riskbycounty
FEMA NRI 1.19.0Updated Nov 2023 · Coverage 2014–2023Methodology

Lancaster County Disaster Risk

Lancaster County, Nebraska

FEMA Risk Rating

Relatively Moderate

National Percentile

91th

of 3,144 counties

State Rank

#2

of 93 (1 = highest risk)

Flood Risk

85th

percentile

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Flood

River, coastal, and surface flooding risk

Moderate

Higher than 85% of US counties

Wildfire

Wildland and wildland-urban interface fire risk

Moderate

Higher than 94% of US counties

Tornado

Tornado and severe thunderstorm risk

Relatively High

Higher than 99% of US counties

Earthquake

Seismic activity and ground shaking risk

Very Low

Higher than 41% of US counties

Hurricane

Tropical cyclone and hurricane risk

Very Low

Higher than 0% of US counties

Risk Overview

About Natural Disaster Risk in Lancaster County, Nebraska

Lancaster County's disaster risk

Lancaster County scores 90.74 on the national composite risk scale, earning a Relatively Moderate rating and far exceeding the national average. This reflects significant exposure across multiple major hazard types, particularly tornadoes and flooding.

Highest risk county in Nebraska

Lancaster County's composite risk of 90.74 is more than triple Nebraska's state average of 25.80—the highest in the entire state. This exceptional vulnerability stems from consistently elevated scores across nearly every hazard category.

Compared to nearby counties

Lancaster County's risk (90.74) dwarfs all neighboring counties, including Lincoln County (48.57), Kearney County (30.95), and Johnson County (4.58). It stands alone as the region's most vulnerable jurisdiction by a dramatic margin.

Your top natural hazards

Tornado risk is Lancaster County's most critical hazard at 98.76—among the highest in the nation—followed by wildfire risk at 93.70 and flood risk at 85.46. This county faces compounded exposure to multiple severe weather phenomena.

Insurance for peace of mind

Lancaster County residents face exceptional natural disaster risk and comprehensive insurance coverage is essential. Ensure your policy covers tornadoes, flooding (typically requires separate flood insurance), and wildfires; consider speaking with an agent about additional protection options.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index · Narrative reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Preparedness Guide

What to Prepare for in Lancaster County

Top Hazards by Exposure

  1. #1
    TornadoPrepare
    99th percentile
  2. #2
    WildfirePrepare
    94th percentile
  3. #3
    FloodPrepare
    85th percentile

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.19.0 · Percentiles are national (3,144 counties)

Risk Advisory: Lancaster County

Risk Verdict

With a composite score at the 91th percentile, Lancaster County sits above the national median for natural hazard exposure. Proactive preparedness — not reactive response — is key to managing life in one of the country's higher-risk counties; Lancaster County residents should plan accordingly.

Hazard Breakdown

Tornado risk is Lancaster County's dominant natural hazard, ranked at the 99th percentile nationally under FEMA's National Risk Index. Wildfire ranks second at the 94th percentile nationally. Additional tracked hazards include flood (85th percentile), earthquake (41th percentile), hurricane (0th percentile).

Preparedness Context

At the 99th percentile nationally for tornado risk, Lancaster County households benefit most from a reliable alert system — a NOAA weather radio that activates during overnight hours when residents may not be checking smartphone alerts. Wildfire is the second hazard driver for Lancaster County at the 94th percentile nationally, meaning households should maintain awareness of both severe-weather and wildfire-specific warning systems. For Lancaster County households, a pre-decided family shelter plan — who goes where, how children are retrieved from school during a warning, and a neighborhood meet-up point if phones fail — provides real protection that no supply kit alone can replicate.

Regional Context

At 64.9 points above the Nebraska state average, Lancaster County carries meaningfully higher natural disaster exposure than a typical Nebraska county.

Is your household prepared for Lancaster County's hazards?

Review FEMA's county-specific preparedness checklists and emergency planning guides.

FEMA Ready Guide →

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the natural disaster risk in Lancaster County, NE?
Lancaster County has a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Relatively Moderate, placing it in the 91th percentile nationally out of 3,144 counties. This composite score reflects the county's overall exposure to natural hazards including floods, wildfires, tornadoes, earthquakes, and hurricanes, weighted by expected annual loss and social vulnerability.
What types of natural hazards affect Lancaster County?
Lancaster County is evaluated for five major natural hazard types: tornado (99th percentile), wildfire (94th percentile), flooding (85th percentile), earthquake (41th percentile), hurricane (0th percentile). The highest-risk hazard is tornado at the 99th percentile nationally. These scores are derived from FEMA's National Risk Index, which analyzes expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience for each hazard type.
How does Lancaster County risk compare to the Nebraska average?
Lancaster County's composite risk percentile is 91th, compared to the Nebraska state average of 26th percentile. The state's overall risk rating is Very Low. This means Lancaster County faces higher natural disaster risk than the typical county in Nebraska.
Is Lancaster County at risk for tornado?
Yes, Lancaster County's tornado risk is at the 99th percentile nationally. This places it in the top quartile for this hazard type. For flooding specifically, Lancaster County is at the 85th percentile.
How is natural disaster risk measured?
FEMA's National Risk Index (NRI) calculates risk scores for 18 natural hazard types across all U.S. counties and census tracts. The composite score combines Expected Annual Loss (estimated dollar losses from each hazard), Social Vulnerability (demographic factors affecting disaster impact), and Community Resilience (ability to recover). Percentile scores rank each county against all 3,144 U.S. counties, and risk ratings range from Very Low to Very High.
Why is Lancaster County higher risk than average?
Lancaster County's composite risk score of 91th percentile is above the Nebraska state average of 26th percentile. This elevated risk is driven by tornado exposure (99th percentile), along with wildfire and flooding risk. Geographic location, terrain, climate patterns, and proximity to flood zones or fault lines all influence a county's risk profile.
By Evan Brooks, Data EditorUpdated Reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Data Source

Risk data sourced from the FEMA National Risk Index (NRI). Risk scores are relative rankings (0–100) across all US counties — not absolute risk measures. Higher scores indicate higher relative risk compared to other counties.

Disclaimer: This data is informational only. It is not financial, insurance, or legal advice. Always consult a qualified professional before making insurance or real estate decisions.