riskbycounty
FEMA NRI 1.19.0Updated Nov 2023 · Coverage 2014–2023Methodology

Worcester County Disaster Risk

Worcester County, Massachusetts

FEMA Risk Rating

Relatively Moderate

National Percentile

94th

of 3,144 counties

State Rank

#3

of 14 (1 = highest risk)

Flood Risk

95th

percentile

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Flood

River, coastal, and surface flooding risk

Relatively High

Higher than 95% of US counties

Wildfire

Wildland and wildland-urban interface fire risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 63% of US counties

Tornado

Tornado and severe thunderstorm risk

Moderate

Higher than 82% of US counties

Earthquake

Seismic activity and ground shaking risk

Moderate

Higher than 89% of US counties

Hurricane

Tropical cyclone and hurricane risk

Relatively High

Higher than 97% of US counties

Risk Overview

About Natural Disaster Risk in Worcester County, Massachusetts

Worcester carries moderately elevated disaster risk

Worcester County scores 93.54 on composite risk, placing it in the relatively moderate category—well above the national average. This score reflects consistent exposure across all major hazard types, with particularly acute hurricane and flood vulnerabilities.

Tied for third-highest risk in Massachusetts

Worcester ranks tied with Suffolk for third-riskiest county in Massachusetts, with a composite score of 93.54 compared to the state average of 78.84. The county's 19% elevation above the state baseline reflects broad geographic exposure across diverse hazard categories.

Comparable to Suffolk, below Middlesex risk

Worcester's 93.54 score nearly matches Suffolk (93.51) and trails only Middlesex (96.95) among Massachusetts counties. As the state's largest county by area, Worcester's diverse geography creates regionally variable risk, with western areas facing elevated wildfire exposure (62.60).

Hurricanes and floods dominate your hazards

Hurricane risk peaks at 96.62—Worcester's highest exposure—while flood risk reaches 95.29. Tornado risk (82.22) and earthquake risk (89.34) present secondary concerns, while wildfire risk (62.60) varies significantly across the county's extensive geography.

Prioritize flood and hurricane preparedness

Standard homeowners policies cover hurricane wind but exclude flood damage, requiring separate flood insurance given Worcester's 95.29 flood risk. For western Worcester residents, wildfire risk (62.60) warrants reviewing home hardening measures and ensuring adequate coverage for potential brush fire exposure.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index · Narrative reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Preparedness Guide

What to Prepare for in Worcester County

Top Hazards by Exposure

  1. #1
    HurricanePrepare
    97th percentile
  2. #2
    FloodPrepare
    95th percentile
  3. #3
    EarthquakePrepare
    89th percentile

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.19.0 · Percentiles are national (3,144 counties)

Risk Advisory: Worcester County

Risk Verdict

Worcester County's overall risk score at the 94th percentile nationally signals meaningful exposure to multiple natural hazard types. Comprehensive household preparedness — including reviewing insurance, maintaining emergency supplies, and knowing evacuation routes — is strongly recommended.

Hazard Breakdown

Hurricane risk is Worcester County's dominant natural hazard, ranked at the 97th percentile nationally under FEMA's National Risk Index. Flood ranks second at the 95th percentile nationally. Additional tracked hazards include earthquake (89th percentile), tornado (82th percentile), wildfire (63th percentile).

Preparedness Context

Worcester County ranks at the 97th percentile nationally for hurricane risk. For coastal counties, wind-resistant shutters or impact-rated windows represent the highest single structural investment for reducing property damage. Worcester County's flood exposure at the 95th percentile nationally adds a hazard layer that can persist or intensify after hurricane-force winds have passed, particularly in low-lying inland areas. For extended post-storm outages common in Worcester County's hurricane zone, a portable generator (operated outdoors only) and a supply of non-perishable food for at least seven days provides meaningful household resilience.

Regional Context

Compared to other Massachusetts counties, Worcester County runs 14.7 composite risk points higher than the state mean — reflecting above-average hazard concentration in this area.

Is your household prepared for Worcester County's hazards?

Review FEMA's county-specific preparedness checklists and emergency planning guides.

FEMA Ready Guide →

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the natural disaster risk in Worcester County, MA?
Worcester County has a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Relatively Moderate, placing it in the 94th percentile nationally out of 3,144 counties. This composite score reflects the county's overall exposure to natural hazards including floods, wildfires, tornadoes, earthquakes, and hurricanes, weighted by expected annual loss and social vulnerability.
What types of natural hazards affect Worcester County?
Worcester County is evaluated for five major natural hazard types: hurricane (97th percentile), flooding (95th percentile), earthquake (89th percentile), tornado (82th percentile), wildfire (63th percentile). The highest-risk hazard is hurricane at the 97th percentile nationally. These scores are derived from FEMA's National Risk Index, which analyzes expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience for each hazard type.
How does Worcester County risk compare to the Massachusetts average?
Worcester County's composite risk percentile is 94th, compared to the Massachusetts state average of 79th percentile. The state's overall risk rating is Relatively Low. This means Worcester County faces higher natural disaster risk than the typical county in Massachusetts.
Is Worcester County at risk for hurricane?
Yes, Worcester County's hurricane risk is at the 97th percentile nationally. This places it in the top quartile for this hazard type. For flooding specifically, Worcester County is at the 95th percentile.
How is natural disaster risk measured?
FEMA's National Risk Index (NRI) calculates risk scores for 18 natural hazard types across all U.S. counties and census tracts. The composite score combines Expected Annual Loss (estimated dollar losses from each hazard), Social Vulnerability (demographic factors affecting disaster impact), and Community Resilience (ability to recover). Percentile scores rank each county against all 3,144 U.S. counties, and risk ratings range from Very Low to Very High.
Why is Worcester County higher risk than average?
Worcester County's composite risk score of 94th percentile is above the Massachusetts state average of 79th percentile. This elevated risk is driven by hurricane exposure (97th percentile), along with flooding and earthquake and tornado and wildfire risk. Geographic location, terrain, climate patterns, and proximity to flood zones or fault lines all influence a county's risk profile.
By Evan Brooks, Data EditorUpdated Reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Data Source

Risk data sourced from the FEMA National Risk Index (NRI). Risk scores are relative rankings (0–100) across all US counties — not absolute risk measures. Higher scores indicate higher relative risk compared to other counties.

Disclaimer: This data is informational only. It is not financial, insurance, or legal advice. Always consult a qualified professional before making insurance or real estate decisions.