riskbycounty
FEMA NRI 1.19.0Updated Nov 2023 · Coverage 2014–2023Methodology

St. Johns County Disaster Risk

St. Johns County, Florida

FEMA Risk Rating

Relatively Moderate

National Percentile

88th

of 3,144 counties

State Rank

#36

of 67 (1 = highest risk)

Flood Risk

89th

percentile

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Flood

River, coastal, and surface flooding risk

Moderate

Higher than 89% of US counties

Wildfire

Wildland and wildland-urban interface fire risk

Moderate

Higher than 89% of US counties

Tornado

Tornado and severe thunderstorm risk

Moderate

Higher than 85% of US counties

Earthquake

Seismic activity and ground shaking risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 57% of US counties

Hurricane

Tropical cyclone and hurricane risk

Moderate

Higher than 94% of US counties

Risk Overview

About Natural Disaster Risk in St. Johns County, Florida

St. Johns faces moderate national risk

St. Johns County's composite risk score of 87.53 places it well above the U.S. average for natural disaster exposure. This "Relatively Moderate" rating indicates consistent, multi-hazard risk that residents should actively manage through appropriate preparedness and insurance.

Above Florida's average risk level

With a score of 87.53, St. Johns substantially exceeds Florida's state average of 75.74, reflecting significant exposure across multiple hazard types. The county's hurricane risk of 93.70 and wildfire risk of 89.41 are the strongest risk drivers relative to other Florida counties.

Moderate risk in coastal cluster

St. Johns' 87.53 risk score places it between neighboring Seminole County (91.44) and Taylor County (65.43), reflecting its exposure as a coastal-to-central region. Its hurricane risk of 93.70 is notably higher than inland counties, reflecting its Atlantic proximity.

Hurricanes and wildfires lead threats

Hurricane risk scores 93.70 in St. Johns, driven by exposure to Atlantic tropical cyclones and associated storm surge, while wildfire risk reaches 89.41 across forested areas. Flooding is also substantial at 89.41, particularly affecting coastal neighborhoods and low-lying inland zones.

Prioritize hurricane and flood protection

St. Johns homeowners must carry flood insurance—either through private providers or the NFIP—given the 89.41 flood risk score and coastal vulnerability. Ensure your homeowners policy covers hurricane damage, upgrade to impact-resistant doors and windows, and maintain clearance around your home to reduce wildfire risk.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index · Narrative reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Preparedness Guide

What to Prepare for in St. Johns County

Top Hazards by Exposure

  1. #1
    HurricanePrepare
    94th percentile
  2. #2
    FloodPrepare
    89th percentile
  3. #3
    WildfirePrepare
    89th percentile

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.19.0 · Percentiles are national (3,144 counties)

Risk Advisory: St. Johns County

Risk Verdict

Natural hazard risk in St. Johns County is higher than the majority of U.S. counties, with a national composite rank of 88th. St. Johns County's elevated composite score reflects cumulative multi-hazard exposure; households should prepare for the county's two or three primary hazard types.

Hazard Breakdown

Hurricane risk is St. Johns County's dominant natural hazard, ranked at the 94th percentile nationally under FEMA's National Risk Index. Flood ranks second at the 89th percentile nationally. Additional tracked hazards include wildfire (89th percentile), tornado (85th percentile), earthquake (57th percentile).

Preparedness Context

At the 94th percentile nationally for hurricane risk, St. Johns County is in a zone where flood insurance matters beyond the primary wind risk: NFIP flood insurance requires a 30-day waiting period before taking effect, making off-season enrollment the correct timing. St. Johns County's flood exposure at the 89th percentile nationally adds a hazard layer that can persist or intensify after hurricane-force winds have passed, particularly in low-lying inland areas. For St. Johns County households, the hurricane preparedness calendar matters: flood insurance has a 30-day waiting period, wind-hardening retrofits take weeks to schedule, and evacuation route scouting is best done before a storm watch is issued.

Regional Context

A composite score 11.8 points above the Florida state average puts St. Johns County in a higher-risk category than most counties in the state.

Is your household prepared for St. Johns County's hazards?

Review FEMA's county-specific preparedness checklists and emergency planning guides.

FEMA Ready Guide →

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the natural disaster risk in St. Johns County, FL?
St. Johns County has a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Relatively Moderate, placing it in the 88th percentile nationally out of 3,144 counties. This composite score reflects the county's overall exposure to natural hazards including floods, wildfires, tornadoes, earthquakes, and hurricanes, weighted by expected annual loss and social vulnerability.
What types of natural hazards affect St. Johns County?
St. Johns County is evaluated for five major natural hazard types: hurricane (94th percentile), flooding (89th percentile), wildfire (89th percentile), tornado (85th percentile), earthquake (57th percentile). The highest-risk hazard is hurricane at the 94th percentile nationally. These scores are derived from FEMA's National Risk Index, which analyzes expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience for each hazard type.
How does St. Johns County risk compare to the Florida average?
St. Johns County's composite risk percentile is 88th, compared to the Florida state average of 76th percentile. The state's overall risk rating is Relatively Low. This means St. Johns County faces higher natural disaster risk than the typical county in Florida.
Is St. Johns County at risk for hurricane?
Yes, St. Johns County's hurricane risk is at the 94th percentile nationally. This places it in the top quartile for this hazard type. For flooding specifically, St. Johns County is at the 89th percentile.
How is natural disaster risk measured?
FEMA's National Risk Index (NRI) calculates risk scores for 18 natural hazard types across all U.S. counties and census tracts. The composite score combines Expected Annual Loss (estimated dollar losses from each hazard), Social Vulnerability (demographic factors affecting disaster impact), and Community Resilience (ability to recover). Percentile scores rank each county against all 3,144 U.S. counties, and risk ratings range from Very Low to Very High.
Why is St. Johns County higher risk than average?
St. Johns County's composite risk score of 88th percentile is above the Florida state average of 76th percentile. This elevated risk is driven by hurricane exposure (94th percentile), along with flooding and wildfire and tornado and earthquake risk. Geographic location, terrain, climate patterns, and proximity to flood zones or fault lines all influence a county's risk profile.
By Evan Brooks, Data EditorUpdated Reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Data Source

Risk data sourced from the FEMA National Risk Index (NRI). Risk scores are relative rankings (0–100) across all US counties — not absolute risk measures. Higher scores indicate higher relative risk compared to other counties.

Disclaimer: This data is informational only. It is not financial, insurance, or legal advice. Always consult a qualified professional before making insurance or real estate decisions.