riskbycounty
FEMA NRI 1.19.0Updated Nov 2023 · Coverage 2014–2023Methodology

Douglas County Disaster Risk

Douglas County, Missouri

FEMA Risk Rating

Very Low

National Percentile

24th

of 3,144 counties

State Rank

#94

of 115 (1 = highest risk)

Flood Risk

27th

percentile

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Flood

River, coastal, and surface flooding risk

Very Low

Higher than 27% of US counties

Wildfire

Wildland and wildland-urban interface fire risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 59% of US counties

Tornado

Tornado and severe thunderstorm risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 46% of US counties

Earthquake

Seismic activity and ground shaking risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 63% of US counties

Hurricane

Tropical cyclone and hurricane risk

Very Low

Higher than 27% of US counties

Risk Overview

About Natural Disaster Risk in Douglas County, Missouri

Douglas County ranks among Missouri's safest

At 23.70, Douglas County's composite risk score is substantially below the national baseline and puts it in the "very low" risk category. This makes it one of Missouri's least hazard-prone counties, though no area is completely without risk.

Well below average for Missouri

Douglas County's score of 23.70 is less than half of Missouri's state average (50.56), ranking it among the state's lowest-risk counties. This favorable positioning reflects moderate hazard levels across all disaster types.

Safest in a relatively low-risk cluster

Neighboring Dent County scores 52.54—more than double Douglas's risk—while other nearby areas show similarly elevated hazard exposure. Douglas stands out as an exceptional safe haven in this part of the Ozarks.

Tornado risk slightly edges other hazards

Tornado risk (46.09) and wildfire risk (58.68) are Douglas County's most notable concerns, though both remain well-controlled compared to state averages. Flood risk (27.04) and earthquake risk (63.36) are also present but not acute threats.

Standard coverage likely sufficient here

Douglas County's very-low-risk profile means a basic homeowners policy with standard tornado and wind coverage should address your primary exposures. Consider a conversation with your agent about wildfire or earthquake risk only if your property sits in an especially exposed location.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index · Narrative reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Preparedness Guide

What to Prepare for in Douglas County

Top Hazards by Exposure

  1. #1
    EarthquakePrepare
    63th percentile
  2. #2
    WildfirePrepare
    59th percentile
  3. #3
    TornadoPrepare
    46th percentile

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.19.0 · Percentiles are national (3,144 counties)

Risk Advisory: Douglas County

Risk Verdict

Douglas County's overall natural disaster score at the 24th percentile puts it well below the national median for hazard exposure. Being ranked at the 24th percentile nationally is an advantage for Douglas County — it means fewer statistically likely events, though basic readiness ensures households are covered when exceptions occur.

Hazard Breakdown

Earthquake risk is Douglas County's dominant natural hazard, ranked at the 63th percentile nationally under FEMA's National Risk Index. Wildfire ranks second at the 59th percentile nationally. Additional tracked hazards include tornado (46th percentile), hurricane (27th percentile), flood (27th percentile).

Preparedness Context

Earthquake exposure at the 63th percentile nationally puts Douglas County in a zone where utilities — gas, water, electrical — are the most common post-quake hazard. Knowing how to shut off the main gas valve is an important household skill to develop before an event occurs. Alongside earthquake exposure, Douglas County's wildfire risk at the 59th percentile nationally reinforces the value of maintaining a household emergency supply cache usable for multiple hazard scenarios. Douglas County households benefit from keeping shoes and a flashlight near the bed — post-earthquake navigation through debris in the dark is a common cause of secondary injury. This low-cost step has outsized protective value.

Regional Context

Douglas County's composite risk score sits 26.9 points below the Missouri county average, reflecting a more favorable hazard environment than the state typical.

Is your household prepared for Douglas County's hazards?

Review FEMA's county-specific preparedness checklists and emergency planning guides.

FEMA Ready Guide →

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the natural disaster risk in Douglas County, MO?
Douglas County has a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Very Low, placing it in the 24th percentile nationally out of 3,144 counties. This composite score reflects the county's overall exposure to natural hazards including floods, wildfires, tornadoes, earthquakes, and hurricanes, weighted by expected annual loss and social vulnerability.
What types of natural hazards affect Douglas County?
Douglas County is evaluated for five major natural hazard types: earthquake (63th percentile), wildfire (59th percentile), tornado (46th percentile), hurricane (27th percentile), flooding (27th percentile). The highest-risk hazard is earthquake at the 63th percentile nationally. These scores are derived from FEMA's National Risk Index, which analyzes expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience for each hazard type.
How does Douglas County risk compare to the Missouri average?
Douglas County's composite risk percentile is 24th, compared to the Missouri state average of 51th percentile. The state's overall risk rating is Relatively Low. This means Douglas County faces lower natural disaster risk than the typical county in Missouri.
Is Douglas County at risk for earthquake?
Yes, Douglas County's earthquake risk is at the 63th percentile nationally. This is above the national median. For flooding specifically, Douglas County is at the 27th percentile.
How is natural disaster risk measured?
FEMA's National Risk Index (NRI) calculates risk scores for 18 natural hazard types across all U.S. counties and census tracts. The composite score combines Expected Annual Loss (estimated dollar losses from each hazard), Social Vulnerability (demographic factors affecting disaster impact), and Community Resilience (ability to recover). Percentile scores rank each county against all 3,144 U.S. counties, and risk ratings range from Very Low to Very High.
Is Douglas County a safe place to live?
Douglas County's composite risk score of 24th percentile is below the Missouri state average of 51th percentile, indicating relatively lower exposure to natural hazards. However, no county is completely risk-free. The primary hazard type is earthquake at the 63th percentile. Residents should still maintain emergency preparedness plans and appropriate insurance coverage.
By Evan Brooks, Data EditorUpdated Reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Data Source

Risk data sourced from the FEMA National Risk Index (NRI). Risk scores are relative rankings (0–100) across all US counties — not absolute risk measures. Higher scores indicate higher relative risk compared to other counties.

Disclaimer: This data is informational only. It is not financial, insurance, or legal advice. Always consult a qualified professional before making insurance or real estate decisions.