riskbycounty
FEMA NRI 1.19.0Updated Nov 2023 · Coverage 2014–2023Methodology

Dukes County Disaster Risk

Dukes County, Massachusetts

FEMA Risk Rating

Very Low

National Percentile

17th

of 3,144 counties

State Rank

#14

of 14 (1 = highest risk)

Flood Risk

55th

percentile

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Flood

River, coastal, and surface flooding risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 55% of US counties

Wildfire

Wildland and wildland-urban interface fire risk

Very Low

Higher than 28% of US counties

Tornado

Tornado and severe thunderstorm risk

Very Low

Higher than 11% of US counties

Earthquake

Seismic activity and ground shaking risk

Very Low

Higher than 33% of US counties

Hurricane

Tropical cyclone and hurricane risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 81% of US counties

Risk Overview

About Natural Disaster Risk in Dukes County, Massachusetts

Dukes enjoys exceptional national safety standing

Dukes County's composite risk score of 16.79 places it among the safest counties in America, far below both the national average and typical disaster-prone regions. This very low rating reflects Dukes' island geography and relative isolation from mainland disaster pathways. Residents here enjoy significantly lower overall disaster exposure than most Americans.

Safest county in Massachusetts by far

Dukes County's 16.79 composite score dramatically outperforms all other Massachusetts counties and sits far below the state average of 78.84. Franklin County (60.72), the second-safest in the state, scores more than 3.5 times higher than Dukes. Island geography and distance from major hazard corridors make Dukes an exceptional outlier.

Dramatically safer than mainland counterparts

Dukes County's 16.79 score stands in stark contrast to every nearby or comparable Massachusetts county—Franklin (60.72), Hampshire (69.88), Berkshire (84.00), and Barnstable (89.09) all carry substantially higher risk. Even the state average (78.84) is nearly five times Dukes' score. Island location provides unmatched protection from tornadoes, earthquakes, and wind hazards.

Hurricane risk still registers; tornadoes rare

Despite overall safety, Dukes residents do face moderate hurricane risk (80.77), reflecting Atlantic exposure even on Martha's Vineyard and Nantucket. Tornado (10.66) and earthquake (33.49) risks remain exceptionally low, and flood (55.40) and wildfire (27.86) threats are manageable. Hurricanes are your only significant hazard; most other county concerns barely register here.

Focus coverage narrowly on hurricane risk

While flood and earthquake insurance might feel unnecessary here, hurricane coverage should remain a priority given the 80.77 risk score and Atlantic exposure. Your homeowners policy should include robust wind/hurricane riders to cover storm damage. Compared to mainland counties, your insurance needs are refreshingly straightforward.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index · Narrative reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Preparedness Guide

What to Prepare for in Dukes County

Top Hazards by Exposure

  1. #1
    HurricanePrepare
    81th percentile
  2. #2
    FloodPrepare
    55th percentile
  3. #3
    EarthquakePrepare
    33th percentile

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.19.0 · Percentiles are national (3,144 counties)

Risk Advisory: Dukes County

Risk Verdict

Dukes County's overall natural disaster score at the 17th percentile puts it well below the national median for hazard exposure. Being ranked at the 17th percentile nationally is an advantage for Dukes County — it means fewer statistically likely events, though basic readiness ensures households are covered when exceptions occur.

Hazard Breakdown

Hurricane risk is Dukes County's dominant natural hazard, ranked at the 81th percentile nationally under FEMA's National Risk Index. Flood ranks second at the 55th percentile nationally. Additional tracked hazards include earthquake (33th percentile), wildfire (28th percentile), tornado (11th percentile).

Preparedness Context

Hurricane exposure at the 81th percentile nationally makes Dukes County a county where pre-season preparedness — not storm-day preparation — determines outcomes. Dukes County evacuation decisions under a watch or warning benefit from prior planning, not routes improvised under time pressure. Flood at the 55th percentile nationally is Dukes County's secondary hazard, often intensified by the same weather systems that produce hurricane conditions. Dukes County residents benefit from registering with the county's special-needs evacuation registry if household members have mobility limitations, require electricity-dependent medical equipment, or cannot self-evacuate — registration in advance of storm season is required.

Regional Context

Dukes County's composite risk score sits 62.0 points below the Massachusetts county average, reflecting a more favorable hazard environment than the state typical.

Is your household prepared for Dukes County's hazards?

Review FEMA's county-specific preparedness checklists and emergency planning guides.

FEMA Ready Guide →

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the natural disaster risk in Dukes County, MA?
Dukes County has a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Very Low, placing it in the 17th percentile nationally out of 3,144 counties. This composite score reflects the county's overall exposure to natural hazards including floods, wildfires, tornadoes, earthquakes, and hurricanes, weighted by expected annual loss and social vulnerability.
What types of natural hazards affect Dukes County?
Dukes County is evaluated for five major natural hazard types: hurricane (81th percentile), flooding (55th percentile), earthquake (33th percentile), wildfire (28th percentile), tornado (11th percentile). The highest-risk hazard is hurricane at the 81th percentile nationally. These scores are derived from FEMA's National Risk Index, which analyzes expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience for each hazard type.
How does Dukes County risk compare to the Massachusetts average?
Dukes County's composite risk percentile is 17th, compared to the Massachusetts state average of 79th percentile. The state's overall risk rating is Relatively Low. This means Dukes County faces lower natural disaster risk than the typical county in Massachusetts.
Is Dukes County at risk for hurricane?
Yes, Dukes County's hurricane risk is at the 81th percentile nationally. This places it in the top quartile for this hazard type. For flooding specifically, Dukes County is at the 55th percentile.
How is natural disaster risk measured?
FEMA's National Risk Index (NRI) calculates risk scores for 18 natural hazard types across all U.S. counties and census tracts. The composite score combines Expected Annual Loss (estimated dollar losses from each hazard), Social Vulnerability (demographic factors affecting disaster impact), and Community Resilience (ability to recover). Percentile scores rank each county against all 3,144 U.S. counties, and risk ratings range from Very Low to Very High.
Is Dukes County a safe place to live?
Dukes County's composite risk score of 17th percentile is below the Massachusetts state average of 79th percentile, indicating relatively lower exposure to natural hazards. However, no county is completely risk-free. The primary hazard type is hurricane at the 81th percentile. Residents should still maintain emergency preparedness plans and appropriate insurance coverage.
By Evan Brooks, Data EditorUpdated Reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Data Source

Risk data sourced from the FEMA National Risk Index (NRI). Risk scores are relative rankings (0–100) across all US counties — not absolute risk measures. Higher scores indicate higher relative risk compared to other counties.

Disclaimer: This data is informational only. It is not financial, insurance, or legal advice. Always consult a qualified professional before making insurance or real estate decisions.