riskbycounty
FEMA NRI 1.19.0Updated Nov 2023 · Coverage 2014–2023Methodology

Mercer County Disaster Risk

Mercer County, North Dakota

FEMA Risk Rating

Very Low

National Percentile

14th

of 3,144 counties

State Rank

#25

of 53 (1 = highest risk)

Flood Risk

16th

percentile

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Flood

River, coastal, and surface flooding risk

Very Low

Higher than 16% of US counties

Wildfire

Wildland and wildland-urban interface fire risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 62% of US counties

Tornado

Tornado and severe thunderstorm risk

Very Low

Higher than 29% of US counties

Earthquake

Seismic activity and ground shaking risk

Very Low

Higher than 4% of US counties

Risk Overview

About Natural Disaster Risk in Mercer County, North Dakota

Mercer ranks among America's safest counties

Mercer County's composite risk score of 13.87 places it firmly in the Very Low category—safer than the vast majority of U.S. counties. This position reflects low to modest exposure across most natural hazard types.

Mercer is ND's second-safest county

At 13.87, Mercer's score places it well below North Dakota's average of 22.19, ranking among the state's most resilient counties. Only Nelson County (7.92) scores lower across all North Dakota counties.

Safest in its region alongside McHenry

Mercer's 13.87 score matches McHenry County (11.74) as one of northwestern North Dakota's safest areas, both significantly outperforming McLean (43.10) and McKenzie (25.03). Mercer ranks second in regional resilience.

Wildfire is the primary concern

Wildfire risk reaches 61.58 in Mercer County, making it the clear leading hazard despite relatively low overall risk. Tornado risk is modest at 28.53, and flood and earthquake risks remain minimal.

Maintain wildfire coverage and awareness

Ensure homeowners insurance includes wildfire protection and create defensible space—clearing brush and debris from your property's perimeter. Stay informed during fire season through local emergency management channels.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index · Narrative reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Preparedness Guide

What to Prepare for in Mercer County

Top Hazards by Exposure

  1. #1
    WildfirePrepare
    62th percentile
  2. #2
    TornadoPrepare
    29th percentile
  3. #3
    FloodPrepare
    16th percentile

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.19.0 · Percentiles are national (3,144 counties)

Risk Advisory: Mercer County

Risk Verdict

Mercer County carries a low natural disaster risk burden, scoring at the 14th percentile under the FEMA National Risk Index. At the 14th percentile, Mercer County's risk profile is among the more manageable in the country — the hazard-specific breakdown above shows where any remaining preparedness focus is best directed.

Hazard Breakdown

Wildfire risk is Mercer County's dominant natural hazard, ranked at the 62th percentile nationally under FEMA's National Risk Index. Tornado ranks second at the 29th percentile nationally. Additional tracked hazards include flood (16th percentile), earthquake (4th percentile).

Preparedness Context

Wildfire ranks as Mercer County's primary hazard at the 62th percentile nationally. For Mercer County households in high-WUI areas, go-bag readiness — the ability to leave within 15 minutes — is more important than shelter-in-place planning for most residential properties. A secondary tornado exposure at the 29th percentile nationally means Mercer County residents face hazards from two distinct natural peril categories during different seasons. Mercer County county's local emergency management office publishes community-specific wildfire risk assessments and evacuation zone maps; households should review their zone assignment and sign up for zone-specific alerts.

Regional Context

Compared to the North Dakota county average, Mercer County's composite score runs 8.3 points lower — a gap that reflects the county's relatively modest hazard profile within its state context.

Is your household prepared for Mercer County's hazards?

Review FEMA's county-specific preparedness checklists and emergency planning guides.

FEMA Ready Guide →

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the natural disaster risk in Mercer County, ND?
Mercer County has a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Very Low, placing it in the 14th percentile nationally out of 3,144 counties. This composite score reflects the county's overall exposure to natural hazards including floods, wildfires, tornadoes, earthquakes, and hurricanes, weighted by expected annual loss and social vulnerability.
What types of natural hazards affect Mercer County?
Mercer County is evaluated for five major natural hazard types: wildfire (62th percentile), tornado (29th percentile), flooding (16th percentile), earthquake (4th percentile). The highest-risk hazard is wildfire at the 62th percentile nationally. These scores are derived from FEMA's National Risk Index, which analyzes expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience for each hazard type.
How does Mercer County risk compare to the North Dakota average?
Mercer County's composite risk percentile is 14th, compared to the North Dakota state average of 22th percentile. The state's overall risk rating is Very Low. This means Mercer County faces lower natural disaster risk than the typical county in North Dakota.
Is Mercer County at risk for wildfire?
Yes, Mercer County's wildfire risk is at the 62th percentile nationally. This is above the national median. For flooding specifically, Mercer County is at the 16th percentile.
How is natural disaster risk measured?
FEMA's National Risk Index (NRI) calculates risk scores for 18 natural hazard types across all U.S. counties and census tracts. The composite score combines Expected Annual Loss (estimated dollar losses from each hazard), Social Vulnerability (demographic factors affecting disaster impact), and Community Resilience (ability to recover). Percentile scores rank each county against all 3,144 U.S. counties, and risk ratings range from Very Low to Very High.
Is Mercer County a safe place to live?
Mercer County's composite risk score of 14th percentile is below the North Dakota state average of 22th percentile, indicating relatively lower exposure to natural hazards. However, no county is completely risk-free. The primary hazard type is wildfire at the 62th percentile. Residents should still maintain emergency preparedness plans and appropriate insurance coverage.
By Evan Brooks, Data EditorUpdated Reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Data Source

Risk data sourced from the FEMA National Risk Index (NRI). Risk scores are relative rankings (0–100) across all US counties — not absolute risk measures. Higher scores indicate higher relative risk compared to other counties.

Disclaimer: This data is informational only. It is not financial, insurance, or legal advice. Always consult a qualified professional before making insurance or real estate decisions.