riskbycounty
FEMA NRI 1.19.0Updated Nov 2023 · Coverage 2014–2023Methodology

Van Buren County Disaster Risk

Van Buren County, Arkansas

FEMA Risk Rating

Relatively Low

National Percentile

51th

of 3,144 counties

State Rank

#44

of 75 (1 = highest risk)

Flood Risk

48th

percentile

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Flood

River, coastal, and surface flooding risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 48% of US counties

Wildfire

Wildland and wildland-urban interface fire risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 75% of US counties

Tornado

Tornado and severe thunderstorm risk

Moderate

Higher than 83% of US counties

Earthquake

Seismic activity and ground shaking risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 77% of US counties

Hurricane

Tropical cyclone and hurricane risk

Very Low

Higher than 36% of US counties

Risk Overview

About Natural Disaster Risk in Van Buren County, Arkansas

Van Buren County has low disaster risk

Van Buren County's composite risk score of 50.57 sits below the national average, classifying it as relatively low-risk. The county experiences modest natural disaster exposure compared to most American counties. This favorable positioning reflects a balanced hazard profile with no exceptionally severe vulnerabilities.

Below-average risk within Arkansas

Van Buren County scores 50.57, clearly below Arkansas's state average of 55.51, placing it among the state's safest counties. The county ranks favorably for overall disaster risk compared to most Arkansas areas. This positioning reflects reduced composite hazard exposure relative to state trends.

Among the safest nearby counties

Van Buren County's score of 50.57 is competitive with Stone County (49.87) and substantially lower than Sebastian County (86.80). The county experiences notably lower tornado and earthquake risks than immediately adjacent areas to the east. Its geographic location in the northwestern Ozarks contributes to this comparative safety advantage.

Tornadoes and wildfires require monitoring

Tornado risk in Van Buren County scores 82.70, creating the primary severe weather threat despite being below-average nationally. Wildfire risk reaches 75.19, creating secondary exposure during dry periods, particularly in forested portions of the county. Earthquake risk of 76.88 is moderate but warrants structural awareness.

Standard coverage handles primary hazards

Van Buren County homeowners should maintain insurance with adequate windstorm and hail coverage for the 82.70 tornado risk—typically included in standard policies. Wildfire insurance or endorsements are worth considering if your property borders forested areas, given the 75.19 wildfire score. A basic tornado safety plan and weather alert subscription will adequately address the county's main disaster risks.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index · Narrative reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Preparedness Guide

What to Prepare for in Van Buren County

Top Hazards by Exposure

  1. #1
    TornadoPrepare
    83th percentile
  2. #2
    EarthquakePrepare
    77th percentile
  3. #3
    WildfirePrepare
    75th percentile

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.19.0 · Percentiles are national (3,144 counties)

Risk Advisory: Van Buren County

Risk Verdict

Natural hazard pressure in Van Buren County is below the national midpoint, with a composite score at the 51th percentile. Proactive emergency planning and awareness of the specific hazards driving Van Buren County's score can meaningfully reduce household risk.

Hazard Breakdown

Tornado risk is Van Buren County's dominant natural hazard, ranked at the 83th percentile nationally under FEMA's National Risk Index. Earthquake ranks second at the 77th percentile nationally. Additional tracked hazards include wildfire (75th percentile), flood (48th percentile), hurricane (36th percentile).

Preparedness Context

With tornado ranked at the 83th percentile nationally, Van Buren County sits in a high-exposure zone where the difference between outcomes often comes down to proximity to a reinforced interior shelter and seconds of warning time. Earthquake is the second hazard driver for Van Buren County at the 77th percentile nationally, meaning households should maintain awareness of both severe-weather and earthquake-specific warning systems. For Van Buren County households, safe rooms certified to FEMA 320/361 standards offer the highest protection during a direct tornado hit; households without a safe room should locate the innermost lowest-floor room in their building and practice the route to it before storm season.

Regional Context

Van Buren County's risk score is broadly comparable to the Arkansas county average, with a 4.9-point gap that places the county near the center of the state's hazard distribution.

Is your household prepared for Van Buren County's hazards?

Review FEMA's county-specific preparedness checklists and emergency planning guides.

FEMA Ready Guide →

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the natural disaster risk in Van Buren County, AR?
Van Buren County has a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Relatively Low, placing it in the 51th percentile nationally out of 3,144 counties. This composite score reflects the county's overall exposure to natural hazards including floods, wildfires, tornadoes, earthquakes, and hurricanes, weighted by expected annual loss and social vulnerability.
What types of natural hazards affect Van Buren County?
Van Buren County is evaluated for five major natural hazard types: tornado (83th percentile), earthquake (77th percentile), wildfire (75th percentile), flooding (48th percentile), hurricane (36th percentile). The highest-risk hazard is tornado at the 83th percentile nationally. These scores are derived from FEMA's National Risk Index, which analyzes expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience for each hazard type.
How does Van Buren County risk compare to the Arkansas average?
Van Buren County's composite risk percentile is 51th, compared to the Arkansas state average of 56th percentile. The state's overall risk rating is Relatively Low. This means Van Buren County faces lower natural disaster risk than the typical county in Arkansas.
Is Van Buren County at risk for tornado?
Yes, Van Buren County's tornado risk is at the 83th percentile nationally. This places it in the top quartile for this hazard type. For flooding specifically, Van Buren County is at the 48th percentile.
How is natural disaster risk measured?
FEMA's National Risk Index (NRI) calculates risk scores for 18 natural hazard types across all U.S. counties and census tracts. The composite score combines Expected Annual Loss (estimated dollar losses from each hazard), Social Vulnerability (demographic factors affecting disaster impact), and Community Resilience (ability to recover). Percentile scores rank each county against all 3,144 U.S. counties, and risk ratings range from Very Low to Very High.
Is Van Buren County a safe place to live?
Van Buren County's composite risk score of 51th percentile is below the Arkansas state average of 56th percentile, indicating relatively lower exposure to natural hazards. However, no county is completely risk-free. The primary hazard type is tornado at the 83th percentile. Residents should still maintain emergency preparedness plans and appropriate insurance coverage.
By Evan Brooks, Data EditorUpdated Reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Data Source

Risk data sourced from the FEMA National Risk Index (NRI). Risk scores are relative rankings (0–100) across all US counties — not absolute risk measures. Higher scores indicate higher relative risk compared to other counties.

Disclaimer: This data is informational only. It is not financial, insurance, or legal advice. Always consult a qualified professional before making insurance or real estate decisions.