riskbycounty
FEMA NRI 1.19.0Updated Nov 2023 · Coverage 2014–2023Methodology

Box Butte County Disaster Risk

Box Butte County, Nebraska

FEMA Risk Rating

Very Low

National Percentile

21th

of 3,144 counties

State Rank

#48

of 93 (1 = highest risk)

Flood Risk

6th

percentile

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Flood

River, coastal, and surface flooding risk

Very Low

Higher than 6% of US counties

Wildfire

Wildland and wildland-urban interface fire risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 61% of US counties

Tornado

Tornado and severe thunderstorm risk

Very Low

Higher than 31% of US counties

Earthquake

Seismic activity and ground shaking risk

Very Low

Higher than 33% of US counties

Risk Overview

About Natural Disaster Risk in Box Butte County, Nebraska

Box Butte County sits below national average

With a composite risk score of 20.96, Box Butte County rates as very low nationally and below Nebraska's state average of 25.80. Wildfire and earthquake risks are the notable features of an otherwise low-threat profile.

Moderate wildfire, elevated earthquake risk

Box Butte County's wildfire risk (61.32) ranks it among Nebraska's highest, while earthquake risk (32.57) is the state's most significant. Together, these hazards elevate the county's profile despite low tornado and flood risks.

Higher risk than western neighbors

Box Butte County's score of 20.96 exceeds Arthur County (0.29), Banner County (0.80), and Blaine County (0.45), reflecting its location in a more active seismic and wildfire zone. It remains substantially lower than central county risks like Boone (43.35) and Adams (64.31).

Wildfire and earthquakes lead hazards

Wildfire risk (61.32) is Box Butte County's dominant threat, complemented by elevated earthquake risk (32.57)—the highest in Nebraska. Tornado (31.11) and flood (5.85) risks are relatively minor.

Address wildfire and seismic coverage

Standard homeowners policies often exclude wildfire; verify your coverage or add a rider if your property is near grassland or timber. Earthquake insurance is separate from standard homeowners coverage and recommended given Box Butte County's statewide-high seismic activity.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index · Narrative reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Preparedness Guide

What to Prepare for in Box Butte County

Top Hazards by Exposure

  1. #1
    WildfirePrepare
    61th percentile
  2. #2
    EarthquakePrepare
    33th percentile
  3. #3
    TornadoPrepare
    31th percentile

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.19.0 · Percentiles are national (3,144 counties)

Risk Advisory: Box Butte County

Risk Verdict

Box Butte County's overall natural disaster score at the 21th percentile puts it well below the national median for hazard exposure. Even at the 21th percentile, Box Butte County's composite score reflects real hazard exposure categories — knowing which ones apply locally enables targeted, efficient household preparedness.

Hazard Breakdown

Wildfire risk is Box Butte County's dominant natural hazard, ranked at the 61th percentile nationally under FEMA's National Risk Index. Earthquake ranks second at the 33th percentile nationally. Additional tracked hazards include tornado (31th percentile), flood (6th percentile).

Preparedness Context

With wildfire ranked at the 61th percentile nationally, Box Butte County is in a zone where air quality can deteriorate rapidly before structures are threatened. An N95 respirator and a HEPA air purifier are practical items for Box Butte County households to have on hand before fire season. A secondary earthquake exposure at the 33th percentile nationally means Box Butte County residents face hazards from two distinct natural peril categories during different seasons. Defensible space, insurance review, and an evacuation plan are the three preparedness pillars for Box Butte County households — and the insurance review is the one most often deferred by Box Butte County residents and most costly to skip when a fire event actually occurs.

Regional Context

Box Butte County's risk score is broadly comparable to the Nebraska county average, with a 4.8-point gap that places the county near the center of the state's hazard distribution.

Is your household prepared for Box Butte County's hazards?

Review FEMA's county-specific preparedness checklists and emergency planning guides.

FEMA Ready Guide →

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the natural disaster risk in Box Butte County, NE?
Box Butte County has a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Very Low, placing it in the 21th percentile nationally out of 3,144 counties. This composite score reflects the county's overall exposure to natural hazards including floods, wildfires, tornadoes, earthquakes, and hurricanes, weighted by expected annual loss and social vulnerability.
What types of natural hazards affect Box Butte County?
Box Butte County is evaluated for five major natural hazard types: wildfire (61th percentile), earthquake (33th percentile), tornado (31th percentile), flooding (6th percentile). The highest-risk hazard is wildfire at the 61th percentile nationally. These scores are derived from FEMA's National Risk Index, which analyzes expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience for each hazard type.
How does Box Butte County risk compare to the Nebraska average?
Box Butte County's composite risk percentile is 21th, compared to the Nebraska state average of 26th percentile. The state's overall risk rating is Very Low. This means Box Butte County faces lower natural disaster risk than the typical county in Nebraska.
Is Box Butte County at risk for wildfire?
Yes, Box Butte County's wildfire risk is at the 61th percentile nationally. This is above the national median. For flooding specifically, Box Butte County is at the 6th percentile.
How is natural disaster risk measured?
FEMA's National Risk Index (NRI) calculates risk scores for 18 natural hazard types across all U.S. counties and census tracts. The composite score combines Expected Annual Loss (estimated dollar losses from each hazard), Social Vulnerability (demographic factors affecting disaster impact), and Community Resilience (ability to recover). Percentile scores rank each county against all 3,144 U.S. counties, and risk ratings range from Very Low to Very High.
Is Box Butte County a safe place to live?
Box Butte County's composite risk score of 21th percentile is below the Nebraska state average of 26th percentile, indicating relatively lower exposure to natural hazards. However, no county is completely risk-free. The primary hazard type is wildfire at the 61th percentile. Residents should still maintain emergency preparedness plans and appropriate insurance coverage.
By Evan Brooks, Data EditorUpdated Reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Data Source

Risk data sourced from the FEMA National Risk Index (NRI). Risk scores are relative rankings (0–100) across all US counties — not absolute risk measures. Higher scores indicate higher relative risk compared to other counties.

Disclaimer: This data is informational only. It is not financial, insurance, or legal advice. Always consult a qualified professional before making insurance or real estate decisions.