riskbycounty
FEMA NRI 1.19.0Updated Nov 2023 · Coverage 2014–2023Methodology

Somerset County Disaster Risk

Somerset County, New Jersey

FEMA Risk Rating

Relatively Moderate

National Percentile

91th

of 3,144 counties

State Rank

#15

of 21 (1 = highest risk)

Flood Risk

95th

percentile

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Flood

River, coastal, and surface flooding risk

Relatively High

Higher than 95% of US counties

Wildfire

Wildland and wildland-urban interface fire risk

Very Low

Higher than 35% of US counties

Tornado

Tornado and severe thunderstorm risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 72% of US counties

Earthquake

Seismic activity and ground shaking risk

Moderate

Higher than 89% of US counties

Hurricane

Tropical cyclone and hurricane risk

Moderate

Higher than 83% of US counties

Risk Overview

About Natural Disaster Risk in Somerset County, New Jersey

Somerset's risk tracks near the national average

Somerset County scores 90.94 on the composite risk scale, earning a relatively moderate risk rating that aligns closely with national averages for mixed-hazard counties. This rating reflects substantial but manageable exposure across multiple natural disaster types.

Somerset ranks in the middle tier statewide

Somerset's 90.94 score sits just slightly above New Jersey's state average of 90.81, placing it squarely in the middle of the state's risk distribution. This near-average standing means Somerset faces comparable disaster pressures to the state as a whole.

Somerset faces higher risk than surrounding counties

Somerset (90.94) outranks neighboring Salem (76.53), Sussex (77.45), and Warren (80.76) in composite risk, though Union County (95.48) surpasses it significantly. Somerset's elevated exposure stems partly from higher tornado and flood risks than its lower-risk neighbors.

Tornadoes and flooding dominate Somerset's hazards

Tornado risk scores 72.33 in Somerset, making it a notable concern compared to lower-risk neighbors, while flood risk registers at 95.04, posing severe threats to residents near waterways. Earthquake exposure also climbs to 88.52, reflecting Somerset's position in a moderately seismically active region.

Bundle flood and severe weather protections

Somerset residents should prioritize flood insurance given the county's 95.04 flood risk score, and supplement it with comprehensive homeowners' coverage that includes tornado and wind damage. A basement backup sump pump and reinforced safe room can provide additional protection during severe storms.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index · Narrative reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Preparedness Guide

What to Prepare for in Somerset County

Top Hazards by Exposure

  1. #1
    FloodPrepare
    95th percentile
  2. #2
    EarthquakePrepare
    89th percentile
  3. #3
    HurricanePrepare
    83th percentile

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.19.0 · Percentiles are national (3,144 counties)

Risk Advisory: Somerset County

Risk Verdict

With a composite score at the 91th percentile, Somerset County sits above the national median for natural hazard exposure. Proactive preparedness — not reactive response — is key to managing life in one of the country's higher-risk counties; Somerset County residents should plan accordingly.

Hazard Breakdown

Flood risk is Somerset County's dominant natural hazard, ranked at the 95th percentile nationally under FEMA's National Risk Index. Earthquake ranks second at the 89th percentile nationally. Additional tracked hazards include hurricane (83th percentile), tornado (72th percentile), wildfire (35th percentile).

Preparedness Context

With flood risk ranking at the 95th percentile nationally, Somerset County residents face one of the most financially damaging hazards without specialized coverage. Flood insurance through the NFIP or a private carrier is worth evaluating regardless of current mortgage requirements. Alongside flooding, earthquake exposure at the 89th percentile means households benefit from a multi-hazard preparedness plan rather than focusing on flood alone. Registering for Somerset County's county emergency alert system — typically through the county emergency management office's website — ensures households receive early warning when flood events develop faster than forecast.

Regional Context

Somerset County tracks the New Jersey county average closely, sitting 0.1 composite points above the state mean — neither a standout high-risk nor low-risk county within New Jersey.

Is your household prepared for Somerset County's hazards?

Review FEMA's county-specific preparedness checklists and emergency planning guides.

FEMA Ready Guide →

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the natural disaster risk in Somerset County, NJ?
Somerset County has a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Relatively Moderate, placing it in the 91th percentile nationally out of 3,144 counties. This composite score reflects the county's overall exposure to natural hazards including floods, wildfires, tornadoes, earthquakes, and hurricanes, weighted by expected annual loss and social vulnerability.
What types of natural hazards affect Somerset County?
Somerset County is evaluated for five major natural hazard types: flooding (95th percentile), earthquake (89th percentile), hurricane (83th percentile), tornado (72th percentile), wildfire (35th percentile). The highest-risk hazard is flooding at the 95th percentile nationally. These scores are derived from FEMA's National Risk Index, which analyzes expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience for each hazard type.
How does Somerset County risk compare to the New Jersey average?
Somerset County's composite risk percentile is 91th, compared to the New Jersey state average of 91th percentile. The state's overall risk rating is Relatively Moderate. This means Somerset County faces higher natural disaster risk than the typical county in New Jersey.
Is Somerset County at risk for flooding?
Yes, Somerset County's flooding risk is at the 95th percentile nationally. This places it in the top quartile for this hazard type.
How is natural disaster risk measured?
FEMA's National Risk Index (NRI) calculates risk scores for 18 natural hazard types across all U.S. counties and census tracts. The composite score combines Expected Annual Loss (estimated dollar losses from each hazard), Social Vulnerability (demographic factors affecting disaster impact), and Community Resilience (ability to recover). Percentile scores rank each county against all 3,144 U.S. counties, and risk ratings range from Very Low to Very High.
Why is Somerset County higher risk than average?
Somerset County's composite risk score of 91th percentile is above the New Jersey state average of 91th percentile. This elevated risk is driven by flooding exposure (95th percentile), along with earthquake and hurricane and tornado risk. Geographic location, terrain, climate patterns, and proximity to flood zones or fault lines all influence a county's risk profile.
By Evan Brooks, Data EditorUpdated Reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Data Source

Risk data sourced from the FEMA National Risk Index (NRI). Risk scores are relative rankings (0–100) across all US counties — not absolute risk measures. Higher scores indicate higher relative risk compared to other counties.

Disclaimer: This data is informational only. It is not financial, insurance, or legal advice. Always consult a qualified professional before making insurance or real estate decisions.