riskbycounty
FEMA NRI 1.19.0Updated Nov 2023 · Coverage 2014–2023Methodology

Howard County Disaster Risk

Howard County, Nebraska

FEMA Risk Rating

Very Low

National Percentile

24th

of 3,144 counties

State Rank

#42

of 93 (1 = highest risk)

Flood Risk

15th

percentile

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Flood

River, coastal, and surface flooding risk

Very Low

Higher than 15% of US counties

Wildfire

Wildland and wildland-urban interface fire risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 53% of US counties

Tornado

Tornado and severe thunderstorm risk

Very Low

Higher than 36% of US counties

Earthquake

Seismic activity and ground shaking risk

Very Low

Higher than 8% of US counties

Risk Overview

About Natural Disaster Risk in Howard County, Nebraska

Howard County's moderate overall risk

Howard County scores 24.20 on the composite risk scale, nearly identical to Nebraska's average of 25.80, placing it in the Very Low risk category nationally. Wildfire (52.77) and tornado (35.88) are the primary hazards, while flood (14.73) and earthquake (8.14) remain secondary. The county's risk profile is representative of central Nebraska's typical natural disaster exposure.

Typical risk for central Nebraska

Howard County ranks near the middle of Nebraska's 93 counties for overall disaster risk, with a composite score almost exactly equal to the state average of 25.80. Wildfire risk of 52.77 is notably elevated, placing the county in the upper range of state wildfire exposure. Tornado risk of 35.88 is moderate compared to neighboring counties, creating a balanced dual-hazard profile.

Lower tornado risk than Hamilton

Howard County's composite risk of 24.20 is substantially lower than Hamilton County (42.62) to the east but higher than Hayes County (1.24) to the west. Wildfire risk of 52.77 exceeds all immediate neighbors except Jefferson County (72.96) to the south. Tornado risk of 35.88 is lower than Hamilton's 50.73, reflecting safer atmospheric patterns in this area.

Wildfire and tornado co-equal threats

Wildfire is the dominant hazard with a risk score of 52.77, substantially outpacing tornado (35.88) as Howard County's primary natural disaster concern. Tornado remains a meaningful secondary threat, making the county vulnerable to both grassland fire and severe storm exposure. Flood and earthquake risks are minimal.

Prepare for wildfire and severe weather

Howard County residents should create extensive defensible space around homes by clearing brush and dead vegetation, given the elevated wildfire exposure. Ensure homeowners insurance includes wind/hail coverage for tornado and severe storm damage, and maintain a weather emergency plan. For rural residents, develop a wildfire evacuation route and keep property access roads clear.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index · Narrative reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Preparedness Guide

What to Prepare for in Howard County

Top Hazards by Exposure

  1. #1
    WildfirePrepare
    53th percentile
  2. #2
    TornadoPrepare
    36th percentile
  3. #3
    FloodPrepare
    15th percentile

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.19.0 · Percentiles are national (3,144 counties)

Risk Advisory: Howard County

Risk Verdict

Natural disaster exposure in Howard County is lower than roughly three-quarters of U.S. counties, with a composite score at the 24th percentile. Even at the 24th percentile, Howard County's composite score reflects real hazard exposure categories — knowing which ones apply locally enables targeted, efficient household preparedness.

Hazard Breakdown

Wildfire risk is Howard County's dominant natural hazard, ranked at the 53th percentile nationally under FEMA's National Risk Index. Tornado ranks second at the 36th percentile nationally. Additional tracked hazards include flood (15th percentile), earthquake (8th percentile).

Preparedness Context

At the 53th percentile nationally for wildfire, Howard County residents should verify whether their insurance policy includes replacement cost coverage for structures and whether the insurer still writes new policies in this fire-risk zone. The county's tornado exposure at the 36th percentile nationally complements the wildfire risk — saturating rain after burn scarring often triggers secondary flood and debris flow events. Local USFS or Cal Fire (where applicable) fire risk maps and seasonal Red Flag Warning alerts from the National Weather Service are two free resources Howard County residents can use to stay ahead of rapidly changing wildfire conditions.

Regional Context

Howard County's composite risk score is within 1.6 points of the Nebraska county average — a close alignment that reflects a broadly representative hazard environment for this part of the state.

Is your household prepared for Howard County's hazards?

Review FEMA's county-specific preparedness checklists and emergency planning guides.

FEMA Ready Guide →

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the natural disaster risk in Howard County, NE?
Howard County has a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Very Low, placing it in the 24th percentile nationally out of 3,144 counties. This composite score reflects the county's overall exposure to natural hazards including floods, wildfires, tornadoes, earthquakes, and hurricanes, weighted by expected annual loss and social vulnerability.
What types of natural hazards affect Howard County?
Howard County is evaluated for five major natural hazard types: wildfire (53th percentile), tornado (36th percentile), flooding (15th percentile), earthquake (8th percentile). The highest-risk hazard is wildfire at the 53th percentile nationally. These scores are derived from FEMA's National Risk Index, which analyzes expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience for each hazard type.
How does Howard County risk compare to the Nebraska average?
Howard County's composite risk percentile is 24th, compared to the Nebraska state average of 26th percentile. The state's overall risk rating is Very Low. This means Howard County faces lower natural disaster risk than the typical county in Nebraska.
Is Howard County at risk for wildfire?
Yes, Howard County's wildfire risk is at the 53th percentile nationally. This is above the national median. For flooding specifically, Howard County is at the 15th percentile.
How is natural disaster risk measured?
FEMA's National Risk Index (NRI) calculates risk scores for 18 natural hazard types across all U.S. counties and census tracts. The composite score combines Expected Annual Loss (estimated dollar losses from each hazard), Social Vulnerability (demographic factors affecting disaster impact), and Community Resilience (ability to recover). Percentile scores rank each county against all 3,144 U.S. counties, and risk ratings range from Very Low to Very High.
Is Howard County a safe place to live?
Howard County's composite risk score of 24th percentile is below the Nebraska state average of 26th percentile, indicating relatively lower exposure to natural hazards. However, no county is completely risk-free. The primary hazard type is wildfire at the 53th percentile. Residents should still maintain emergency preparedness plans and appropriate insurance coverage.
By Evan Brooks, Data EditorUpdated Reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Data Source

Risk data sourced from the FEMA National Risk Index (NRI). Risk scores are relative rankings (0–100) across all US counties — not absolute risk measures. Higher scores indicate higher relative risk compared to other counties.

Disclaimer: This data is informational only. It is not financial, insurance, or legal advice. Always consult a qualified professional before making insurance or real estate decisions.