riskbycounty
FEMA NRI 1.19.0Updated Nov 2023 · Coverage 2014–2023Methodology

Estill County Disaster Risk

Estill County, Kentucky

FEMA Risk Rating

Very Low

National Percentile

42th

of 3,144 counties

State Rank

#52

of 120 (1 = highest risk)

Flood Risk

64th

percentile

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Flood

River, coastal, and surface flooding risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 64% of US counties

Wildfire

Wildland and wildland-urban interface fire risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 45% of US counties

Tornado

Tornado and severe thunderstorm risk

Very Low

Higher than 38% of US counties

Earthquake

Seismic activity and ground shaking risk

Very Low

Higher than 35% of US counties

Hurricane

Tropical cyclone and hurricane risk

Very Low

Higher than 28% of US counties

Risk Overview

About Natural Disaster Risk in Estill County, Kentucky

Estill ranks very low on national risk scale

With a composite risk score of 41.79, Estill County sits well below the national average and poses minimal exposure to major natural disasters. This very low rating means residents face fewer compound hazard threats than most U.S. counties, though localized flood risks warrant attention in vulnerable areas.

Among Kentucky's safest counties

Estill's score of 41.79 ranks it near the bottom of Kentucky's risk spectrum, sitting well below the state average of 44.21. The county's profile reflects relatively modest exposure across nearly all major hazard categories compared to higher-risk peers.

Safer than nearby eastern Kentucky counties

Estill's risk profile is significantly lower than neighboring Floyd County (94.18), one of Kentucky's highest-risk counties, and moderately better positioned than Fayette County (92.05). Among comparable Appalachian-area neighbors, Estill sits in the safer tier.

Flooding poses the most pressing threat

Estill's flood risk score of 63.90 is its highest hazard exposure, driven by the county's topography and proximity to waterways. Wildfire risk (44.66) represents a secondary concern, particularly during dry seasons in forested areas across the county.

Flood insurance makes the most sense

Although Estill's overall risk is low, residents in flood-prone zones should secure flood insurance—standard homeowner policies don't cover water damage. A modest earthquake insurance rider provides affordable added protection given the county's low seismic risk.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index · Narrative reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Preparedness Guide

What to Prepare for in Estill County

Top Hazards by Exposure

  1. #1
    FloodPrepare
    64th percentile
  2. #2
    WildfirePrepare
    45th percentile
  3. #3
    TornadoPrepare
    38th percentile

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.19.0 · Percentiles are national (3,144 counties)

Risk Advisory: Estill County

Risk Verdict

At the 42th percentile nationally, Estill County experiences relatively limited natural hazard pressure compared to most of the country. A 42th percentile score positions Estill County among the nation's lower-risk counties, a genuinely favorable outcome — one that simple, low-cost preparedness habits can reinforce further.

Hazard Breakdown

Flood risk is Estill County's dominant natural hazard, ranked at the 64th percentile nationally under FEMA's National Risk Index. Wildfire ranks second at the 45th percentile nationally. Additional tracked hazards include tornado (38th percentile), earthquake (35th percentile), hurricane (28th percentile).

Preparedness Context

Estill County sits at the 64th percentile nationally for flood exposure. Knowing your property's flood zone designation — available at FEMA's Flood Map Service Center — is the first step toward understanding actual exposure and insurance options. Secondary wildfire exposure at the 45th percentile adds a second preparedness layer; households should review coverage options and alert sign-up for both hazard types. Regardless of specific hazard, Estill County households benefit from a practiced communication plan: a designated out-of-state contact and a pre-agreed evacuation destination established before the season's peak risk period.

Regional Context

The county's composite score diverges by only 2.4 points from the Kentucky average, making Estill County's hazard profile broadly typical for this part of the state.

Is your household prepared for Estill County's hazards?

Review FEMA's county-specific preparedness checklists and emergency planning guides.

FEMA Ready Guide →

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the natural disaster risk in Estill County, KY?
Estill County has a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Very Low, placing it in the 42th percentile nationally out of 3,144 counties. This composite score reflects the county's overall exposure to natural hazards including floods, wildfires, tornadoes, earthquakes, and hurricanes, weighted by expected annual loss and social vulnerability.
What types of natural hazards affect Estill County?
Estill County is evaluated for five major natural hazard types: flooding (64th percentile), wildfire (45th percentile), tornado (38th percentile), earthquake (35th percentile), hurricane (28th percentile). The highest-risk hazard is flooding at the 64th percentile nationally. These scores are derived from FEMA's National Risk Index, which analyzes expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience for each hazard type.
How does Estill County risk compare to the Kentucky average?
Estill County's composite risk percentile is 42th, compared to the Kentucky state average of 44th percentile. The state's overall risk rating is Relatively Low. This means Estill County faces lower natural disaster risk than the typical county in Kentucky.
Is Estill County at risk for flooding?
Yes, Estill County's flooding risk is at the 64th percentile nationally. This is above the national median.
How is natural disaster risk measured?
FEMA's National Risk Index (NRI) calculates risk scores for 18 natural hazard types across all U.S. counties and census tracts. The composite score combines Expected Annual Loss (estimated dollar losses from each hazard), Social Vulnerability (demographic factors affecting disaster impact), and Community Resilience (ability to recover). Percentile scores rank each county against all 3,144 U.S. counties, and risk ratings range from Very Low to Very High.
Is Estill County a safe place to live?
Estill County's composite risk score of 42th percentile is below the Kentucky state average of 44th percentile, indicating relatively lower exposure to natural hazards. However, no county is completely risk-free. The primary hazard type is flooding at the 64th percentile. Residents should still maintain emergency preparedness plans and appropriate insurance coverage.
By Evan Brooks, Data EditorUpdated Reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Data Source

Risk data sourced from the FEMA National Risk Index (NRI). Risk scores are relative rankings (0–100) across all US counties — not absolute risk measures. Higher scores indicate higher relative risk compared to other counties.

Disclaimer: This data is informational only. It is not financial, insurance, or legal advice. Always consult a qualified professional before making insurance or real estate decisions.