riskbycounty
FEMA NRI 1.19.0Updated Nov 2023 · Coverage 2014–2023Methodology

Nelson County Disaster Risk

Nelson County, Kentucky

FEMA Risk Rating

Relatively Low

National Percentile

55th

of 3,144 counties

State Rank

#37

of 120 (1 = highest risk)

Flood Risk

63th

percentile

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Flood

River, coastal, and surface flooding risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 63% of US counties

Wildfire

Wildland and wildland-urban interface fire risk

Very Low

Higher than 25% of US counties

Tornado

Tornado and severe thunderstorm risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 69% of US counties

Earthquake

Seismic activity and ground shaking risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 70% of US counties

Hurricane

Tropical cyclone and hurricane risk

Very Low

Higher than 25% of US counties

Risk Overview

About Natural Disaster Risk in Nelson County, Kentucky

Nelson County's risk exceeds national norms

Nelson County scores 55.18 on the composite risk scale—well above Kentucky's state average of 44.21—making it one of the state's more hazard-exposed counties. Tornadoes (69.08) and floods (62.66) drive this elevated profile, positioning the county in the upper tier of disaster vulnerability.

Among Kentucky's riskier counties

Nelson County's 55.18 composite score places it in the higher-risk quartile across Kentucky's 120 counties, significantly outpacing the state average. Only a handful of counties exceed Nelson's vulnerability level, making disaster preparedness and resilience investments particularly important here.

Notably higher risk than surrounding areas

Nelson County's 55.18 risk score considerably exceeds nearby Oldham County (55.98—nearly identical), but towers over lower-risk neighbors like Pendleton County (29.90) and Owen County (15.20) to the north and east. The county's exceptional tornado (69.08) and flood (62.66) exposures set it apart from its quieter regional peers.

Tornadoes and floods are serious threats

Nelson County residents face severe tornado risk (69.08) and substantial flood risk (62.66), both ranking in the upper range of state hazards. While earthquake exposure (70.26) is notable, tornadoes and flooding present the most immediate and frequent dangers requiring preparedness planning.

Flood and storm insurance are essential

Homeowners in Nelson County should prioritize flood insurance through the National Flood Insurance Program, given the county's 62.66 flood risk score. Storm-resistant construction, reinforced roofing, and comprehensive homeowners coverage are critical investments against the county's exceptionally high 69.08 tornado threat.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index · Narrative reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Preparedness Guide

What to Prepare for in Nelson County

Top Hazards by Exposure

  1. #1
    EarthquakePrepare
    70th percentile
  2. #2
    TornadoPrepare
    69th percentile
  3. #3
    FloodPrepare
    63th percentile

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.19.0 · Percentiles are national (3,144 counties)

Risk Advisory: Nelson County

Risk Verdict

Nelson County's FEMA risk score places it at the 55th percentile nationally, indicating lower-than-typical exposure for a U.S. county. A moderate composite score often means one or two hazard categories are doing the heavy lifting — knowing which ones matters for preparation.

Hazard Breakdown

Earthquake risk is Nelson County's dominant natural hazard, ranked at the 70th percentile nationally under FEMA's National Risk Index. Tornado ranks second at the 69th percentile nationally. Additional tracked hazards include flood (63th percentile), hurricane (25th percentile), wildfire (25th percentile).

Preparedness Context

With earthquake ranked as the top hazard at the 70th percentile nationally, Nelson County residents benefit from reviewing homeowners insurance: standard policies rarely cover earthquake damage, and separate earthquake insurance must be purchased before an event. Tornado at the 69th percentile nationally is a separate hazard dimension for Nelson County that requires different protective strategies from earthquake preparedness. Earthquake insurance in Nelson County is typically offered as a separate policy — standard homeowners coverage excludes ground movement. Reviewing this gap and comparing policy options before an event is a financial preparedness step with potentially large consequences.

Regional Context

The Kentucky county average is 11.0 composite points below Nelson County's score, a gap that reflects the county's elevated position in the state's hazard distribution.

Is your household prepared for Nelson County's hazards?

Review FEMA's county-specific preparedness checklists and emergency planning guides.

FEMA Ready Guide →

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the natural disaster risk in Nelson County, KY?
Nelson County has a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Relatively Low, placing it in the 55th percentile nationally out of 3,144 counties. This composite score reflects the county's overall exposure to natural hazards including floods, wildfires, tornadoes, earthquakes, and hurricanes, weighted by expected annual loss and social vulnerability.
What types of natural hazards affect Nelson County?
Nelson County is evaluated for five major natural hazard types: earthquake (70th percentile), tornado (69th percentile), flooding (63th percentile), hurricane (25th percentile), wildfire (25th percentile). The highest-risk hazard is earthquake at the 70th percentile nationally. These scores are derived from FEMA's National Risk Index, which analyzes expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience for each hazard type.
How does Nelson County risk compare to the Kentucky average?
Nelson County's composite risk percentile is 55th, compared to the Kentucky state average of 44th percentile. The state's overall risk rating is Relatively Low. This means Nelson County faces higher natural disaster risk than the typical county in Kentucky.
Is Nelson County at risk for earthquake?
Yes, Nelson County's earthquake risk is at the 70th percentile nationally. This is above the national median. For flooding specifically, Nelson County is at the 63th percentile.
How is natural disaster risk measured?
FEMA's National Risk Index (NRI) calculates risk scores for 18 natural hazard types across all U.S. counties and census tracts. The composite score combines Expected Annual Loss (estimated dollar losses from each hazard), Social Vulnerability (demographic factors affecting disaster impact), and Community Resilience (ability to recover). Percentile scores rank each county against all 3,144 U.S. counties, and risk ratings range from Very Low to Very High.
Why is Nelson County higher risk than average?
Nelson County's composite risk score of 55th percentile is above the Kentucky state average of 44th percentile. This elevated risk is driven by earthquake exposure (70th percentile), along with tornado and flooding risk. Geographic location, terrain, climate patterns, and proximity to flood zones or fault lines all influence a county's risk profile.
By Evan Brooks, Data EditorUpdated Reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Data Source

Risk data sourced from the FEMA National Risk Index (NRI). Risk scores are relative rankings (0–100) across all US counties — not absolute risk measures. Higher scores indicate higher relative risk compared to other counties.

Disclaimer: This data is informational only. It is not financial, insurance, or legal advice. Always consult a qualified professional before making insurance or real estate decisions.