riskbycounty
FEMA NRI 1.19.0Updated Nov 2023 · Coverage 2014–2023Methodology

Davis County Disaster Risk

Davis County, Iowa

FEMA Risk Rating

Relatively Low

National Percentile

50th

of 3,144 counties

State Rank

#25

of 99 (1 = highest risk)

Flood Risk

33th

percentile

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Flood

River, coastal, and surface flooding risk

Very Low

Higher than 33% of US counties

Wildfire

Wildland and wildland-urban interface fire risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 69% of US counties

Tornado

Tornado and severe thunderstorm risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 69% of US counties

Earthquake

Seismic activity and ground shaking risk

Very Low

Higher than 33% of US counties

Hurricane

Tropical cyclone and hurricane risk

Very Low

Higher than 14% of US counties

Risk Overview

About Natural Disaster Risk in Davis County, Iowa

Davis County Sits at Moderate Risk Nationally

Davis County's composite risk score of 50.35 classifies it as "Relatively Low" but remains above Iowa's state average of 39.68, reflecting balanced exposure across multiple hazard types. The county's risk profile is driven equally by wildfire and tornado threats, each scoring above 68, creating a distinctive dual-hazard environment. This balance distinguishes Davis from many peer counties that face single dominant threats.

Upper-Middle Risk Tier in Iowa Landscape

Davis County ranks in the upper-middle range among Iowa's 99 counties for overall disaster risk, with notable elevation in wildfire (68.64) and tornado (68.73) metrics. Both hazards score significantly higher than the state average, placing Davis among counties most exposed to these specific threats. The county's relatively low flood risk at 32.67 provides modest relief compared to riverine neighbors.

Wildfire Risk Sets Davis Apart Locally

Davis County's wildfire score of 68.64 substantially exceeds neighboring Van Buren, Wapello, and Appanoose counties, reflecting its terrain and vegetation patterns. Tornado risks are comparable to neighbors, but Davis's elevated wildfire exposure creates a unique vulnerability profile for the region. Among immediate surrounding counties, Davis faces the most acute combined wildfire-tornado exposure.

Wildfires and Tornadoes Drive Your Risk

Wildfire risk at 68.64 is exceptionally high for eastern Iowa, making defensible space around your home and ember-resistant landscaping practical priorities. Tornado risk at 68.73 matches this threat level, requiring both weather preparedness plans and a safe room strategy for severe spring storms. Earthquake risk at 33.27 is moderate but warrants basic structural assessment of older homes.

Address Wildfire and Tornado Exposure

Create a 30-foot defensible space around your home by removing dead vegetation, overhanging branches, and leaf litter to mitigate wildfire spread. Install a weather alert system and designate a basement safe room for tornado protection, testing your plan quarterly. Ensure your homeowner's policy explicitly covers both wind and wildfire damage, and review coverage limits annually with your insurance agent.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index · Narrative reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Preparedness Guide

What to Prepare for in Davis County

Top Hazards by Exposure

  1. #1
    TornadoPrepare
    69th percentile
  2. #2
    WildfirePrepare
    69th percentile
  3. #3
    EarthquakePrepare
    33th percentile

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.19.0 · Percentiles are national (3,144 counties)

Risk Advisory: Davis County

Risk Verdict

Davis County's FEMA risk score places it at the 50th percentile nationally, indicating lower-than-typical exposure for a U.S. county. A moderate composite score often means one or two hazard categories are doing the heavy lifting — knowing which ones matters for preparation.

Hazard Breakdown

Tornado risk is Davis County's dominant natural hazard, ranked at the 69th percentile nationally under FEMA's National Risk Index. Wildfire ranks second at the 69th percentile nationally. Additional tracked hazards include earthquake (33th percentile), flood (33th percentile), hurricane (14th percentile).

Preparedness Context

Tornado exposure at the 69th percentile nationally makes Davis County a county where a battery-powered weather radio — not just smartphone apps — is a worthwhile household investment, given that mobile networks often fail during severe storms. Alongside tornado exposure, wildfire at the 69th percentile nationally means Davis County households face multi-hazard severe-weather seasons that benefit from a single integrated emergency plan covering both threats. In Davis County, tornado watches indicate favorable atmospheric conditions while warnings mean rotation has been detected — households benefit from understanding this distinction so they shelter immediately on a warning, not after seeking visual confirmation.

Regional Context

The Iowa county average is 10.7 composite points below Davis County's score, a gap that reflects the county's elevated position in the state's hazard distribution.

Is your household prepared for Davis County's hazards?

Review FEMA's county-specific preparedness checklists and emergency planning guides.

FEMA Ready Guide →

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the natural disaster risk in Davis County, IA?
Davis County has a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Relatively Low, placing it in the 50th percentile nationally out of 3,144 counties. This composite score reflects the county's overall exposure to natural hazards including floods, wildfires, tornadoes, earthquakes, and hurricanes, weighted by expected annual loss and social vulnerability.
What types of natural hazards affect Davis County?
Davis County is evaluated for five major natural hazard types: tornado (69th percentile), wildfire (69th percentile), earthquake (33th percentile), flooding (33th percentile), hurricane (14th percentile). The highest-risk hazard is tornado at the 69th percentile nationally. These scores are derived from FEMA's National Risk Index, which analyzes expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience for each hazard type.
How does Davis County risk compare to the Iowa average?
Davis County's composite risk percentile is 50th, compared to the Iowa state average of 40th percentile. The state's overall risk rating is Very Low. This means Davis County faces higher natural disaster risk than the typical county in Iowa.
Is Davis County at risk for tornado?
Yes, Davis County's tornado risk is at the 69th percentile nationally. This is above the national median. For flooding specifically, Davis County is at the 33th percentile.
How is natural disaster risk measured?
FEMA's National Risk Index (NRI) calculates risk scores for 18 natural hazard types across all U.S. counties and census tracts. The composite score combines Expected Annual Loss (estimated dollar losses from each hazard), Social Vulnerability (demographic factors affecting disaster impact), and Community Resilience (ability to recover). Percentile scores rank each county against all 3,144 U.S. counties, and risk ratings range from Very Low to Very High.
Why is Davis County higher risk than average?
Davis County's composite risk score of 50th percentile is above the Iowa state average of 40th percentile. This elevated risk is driven by tornado exposure (69th percentile), along with wildfire risk. Geographic location, terrain, climate patterns, and proximity to flood zones or fault lines all influence a county's risk profile.
By Evan Brooks, Data EditorUpdated Reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Data Source

Risk data sourced from the FEMA National Risk Index (NRI). Risk scores are relative rankings (0–100) across all US counties — not absolute risk measures. Higher scores indicate higher relative risk compared to other counties.

Disclaimer: This data is informational only. It is not financial, insurance, or legal advice. Always consult a qualified professional before making insurance or real estate decisions.