riskbycounty
FEMA NRI 1.19.0Updated Nov 2023 · Coverage 2014–2023Methodology

St. Francois County Disaster Risk

St. Francois County, Missouri

FEMA Risk Rating

Relatively Low

National Percentile

79th

of 3,144 counties

State Rank

#17

of 115 (1 = highest risk)

Flood Risk

70th

percentile

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Flood

River, coastal, and surface flooding risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 70% of US counties

Wildfire

Wildland and wildland-urban interface fire risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 57% of US counties

Tornado

Tornado and severe thunderstorm risk

Moderate

Higher than 85% of US counties

Earthquake

Seismic activity and ground shaking risk

Moderate

Higher than 91% of US counties

Hurricane

Tropical cyclone and hurricane risk

Very Low

Higher than 36% of US counties

Risk Overview

About Natural Disaster Risk in St. Francois County, Missouri

St. Francois County: Above-Average Hazard Exposure

St. Francois County's composite risk score of 78.53 rates as "Relatively Low" nationally but reflects above-average exposure to natural disasters. The county faces significantly higher threats than most of America's safest regions.

Above Missouri's State Average Risk

At 78.53, St. Francois County exceeds Missouri's state average of 50.56 by roughly 55 percent, placing it in the state's higher-risk group. The county experiences more hazard exposure than most Missouri communities.

Notably Riskier Than Regional Peers

St. Francois County (78.53) faces substantially higher risk than nearby Shelby County (15.94), St. Clair County (25.64), and Ste. Genevieve County (54.61). Only Stoddard County (74.30) approaches comparable hazard levels in the immediate region.

Tornadoes and Earthquakes Demand Attention

St. Francois County residents face severe tornado risk (85.11) and substantial earthquake danger (91.48), with moderate flood risk (70.36) adding complexity. These three hazards should anchor any disaster preparedness plan.

Robust Coverage Critical for This County

St. Francois County homeowners need comprehensive coverage including tornado, earthquake, and flood protections given the county's multi-hazard profile. Investing in strong insurance now can prevent devastating financial losses later.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index · Narrative reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Preparedness Guide

What to Prepare for in St. Francois County

Top Hazards by Exposure

  1. #1
    EarthquakePrepare
    91th percentile
  2. #2
    TornadoPrepare
    85th percentile
  3. #3
    FloodPrepare
    70th percentile

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.19.0 · Percentiles are national (3,144 counties)

Risk Advisory: St. Francois County

Risk Verdict

St. Francois County's FEMA risk score places it at the 79th percentile nationally, indicating lower-than-typical exposure for a U.S. county. At this risk level, having a documented household preparedness plan — not just awareness — is the meaningful next step for St. Francois County residents.

Hazard Breakdown

Earthquake risk is St. Francois County's dominant natural hazard, ranked at the 91th percentile nationally under FEMA's National Risk Index. Tornado ranks second at the 85th percentile nationally. Additional tracked hazards include flood (70th percentile), wildfire (57th percentile), hurricane (36th percentile).

Preparedness Context

With earthquake ranked as the top hazard at the 91th percentile nationally, St. Francois County residents benefit from reviewing homeowners insurance: standard policies rarely cover earthquake damage, and separate earthquake insurance must be purchased before an event. Alongside earthquake exposure, St. Francois County's tornado risk at the 85th percentile nationally reinforces the value of maintaining a household emergency supply cache usable for multiple hazard scenarios. Earthquake insurance in St. Francois County is typically offered as a separate policy — standard homeowners coverage excludes ground movement. Reviewing this gap and comparing policy options before an event is a financial preparedness step with potentially large consequences.

Regional Context

The Missouri county average is 28.0 composite points below St. Francois County's score, a gap that reflects the county's elevated position in the state's hazard distribution.

Is your household prepared for St. Francois County's hazards?

Review FEMA's county-specific preparedness checklists and emergency planning guides.

FEMA Ready Guide →

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the natural disaster risk in St. Francois County, MO?
St. Francois County has a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Relatively Low, placing it in the 79th percentile nationally out of 3,144 counties. This composite score reflects the county's overall exposure to natural hazards including floods, wildfires, tornadoes, earthquakes, and hurricanes, weighted by expected annual loss and social vulnerability.
What types of natural hazards affect St. Francois County?
St. Francois County is evaluated for five major natural hazard types: earthquake (91th percentile), tornado (85th percentile), flooding (70th percentile), wildfire (57th percentile), hurricane (36th percentile). The highest-risk hazard is earthquake at the 91th percentile nationally. These scores are derived from FEMA's National Risk Index, which analyzes expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience for each hazard type.
How does St. Francois County risk compare to the Missouri average?
St. Francois County's composite risk percentile is 79th, compared to the Missouri state average of 51th percentile. The state's overall risk rating is Relatively Low. This means St. Francois County faces higher natural disaster risk than the typical county in Missouri.
Is St. Francois County at risk for earthquake?
Yes, St. Francois County's earthquake risk is at the 91th percentile nationally. This places it in the top quartile for this hazard type. For flooding specifically, St. Francois County is at the 70th percentile.
How is natural disaster risk measured?
FEMA's National Risk Index (NRI) calculates risk scores for 18 natural hazard types across all U.S. counties and census tracts. The composite score combines Expected Annual Loss (estimated dollar losses from each hazard), Social Vulnerability (demographic factors affecting disaster impact), and Community Resilience (ability to recover). Percentile scores rank each county against all 3,144 U.S. counties, and risk ratings range from Very Low to Very High.
Why is St. Francois County higher risk than average?
St. Francois County's composite risk score of 79th percentile is above the Missouri state average of 51th percentile. This elevated risk is driven by earthquake exposure (91th percentile), along with tornado and flooding and wildfire risk. Geographic location, terrain, climate patterns, and proximity to flood zones or fault lines all influence a county's risk profile.
By Evan Brooks, Data EditorUpdated Reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Data Source

Risk data sourced from the FEMA National Risk Index (NRI). Risk scores are relative rankings (0–100) across all US counties — not absolute risk measures. Higher scores indicate higher relative risk compared to other counties.

Disclaimer: This data is informational only. It is not financial, insurance, or legal advice. Always consult a qualified professional before making insurance or real estate decisions.