riskbycounty
FEMA NRI 1.19.0Updated Nov 2023 · Coverage 2014–2023Methodology

San Diego County Disaster Risk

San Diego County, California

FEMA Risk Rating

Very High

National Percentile

100th

of 3,144 counties

State Rank

#7

of 58 (1 = highest risk)

Flood Risk

100th

percentile

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Flood

River, coastal, and surface flooding risk

Very High

Higher than 100% of US counties

Wildfire

Wildland and wildland-urban interface fire risk

Very High

Higher than 100% of US counties

Tornado

Tornado and severe thunderstorm risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 64% of US counties

Earthquake

Seismic activity and ground shaking risk

Very High

Higher than 100% of US counties

Hurricane

Tropical cyclone and hurricane risk

Very Low

Higher than 8% of US counties

Risk Overview

About Natural Disaster Risk in San Diego County, California

San Diego ranks in nation's highest-risk tier

San Diego County's composite risk score of 99.71 marks it as "Very High" and places it among America's most disaster-prone counties. This score significantly exceeds California's average of 88.72, reflecting severe exposure across multiple hazard categories.

Third-riskiest county in California

San Diego ranks just behind San Bernardino and Riverside in overall state risk, driven by maximal wildfire risk (100.00), near-maximal earthquake risk (99.68), and critical flood risk (99.75). The county's dense population amplifies the impact of these natural disasters.

Far riskier than adjacent Riverside County south

San Diego (99.71) essentially matches Riverside (99.90) and San Bernardino (99.84) in overall risk, though its wildfire exposure is highest in the state at 100.00. Neighboring San Luis Obispo (95.90) faces notably lower threat levels.

Wildfires dominate; earthquakes and floods critical

San Diego's wildfire risk scores 100.00—the absolute maximum and state's highest—with annual fire seasons destroying hundreds of structures and displacing thousands. Earthquake (99.68) and flood (99.75) risks remain severe, creating overlapping disaster scenarios.

Wildfire insurance is non-negotiable in San Diego

San Diego residents face the state's highest wildfire risk and must secure wildfire coverage through their insurer or California's FAIR Plan immediately. Add earthquake coverage and verify flood insurance—this county requires the full suite of disaster protection.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index · Narrative reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Preparedness Guide

What to Prepare for in San Diego County

Top Hazards by Exposure

  1. #1
    WildfirePrepare
    100th percentile
  2. #2
    FloodPrepare
    100th percentile
  3. #3
    EarthquakePrepare
    100th percentile

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.19.0 · Percentiles are national (3,144 counties)

Risk Advisory: San Diego County

Risk Verdict

Natural disaster risk in San Diego County ranks at the 100th percentile nationally, placing this county among the most hazard-exposed in the country. At this risk level, having a documented household preparedness plan — not just awareness — is the meaningful next step for San Diego County residents.

Hazard Breakdown

Wildfire risk is San Diego County's dominant natural hazard, ranked at the 100th percentile nationally under FEMA's National Risk Index. Flood ranks second at the 100th percentile nationally. Additional tracked hazards include earthquake (100th percentile), tornado (64th percentile), hurricane (8th percentile).

Preparedness Context

San Diego County sits at the 100th percentile for wildfire exposure. Signing up for San Diego County's county emergency alert system and knowing the pre-planned evacuation route before conditions deteriorate are the two highest-value preparedness actions for residents here. The county's flood exposure at the 100th percentile nationally complements the wildfire risk — saturating rain after burn scarring often triggers secondary flood and debris flow events. In San Diego County, wildfire smoke often precedes the flame front by hours or days; households benefit from tracking EPA's AirNow.gov and having HEPA air filtration available as a first line of indoor protection when air quality alerts are issued.

Regional Context

The California county average is 11.0 composite points below San Diego County's score, a gap that reflects the county's elevated position in the state's hazard distribution.

Is your household prepared for San Diego County's hazards?

Review FEMA's county-specific preparedness checklists and emergency planning guides.

FEMA Ready Guide →

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the natural disaster risk in San Diego County, CA?
San Diego County has a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Very High, placing it in the 100th percentile nationally out of 3,144 counties. This composite score reflects the county's overall exposure to natural hazards including floods, wildfires, tornadoes, earthquakes, and hurricanes, weighted by expected annual loss and social vulnerability.
What types of natural hazards affect San Diego County?
San Diego County is evaluated for five major natural hazard types: wildfire (100th percentile), flooding (100th percentile), earthquake (100th percentile), tornado (64th percentile), hurricane (8th percentile). The highest-risk hazard is wildfire at the 100th percentile nationally. These scores are derived from FEMA's National Risk Index, which analyzes expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience for each hazard type.
How does San Diego County risk compare to the California average?
San Diego County's composite risk percentile is 100th, compared to the California state average of 89th percentile. The state's overall risk rating is Relatively Moderate. This means San Diego County faces higher natural disaster risk than the typical county in California.
Is San Diego County at risk for wildfire?
Yes, San Diego County's wildfire risk is at the 100th percentile nationally. This places it in the top quartile for this hazard type. For flooding specifically, San Diego County is at the 100th percentile.
How is natural disaster risk measured?
FEMA's National Risk Index (NRI) calculates risk scores for 18 natural hazard types across all U.S. counties and census tracts. The composite score combines Expected Annual Loss (estimated dollar losses from each hazard), Social Vulnerability (demographic factors affecting disaster impact), and Community Resilience (ability to recover). Percentile scores rank each county against all 3,144 U.S. counties, and risk ratings range from Very Low to Very High.
Why is San Diego County higher risk than average?
San Diego County's composite risk score of 100th percentile is above the California state average of 89th percentile. This elevated risk is driven by wildfire exposure (100th percentile), along with flooding and earthquake and tornado risk. Geographic location, terrain, climate patterns, and proximity to flood zones or fault lines all influence a county's risk profile.
By Evan Brooks, Data EditorUpdated Reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Data Source

Risk data sourced from the FEMA National Risk Index (NRI). Risk scores are relative rankings (0–100) across all US counties — not absolute risk measures. Higher scores indicate higher relative risk compared to other counties.

Disclaimer: This data is informational only. It is not financial, insurance, or legal advice. Always consult a qualified professional before making insurance or real estate decisions.