riskbycounty
FEMA NRI 1.19.0Updated Nov 2023 · Coverage 2014–2023Methodology

St. Louis city Disaster Risk

St. Louis city, Missouri

FEMA Risk Rating

Relatively High

National Percentile

99th

of 3,144 counties

State Rank

#2

of 115 (1 = highest risk)

Flood Risk

97th

percentile

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Flood

River, coastal, and surface flooding risk

Relatively High

Higher than 97% of US counties

Wildfire

Wildland and wildland-urban interface fire risk

Very Low

Higher than 3% of US counties

Tornado

Tornado and severe thunderstorm risk

Relatively High

Higher than 99% of US counties

Earthquake

Seismic activity and ground shaking risk

Relatively High

Higher than 98% of US counties

Hurricane

Tropical cyclone and hurricane risk

Very Low

Higher than 32% of US counties

Risk Overview

About Natural Disaster Risk in St. Louis city, Missouri

St. Louis City: Among Nation's Highest-Risk

St. Louis City's composite risk score of 98.70 rates as "Relatively High," making it one of America's most hazard-exposed urban centers. Residents face natural disaster risks far exceeding the national average.

Missouri's Most Dangerous Urban Center

At 98.70, St. Louis City nearly doubles Missouri's state average of 50.56, ranking among the state's highest-risk areas. Few Missouri communities face comparable overall disaster exposure.

Comparable Risk to St. Louis County Across River

St. Louis City (98.70) has nearly identical risk to adjacent St. Louis County (99.33), together forming one of America's highest-risk metropolitan areas. Both face severe multi-hazard environments unlike safer surrounding regions.

Tornadoes, Floods, and Earthquakes Triple Threat

St. Louis City confronts extreme tornado risk (98.86), severe flood danger (96.98), and significant earthquake exposure (98.47). This unique triple-hazard combination makes comprehensive disaster planning essential.

Maximum Protection Non-Negotiable Here

St. Louis City residents cannot afford to skip flood, tornado, or earthquake insurance—all three are critical given the city's exceptional hazard exposure. Review your coverage immediately and consider additional protective measures like storm-resistant retrofits.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index · Narrative reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Preparedness Guide

What to Prepare for in St. Louis city

Top Hazards by Exposure

  1. #1
    TornadoPrepare
    99th percentile
  2. #2
    EarthquakePrepare
    98th percentile
  3. #3
    FloodPrepare
    97th percentile

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.19.0 · Percentiles are national (3,144 counties)

Risk Advisory: St. Louis city

Risk Verdict

With a national rank of 99th percentile, St. Louis city faces above-average natural disaster pressure across several hazard categories. High composite risk signals that multiple hazard types are elevated simultaneously; planning for more than one scenario is important in St. Louis city.

Hazard Breakdown

Tornado risk is St. Louis city's dominant natural hazard, ranked at the 99th percentile nationally under FEMA's National Risk Index. Earthquake ranks second at the 98th percentile nationally. Additional tracked hazards include flood (97th percentile), hurricane (32th percentile), wildfire (3th percentile).

Preparedness Context

St. Louis city's primary hazard, tornado, ranks at the 99th percentile nationally. In St. Louis city, mobile homes and manufactured housing face significantly higher tornado risk than site-built structures; residents in these homes should identify the nearest permanent community shelter in advance. Earthquake, ranking at the 98th percentile nationally for St. Louis city, represents a separate preparedness dimension from tornado risk and typically requires different protective actions. The highest-risk window for tornado fatalities is overnight, when St. Louis city residents may be asleep. A NOAA weather radio with overnight alert capability is the single most impactful low-cost preparedness step available to St. Louis city households.

Regional Context

St. Louis city falls 48.1 points above Missouri's typical county risk level, which means the hazard environment here is notably more demanding than the state baseline.

Is your household prepared for St. Louis city's hazards?

Review FEMA's county-specific preparedness checklists and emergency planning guides.

FEMA Ready Guide →

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the natural disaster risk in St. Louis city, MO?
St. Louis city has a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Relatively High, placing it in the 99th percentile nationally out of 3,144 counties. This composite score reflects the county's overall exposure to natural hazards including floods, wildfires, tornadoes, earthquakes, and hurricanes, weighted by expected annual loss and social vulnerability.
What types of natural hazards affect St. Louis city?
St. Louis city is evaluated for five major natural hazard types: tornado (99th percentile), earthquake (98th percentile), flooding (97th percentile), hurricane (32th percentile), wildfire (3th percentile). The highest-risk hazard is tornado at the 99th percentile nationally. These scores are derived from FEMA's National Risk Index, which analyzes expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience for each hazard type.
How does St. Louis city risk compare to the Missouri average?
St. Louis city's composite risk percentile is 99th, compared to the Missouri state average of 51th percentile. The state's overall risk rating is Relatively Low. This means St. Louis city faces higher natural disaster risk than the typical county in Missouri.
Is St. Louis city at risk for tornado?
Yes, St. Louis city's tornado risk is at the 99th percentile nationally. This places it in the top quartile for this hazard type. For flooding specifically, St. Louis city is at the 97th percentile.
How is natural disaster risk measured?
FEMA's National Risk Index (NRI) calculates risk scores for 18 natural hazard types across all U.S. counties and census tracts. The composite score combines Expected Annual Loss (estimated dollar losses from each hazard), Social Vulnerability (demographic factors affecting disaster impact), and Community Resilience (ability to recover). Percentile scores rank each county against all 3,144 U.S. counties, and risk ratings range from Very Low to Very High.
Why is St. Louis city higher risk than average?
St. Louis city's composite risk score of 99th percentile is above the Missouri state average of 51th percentile. This elevated risk is driven by tornado exposure (99th percentile), along with earthquake and flooding risk. Geographic location, terrain, climate patterns, and proximity to flood zones or fault lines all influence a county's risk profile.
By Evan Brooks, Data EditorUpdated Reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Data Source

Risk data sourced from the FEMA National Risk Index (NRI). Risk scores are relative rankings (0–100) across all US counties — not absolute risk measures. Higher scores indicate higher relative risk compared to other counties.

Disclaimer: This data is informational only. It is not financial, insurance, or legal advice. Always consult a qualified professional before making insurance or real estate decisions.