riskbycounty
FEMA NRI 1.19.0Updated Nov 2023 · Coverage 2014–2023Methodology

Pawnee County Disaster Risk

Pawnee County, Nebraska

FEMA Risk Rating

Very Low

National Percentile

4th

of 3,144 counties

State Rank

#75

of 93 (1 = highest risk)

Flood Risk

8th

percentile

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Flood

River, coastal, and surface flooding risk

Very Low

Higher than 8% of US counties

Wildfire

Wildland and wildland-urban interface fire risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 79% of US counties

Tornado

Tornado and severe thunderstorm risk

Very Low

Higher than 28% of US counties

Earthquake

Seismic activity and ground shaking risk

Very Low

Higher than 6% of US counties

Hurricane

Tropical cyclone and hurricane risk

Very Low

Higher than 0% of US counties

Risk Overview

About Natural Disaster Risk in Pawnee County, Nebraska

Pawnee ranks among America's safest counties

With a composite risk score of just 3.85, Pawnee County sits in the Very Low category and far below the national average. This exceptional ranking means residents experience significantly fewer natural disaster threats than nearly all American counties.

Nebraska's lowest-risk county

Pawnee County's score of 3.85 is the lowest in Nebraska and dramatically below the state average of 25.80. This places Pawnee in a uniquely protected position within the state's natural disaster landscape.

Exceptional safety compared to surrounding area

Pawnee County's 3.85 score stands far below all neighboring counties, making it an outlier of safety in southeast Nebraska. The next-closest county, Perkins (4.36), is over 5 times higher in composite risk, and most area counties score 18 or above.

Wildfire is the primary hazard

Wildfire risk scores 78.91 in Pawnee County, making it by far the dominant natural disaster concern despite the county's very low overall composite score. Tornado risk (28.21) remains modest, while flood (7.63), earthquake (5.79), and hurricane (0.00) risks are minimal.

Focus on wildfire protection measures

Given wildfire's disproportionate risk compared to other hazards, prioritize defensible space maintenance and fire-resistant building materials around your property. Standard homeowners insurance typically covers wildfire damage, but verify your policy's terms and consider additional coverage if you're in a heavily vegetated area.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index · Narrative reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Preparedness Guide

What to Prepare for in Pawnee County

Top Hazards by Exposure

  1. #1
    WildfirePrepare
    79th percentile
  2. #2
    TornadoPrepare
    28th percentile
  3. #3
    FloodPrepare
    8th percentile

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.19.0 · Percentiles are national (3,144 counties)

Risk Advisory: Pawnee County

Risk Verdict

Compared to the nation's 3,144 counties, Pawnee County ranks at the 4th percentile for natural disaster risk — toward the safer end of the spectrum. Even at the 4th percentile, Pawnee County's composite score reflects real hazard exposure categories — knowing which ones apply locally enables targeted, efficient household preparedness.

Hazard Breakdown

Wildfire risk is Pawnee County's dominant natural hazard, ranked at the 79th percentile nationally under FEMA's National Risk Index. Tornado ranks second at the 28th percentile nationally. Additional tracked hazards include flood (8th percentile), earthquake (6th percentile), hurricane (0th percentile).

Preparedness Context

Pawnee County sits at the 79th percentile for wildfire exposure. Signing up for Pawnee County's county emergency alert system and knowing the pre-planned evacuation route before conditions deteriorate are the two highest-value preparedness actions for residents here. A secondary tornado exposure at the 28th percentile nationally means Pawnee County residents face hazards from two distinct natural peril categories during different seasons. In Pawnee County, wildfire smoke often precedes the flame front by hours or days; households benefit from tracking EPA's AirNow.gov and having HEPA air filtration available as a first line of indoor protection when air quality alerts are issued.

Regional Context

At 21.9 points below the Nebraska state average, Pawnee County is among the lower-risk counties in the state for natural disaster exposure.

Is your household prepared for Pawnee County's hazards?

Review FEMA's county-specific preparedness checklists and emergency planning guides.

FEMA Ready Guide →

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the natural disaster risk in Pawnee County, NE?
Pawnee County has a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Very Low, placing it in the 4th percentile nationally out of 3,144 counties. This composite score reflects the county's overall exposure to natural hazards including floods, wildfires, tornadoes, earthquakes, and hurricanes, weighted by expected annual loss and social vulnerability.
What types of natural hazards affect Pawnee County?
Pawnee County is evaluated for five major natural hazard types: wildfire (79th percentile), tornado (28th percentile), flooding (8th percentile), earthquake (6th percentile), hurricane (0th percentile). The highest-risk hazard is wildfire at the 79th percentile nationally. These scores are derived from FEMA's National Risk Index, which analyzes expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience for each hazard type.
How does Pawnee County risk compare to the Nebraska average?
Pawnee County's composite risk percentile is 4th, compared to the Nebraska state average of 26th percentile. The state's overall risk rating is Very Low. This means Pawnee County faces lower natural disaster risk than the typical county in Nebraska.
Is Pawnee County at risk for wildfire?
Yes, Pawnee County's wildfire risk is at the 79th percentile nationally. This places it in the top quartile for this hazard type. For flooding specifically, Pawnee County is at the 8th percentile.
How is natural disaster risk measured?
FEMA's National Risk Index (NRI) calculates risk scores for 18 natural hazard types across all U.S. counties and census tracts. The composite score combines Expected Annual Loss (estimated dollar losses from each hazard), Social Vulnerability (demographic factors affecting disaster impact), and Community Resilience (ability to recover). Percentile scores rank each county against all 3,144 U.S. counties, and risk ratings range from Very Low to Very High.
Is Pawnee County a safe place to live?
Pawnee County's composite risk score of 4th percentile is below the Nebraska state average of 26th percentile, indicating relatively lower exposure to natural hazards. However, no county is completely risk-free. The primary hazard type is wildfire at the 79th percentile. Residents should still maintain emergency preparedness plans and appropriate insurance coverage.
By Evan Brooks, Data EditorUpdated Reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Data Source

Risk data sourced from the FEMA National Risk Index (NRI). Risk scores are relative rankings (0–100) across all US counties — not absolute risk measures. Higher scores indicate higher relative risk compared to other counties.

Disclaimer: This data is informational only. It is not financial, insurance, or legal advice. Always consult a qualified professional before making insurance or real estate decisions.