riskbycounty
FEMA NRI 1.19.0Updated Nov 2023 · Coverage 2014–2023Methodology

Cape Girardeau County Disaster Risk

Cape Girardeau County, Missouri

FEMA Risk Rating

Relatively Moderate

National Percentile

86th

of 3,144 counties

State Rank

#10

of 115 (1 = highest risk)

Flood Risk

78th

percentile

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Flood

River, coastal, and surface flooding risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 78% of US counties

Wildfire

Wildland and wildland-urban interface fire risk

Very Low

Higher than 33% of US counties

Tornado

Tornado and severe thunderstorm risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 78% of US counties

Earthquake

Seismic activity and ground shaking risk

Relatively High

Higher than 97% of US counties

Hurricane

Tropical cyclone and hurricane risk

Very Low

Higher than 38% of US counties

Risk Overview

About Natural Disaster Risk in Cape Girardeau County, Missouri

Cape Girardeau faces high disaster risk

Cape Girardeau County's composite risk score of 85.69 substantially exceeds the national average with a Relatively Moderate rating. The county encounters significant natural disaster exposure, particularly from earthquakes and tornadoes.

Among Missouri's riskiest counties

Cape Girardeau's score of 85.69 ranks it well above the state average of 50.56, placing it in the upper tier of Missouri counties for disaster risk. This elevated standing demands homeowner awareness and preparation.

Highest risk with slight variations

Cape Girardeau's score of 85.69 edges just below Camden County (88.39) to the north and substantially exceeds Bollinger County (26.27) to the west. It sits among the riskiest in its region.

Earthquakes and tornadoes dominate threats

Cape Girardeau residents face an extraordinarily high earthquake risk of 96.56, the county's most urgent concern, combined with tornado risk of 77.64. Flood risk (78.05) completes a trio of major hazards.

Earthquake and flood policies critical

An earthquake risk score of 96.56 makes dedicated earthquake insurance absolutely essential for Cape Girardeau homeowners, despite being excluded from standard policies. Pair this with flood coverage given the 78.05 score and review all policies annually.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index · Narrative reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Preparedness Guide

What to Prepare for in Cape Girardeau County

Top Hazards by Exposure

  1. #1
    EarthquakePrepare
    97th percentile
  2. #2
    FloodPrepare
    78th percentile
  3. #3
    TornadoPrepare
    78th percentile

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.19.0 · Percentiles are national (3,144 counties)

Risk Advisory: Cape Girardeau County

Risk Verdict

Cape Girardeau County's overall risk score at the 86th percentile nationally signals meaningful exposure to multiple natural hazard types. Comprehensive household preparedness — including reviewing insurance, maintaining emergency supplies, and knowing evacuation routes — is strongly recommended.

Hazard Breakdown

Earthquake risk is Cape Girardeau County's dominant natural hazard, ranked at the 97th percentile nationally under FEMA's National Risk Index. Flood ranks second at the 78th percentile nationally. Additional tracked hazards include tornado (78th percentile), hurricane (38th percentile), wildfire (33th percentile).

Preparedness Context

Cape Girardeau County ranks at the 97th percentile nationally for earthquake risk. Unlike most natural hazards, earthquakes provide no advance warning; preparedness here means structural adjustments and a practiced response, not alert monitoring. Alongside earthquake exposure, Cape Girardeau County's flood risk at the 78th percentile nationally reinforces the value of maintaining a household emergency supply cache usable for multiple hazard scenarios. For earthquake preparedness, Cape Girardeau County's county emergency management office often maintains a list of community water supply points, Red Cross shelter locations, and post-quake assistance programs — useful resources to identify before an event occurs.

Regional Context

Compared to other Missouri counties, Cape Girardeau County runs 35.1 composite risk points higher than the state mean — reflecting above-average hazard concentration in this area.

Is your household prepared for Cape Girardeau County's hazards?

Review FEMA's county-specific preparedness checklists and emergency planning guides.

FEMA Ready Guide →

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the natural disaster risk in Cape Girardeau County, MO?
Cape Girardeau County has a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Relatively Moderate, placing it in the 86th percentile nationally out of 3,144 counties. This composite score reflects the county's overall exposure to natural hazards including floods, wildfires, tornadoes, earthquakes, and hurricanes, weighted by expected annual loss and social vulnerability.
What types of natural hazards affect Cape Girardeau County?
Cape Girardeau County is evaluated for five major natural hazard types: earthquake (97th percentile), flooding (78th percentile), tornado (78th percentile), hurricane (38th percentile), wildfire (33th percentile). The highest-risk hazard is earthquake at the 97th percentile nationally. These scores are derived from FEMA's National Risk Index, which analyzes expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience for each hazard type.
How does Cape Girardeau County risk compare to the Missouri average?
Cape Girardeau County's composite risk percentile is 86th, compared to the Missouri state average of 51th percentile. The state's overall risk rating is Relatively Low. This means Cape Girardeau County faces higher natural disaster risk than the typical county in Missouri.
Is Cape Girardeau County at risk for earthquake?
Yes, Cape Girardeau County's earthquake risk is at the 97th percentile nationally. This places it in the top quartile for this hazard type. For flooding specifically, Cape Girardeau County is at the 78th percentile.
How is natural disaster risk measured?
FEMA's National Risk Index (NRI) calculates risk scores for 18 natural hazard types across all U.S. counties and census tracts. The composite score combines Expected Annual Loss (estimated dollar losses from each hazard), Social Vulnerability (demographic factors affecting disaster impact), and Community Resilience (ability to recover). Percentile scores rank each county against all 3,144 U.S. counties, and risk ratings range from Very Low to Very High.
Why is Cape Girardeau County higher risk than average?
Cape Girardeau County's composite risk score of 86th percentile is above the Missouri state average of 51th percentile. This elevated risk is driven by earthquake exposure (97th percentile), along with flooding and tornado risk. Geographic location, terrain, climate patterns, and proximity to flood zones or fault lines all influence a county's risk profile.
By Evan Brooks, Data EditorUpdated Reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Data Source

Risk data sourced from the FEMA National Risk Index (NRI). Risk scores are relative rankings (0–100) across all US counties — not absolute risk measures. Higher scores indicate higher relative risk compared to other counties.

Disclaimer: This data is informational only. It is not financial, insurance, or legal advice. Always consult a qualified professional before making insurance or real estate decisions.