepare
    92th percentile

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.19.0 · Percentiles are national (3,144 counties)

Risk Advisory: Baldwin County

Risk Verdict

Baldwin County ranks in the top tier for natural disaster risk nationally, with a composite score at the 97th percentile. Comprehensive household preparedness — including reviewing insurance, maintaining emergency supplies, and knowing evacuation routes — is strongly recommended.

Hazard Breakdown

Hurricane risk is Baldwin County's dominant natural hazard, ranked at the 99th percentile nationally under FEMA's National Risk Index. Tornado ranks second at the 93th percentile nationally. Additional tracked hazards include flood (92th percentile), wildfire (91th percentile), earthquake (72th percentile).

Preparedness Context

Baldwin County ranks at the 99th percentile nationally for hurricane risk. For coastal counties, wind-resistant shutters or impact-rated windows represent the highest single structural investment for reducing property damage. Baldwin County's tornado exposure at the 93th percentile nationally adds a hazard layer that can persist or intensify after hurricane-force winds have passed, particularly in low-lying inland areas. For extended post-storm outages common in Baldwin County's hurricane zone, a portable generator (operated outdoors only) and a supply of non-perishable food for at least seven days provides meaningful household resilience.

Regional Context

Compared to other Alabama counties, Baldwin County runs 35.2 composite risk points higher than the state mean — reflecting above-average hazard concentration in this area.

Is your household prepared for Baldwin County's hazards?

Review FEMA's county-specific preparedness checklists and emergency planning guides.

FEMA Ready Guide →

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the natural disaster risk in Baldwin County, AL?
Baldwin County has a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Relatively High, placing it in the 97th percentile nationally out of 3,144 counties. This composite score reflects the county's overall exposure to natural hazards including floods, wildfires, tornadoes, earthquakes, and hurricanes, weighted by expected annual loss and social vulnerability.
What types of natural hazards affect Baldwin County?
Baldwin County is evaluated for five major natural hazard types: hurricane (99th percentile), tornado (93th percentile), flooding (92th percentile), wildfire (91th percentile), earthquake (72th percentile). The highest-risk hazard is hurricane at the 99th percentile nationally. These scores are derived from FEMA's National Risk Index, which analyzes expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience for each hazard type.
How does Baldwin County risk compare to the Alabama average?
Baldwin County's composite risk percentile is 97th, compared to the Alabama state average of 62th percentile. The state's overall risk rating is Relatively Low. This means Baldwin County faces higher natural disaster risk than the typical county in Alabama.
Is Baldwin County at risk for hurricane?
Yes, Baldwin County's hurricane risk is at the 99th percentile nationally. This places it in the top quartile for this hazard type. For flooding specifically, Baldwin County is at the 92th percentile.
How is natural disaster risk measured?
FEMA's National Risk Index (NRI) calculates risk scores for 18 natural hazard types across all U.S. counties and census tracts. The composite score combines Expected Annual Loss (estimated dollar losses from each hazard), Social Vulnerability (demographic factors affecting disaster impact), and Community Resilience (ability to recover). Percentile scores rank each county against all 3,144 U.S. counties, and risk ratings range from Very Low to Very High.
Why is Baldwin County higher risk than average?
Baldwin County's composite risk score of 97th percentile is above the Alabama state average of 62th percentile. This elevated risk is driven by hurricane exposure (99th percentile), along with tornado and flooding and wildfire and earthquake risk. Geographic location, terrain, climate patterns, and proximity to flood zones or fault lines all influence a county's risk profile.
By Evan Brooks, Data EditorUpdated Reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Data Source

Risk data sourced from the FEMA National Risk Index (NRI). Risk scores are relative rankings (0–100) across all US counties — not absolute risk measures. Higher scores indicate higher relative risk compared to other counties.

Disclaimer: This data is informational only. It is not financial, insurance, or legal advice. Always consult a qualified professional before making insurance or real estate decisions.