riskbycounty
FEMA NRI 1.19.0Updated Nov 2023 · Coverage 2014–2023Methodology

Lenoir County Disaster Risk

Lenoir County, North Carolina

FEMA Risk Rating

Relatively Moderate

National Percentile

85th

of 3,144 counties

State Rank

#27

of 100 (1 = highest risk)

Flood Risk

79th

percentile

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Flood

River, coastal, and surface flooding risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 79% of US counties

Wildfire

Wildland and wildland-urban interface fire risk

Very Low

Higher than 34% of US counties

Tornado

Tornado and severe thunderstorm risk

Moderate

Higher than 86% of US counties

Earthquake

Seismic activity and ground shaking risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 74% of US counties

Hurricane

Tropical cyclone and hurricane risk

Relatively High

Higher than 95% of US counties

Risk Overview

About Natural Disaster Risk in Lenoir County, North Carolina

Lenoir County faces Relatively Moderate national risk

Lenoir County's composite score of 84.61 places it in the Relatively Moderate category, well above the national average and among the highest-risk counties examined. The score is driven by extreme hurricane and tornado exposure that dominate the county's natural hazard profile.

Lenoir ranks among North Carolina's riskiest counties

At 84.61, Lenoir County's composite score substantially exceeds the state average of 66.72, placing it in the upper tier of North Carolina's most hazard-prone counties. Only Johnston County (85.56) surpasses it in overall risk within this dataset.

Lenoir far exceeds the risk of neighboring Lee

Lenoir (84.61) carries dramatically higher risk than adjacent Lee County (67.49), driven by Lenoir's hurricane score of 94.91 and tornado score of 86.45. The 17-point gap makes Lenoir one of the region's most hazard-exposed areas.

Hurricanes and tornadoes threaten Lenoir residents

Hurricane risk stands at an extreme 94.91, while tornado risk reaches 86.45, creating dual wind-driven threats that dominate Lenoir's hazard landscape. Flood risk adds further vulnerability at 79.13, though wildfire remains relatively low at 33.68.

Comprehensive wind and flood insurance is essential

Lenoir residents must secure homeowners insurance that covers both hurricane wind damage and flood risk, with adequate limits to protect your property. Establish a family emergency plan before hurricane season, identify your safe room, and keep critical documents in a waterproof, portable container.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index · Narrative reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Preparedness Guide

What to Prepare for in Lenoir County

Top Hazards by Exposure

  1. #1
    HurricanePrepare
    95th percentile
  2. #2
    TornadoPrepare
    86th percentile
  3. #3
    FloodPrepare
    79th percentile

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.19.0 · Percentiles are national (3,144 counties)

Risk Advisory: Lenoir County

Risk Verdict

Lenoir County faces a moderate natural disaster risk profile, ranking at the 85th percentile nationally under FEMA's composite risk model. This risk level calls for more than general awareness: insurance coverage review, a family communication plan, and a prepared go-bag are practical priorities.

Hazard Breakdown

Hurricane risk is Lenoir County's dominant natural hazard, ranked at the 95th percentile nationally under FEMA's National Risk Index. Tornado ranks second at the 86th percentile nationally. Additional tracked hazards include flood (79th percentile), earthquake (74th percentile), wildfire (34th percentile).

Preparedness Context

Hurricane risk is Lenoir County's top-ranked natural hazard at the 95th percentile nationally. The most time-sensitive preparedness step is knowing the county's evacuation zone for your address — zone maps are published by the county emergency management office. Tornado, the county's second-ranked hazard at the 86th percentile nationally, represents an additional preparedness consideration for Lenoir County independent of hurricane season. Lenoir County's county emergency management office publishes official evacuation zone maps with zone-specific shelter locations; downloading this map and identifying your zone assignment is the single highest-value pre-season step.

Regional Context

Lenoir County's composite risk score sits 17.9 points above the North Carolina county average, placing it among the more hazard-exposed counties in the state.

Is your household prepared for Lenoir County's hazards?

Review FEMA's county-specific preparedness checklists and emergency planning guides.

FEMA Ready Guide →

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the natural disaster risk in Lenoir County, NC?
Lenoir County has a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Relatively Moderate, placing it in the 85th percentile nationally out of 3,144 counties. This composite score reflects the county's overall exposure to natural hazards including floods, wildfires, tornadoes, earthquakes, and hurricanes, weighted by expected annual loss and social vulnerability.
What types of natural hazards affect Lenoir County?
Lenoir County is evaluated for five major natural hazard types: hurricane (95th percentile), tornado (86th percentile), flooding (79th percentile), earthquake (74th percentile), wildfire (34th percentile). The highest-risk hazard is hurricane at the 95th percentile nationally. These scores are derived from FEMA's National Risk Index, which analyzes expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience for each hazard type.
How does Lenoir County risk compare to the North Carolina average?
Lenoir County's composite risk percentile is 85th, compared to the North Carolina state average of 67th percentile. The state's overall risk rating is Relatively Low. This means Lenoir County faces higher natural disaster risk than the typical county in North Carolina.
Is Lenoir County at risk for hurricane?
Yes, Lenoir County's hurricane risk is at the 95th percentile nationally. This places it in the top quartile for this hazard type. For flooding specifically, Lenoir County is at the 79th percentile.
How is natural disaster risk measured?
FEMA's National Risk Index (NRI) calculates risk scores for 18 natural hazard types across all U.S. counties and census tracts. The composite score combines Expected Annual Loss (estimated dollar losses from each hazard), Social Vulnerability (demographic factors affecting disaster impact), and Community Resilience (ability to recover). Percentile scores rank each county against all 3,144 U.S. counties, and risk ratings range from Very Low to Very High.
Why is Lenoir County higher risk than average?
Lenoir County's composite risk score of 85th percentile is above the North Carolina state average of 67th percentile. This elevated risk is driven by hurricane exposure (95th percentile), along with tornado and flooding and earthquake risk. Geographic location, terrain, climate patterns, and proximity to flood zones or fault lines all influence a county's risk profile.
By Evan Brooks, Data EditorUpdated Reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Data Source

Risk data sourced from the FEMA National Risk Index (NRI). Risk scores are relative rankings (0–100) across all US counties — not absolute risk measures. Higher scores indicate higher relative risk compared to other counties.

Disclaimer: This data is informational only. It is not financial, insurance, or legal advice. Always consult a qualified professional before making insurance or real estate decisions.