riskbycounty
FEMA NRI 1.19.0Updated Nov 2023 · Coverage 2014–2023Methodology

Harlan County Disaster Risk

Harlan County, Nebraska

FEMA Risk Rating

Very Low

National Percentile

32th

of 3,144 counties

State Rank

#27

of 93 (1 = highest risk)

Flood Risk

9th

percentile

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Flood

River, coastal, and surface flooding risk

Very Low

Higher than 9% of US counties

Wildfire

Wildland and wildland-urban interface fire risk

Very Low

Higher than 35% of US counties

Tornado

Tornado and severe thunderstorm risk

Very Low

Higher than 36% of US counties

Earthquake

Seismic activity and ground shaking risk

Very Low

Higher than 7% of US counties

Risk Overview

About Natural Disaster Risk in Harlan County, Nebraska

Harlan County's modest national risk profile

Harlan County scores 32.03 on the composite risk scale, only slightly above Nebraska's state average of 25.80, and is rated Very Low nationally. Tornado and wildfire risks are the main contributors, both in the 35-point range, while flood and earthquake risks remain minimal. Compared to the most hazard-prone U.S. counties, Harlan remains in a relatively safe position overall.

Lower risk than many Nebraska neighbors

Harlan County ranks below the middle of Nebraska's 93 counties in overall natural disaster risk, with a composite score only 24% above the state average. Its tornado risk of 35.81 is moderate for the state, while its wildfire risk of 35.02 reflects the semi-arid landscape typical of southwestern Nebraska. The county's flood risk of just 9.26 is among the lowest in the state.

Lower tornado risk than Hamilton County

Harlan County's composite risk of 32.03 sits below its eastern neighbor Hamilton County (42.62) but slightly exceeds Hitchcock County to the south (6.84). Tornado exposure is notably lower here than in Hamilton (35.81 vs. 50.73), reflecting less favorable atmospheric patterns. Wildfire risk is comparable across all three counties, around 28–35 points.

Tornado and wildfire demand equal attention

Tornado risk (35.81) and wildfire risk (35.02) are nearly equal threats to Harlan County residents, both substantially outpacing flood (9.26) and earthquake (6.93) hazards. The combination of these two risks means residents face both seasonal storm and grassland fire exposure. Earthquake risk is negligible at 6.93.

Prepare for tornadoes and wildfires

Harlan County residents should establish a tornado shelter plan and maintain homeowners insurance with wind/hail riders for severe weather protection. If you live in rural or grassland areas, create defensible space around your home by clearing brush and dead vegetation to reduce wildfire exposure. A multi-hazard emergency kit covering both storm and fire scenarios is essential.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index · Narrative reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Preparedness Guide

What to Prepare for in Harlan County

Top Hazards by Exposure

  1. #1
    TornadoPrepare
    36th percentile
  2. #2
    WildfirePrepare
    35th percentile
  3. #3
    FloodPrepare
    9th percentile

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.19.0 · Percentiles are national (3,144 counties)

Risk Advisory: Harlan County

Risk Verdict

Harlan County's overall natural disaster score at the 32th percentile puts it well below the national median for hazard exposure. Residents of Harlan County can use the 32th percentile ranking as a baseline, while recognizing that individual properties may still lie in specific hazard zones that differ from the county average.

Hazard Breakdown

Tornado risk is Harlan County's dominant natural hazard, ranked at the 36th percentile nationally under FEMA's National Risk Index. Wildfire ranks second at the 35th percentile nationally. Additional tracked hazards include flood (9th percentile), earthquake (7th percentile).

Preparedness Context

With tornado ranked at the 36th percentile nationally, Harlan County sits in a high-exposure zone where the difference between outcomes often comes down to proximity to a reinforced interior shelter and seconds of warning time. The secondary wildfire hazard at the 35th percentile nationally adds seasonal complexity to Harlan County's preparedness calendar, since wildfire and tornado risk often peak at different points in the year. For Harlan County households, safe rooms certified to FEMA 320/361 standards offer the highest protection during a direct tornado hit; households without a safe room should locate the innermost lowest-floor room in their building and practice the route to it before storm season.

Regional Context

Harlan County is 6.2 composite risk points above the Nebraska average, indicating that residents face greater natural hazard exposure than most of their in-state neighbors.

Is your household prepared for Harlan County's hazards?

Review FEMA's county-specific preparedness checklists and emergency planning guides.

FEMA Ready Guide →

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the natural disaster risk in Harlan County, NE?
Harlan County has a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Very Low, placing it in the 32th percentile nationally out of 3,144 counties. This composite score reflects the county's overall exposure to natural hazards including floods, wildfires, tornadoes, earthquakes, and hurricanes, weighted by expected annual loss and social vulnerability.
What types of natural hazards affect Harlan County?
Harlan County is evaluated for five major natural hazard types: tornado (36th percentile), wildfire (35th percentile), flooding (9th percentile), earthquake (7th percentile). The highest-risk hazard is tornado at the 36th percentile nationally. These scores are derived from FEMA's National Risk Index, which analyzes expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience for each hazard type.
How does Harlan County risk compare to the Nebraska average?
Harlan County's composite risk percentile is 32th, compared to the Nebraska state average of 26th percentile. The state's overall risk rating is Very Low. This means Harlan County faces higher natural disaster risk than the typical county in Nebraska.
Is Harlan County at risk for tornado?
Yes, Harlan County's tornado risk is at the 36th percentile nationally. This is below the national median, indicating relatively lower exposure. For flooding specifically, Harlan County is at the 9th percentile.
How is natural disaster risk measured?
FEMA's National Risk Index (NRI) calculates risk scores for 18 natural hazard types across all U.S. counties and census tracts. The composite score combines Expected Annual Loss (estimated dollar losses from each hazard), Social Vulnerability (demographic factors affecting disaster impact), and Community Resilience (ability to recover). Percentile scores rank each county against all 3,144 U.S. counties, and risk ratings range from Very Low to Very High.
Why is Harlan County higher risk than average?
Harlan County's composite risk score of 32th percentile is above the Nebraska state average of 26th percentile. This elevated risk is driven by tornado exposure (36th percentile). Geographic location, terrain, climate patterns, and proximity to flood zones or fault lines all influence a county's risk profile.
By Evan Brooks, Data EditorUpdated Reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Data Source

Risk data sourced from the FEMA National Risk Index (NRI). Risk scores are relative rankings (0–100) across all US counties — not absolute risk measures. Higher scores indicate higher relative risk compared to other counties.

Disclaimer: This data is informational only. It is not financial, insurance, or legal advice. Always consult a qualified professional before making insurance or real estate decisions.