riskbycounty
FEMA NRI 1.19.0Updated Nov 2023 · Coverage 2014–2023Methodology

Pembina County Disaster Risk

Pembina County, North Dakota

FEMA Risk Rating

Very Low

National Percentile

21th

of 3,144 counties

State Rank

#20

of 53 (1 = highest risk)

Flood Risk

29th

percentile

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Flood

River, coastal, and surface flooding risk

Very Low

Higher than 29% of US counties

Wildfire

Wildland and wildland-urban interface fire risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 64% of US counties

Tornado

Tornado and severe thunderstorm risk

Very Low

Higher than 21% of US counties

Earthquake

Seismic activity and ground shaking risk

Very Low

Higher than 2% of US counties

Risk Overview

About Natural Disaster Risk in Pembina County, North Dakota

Pembina County faces moderate risk overall

Pembina County's composite risk score of 20.93 places it just below the North Dakota state average of 22.19, indicating moderate natural disaster exposure. While rated very low nationally, the county's risk profile is shaped by notable wildfire and flood vulnerabilities.

Middle-of-the-road risk for North Dakota

Pembina County ranks in the middle tier statewide, with a composite score nearly matching the state average of 22.19. Several other ND counties face higher overall risk, though Pembina's wildfire exposure stands out regionally.

Higher risk than Oliver but lower than Ramsey

Pembina's 20.93 score sits between Oliver County's 1.72 and Ramsey County's 18.32, reflecting a moderate position in the northern ND region. The county faces notably higher wildfire risk (63.87) than most immediate neighbors.

Wildfires and flooding top the list

Wildfire risk dominates at 63.87, while flood risk scores a concerning 28.69—double Oliver County's exposure. Tornado risk (21.28) rounds out the three primary hazards affecting Pembina County residents.

Prioritize wildfire and flood coverage

Wildfire exclusions are common in standard policies; verify coverage explicitly with your insurer and consider additional protection. Federal flood insurance through NFIP is essential given the county's 28.69 flood risk score, and a separate wildfire rider may be prudent.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index · Narrative reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Preparedness Guide

What to Prepare for in Pembina County

Top Hazards by Exposure

  1. #1
    WildfirePrepare
    64th percentile
  2. #2
    FloodPrepare
    29th percentile
  3. #3
    TornadoPrepare
    21th percentile

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.19.0 · Percentiles are national (3,144 counties)

Risk Advisory: Pembina County

Risk Verdict

Pembina County sits in the lower tier of U.S. counties for natural disaster exposure, ranked at the 21th percentile nationally. Being ranked at the 21th percentile nationally is an advantage for Pembina County — it means fewer statistically likely events, though basic readiness ensures households are covered when exceptions occur.

Hazard Breakdown

Wildfire risk is Pembina County's dominant natural hazard, ranked at the 64th percentile nationally under FEMA's National Risk Index. Flood ranks second at the 29th percentile nationally. Additional tracked hazards include tornado (21th percentile), earthquake (2th percentile).

Preparedness Context

At the 64th percentile nationally for wildfire risk, Pembina County households benefit from creating defensible space — a buffer of reduced vegetation around structures — and reviewing whether homeowners insurance covers wildfire damage in this region. Alongside wildfire, flood at the 29th percentile nationally means a multi-season preparedness mindset — fire season and flood or storm season often require different household plans. Enrolling in the county's wireless emergency alert system and keeping a vehicle at least half-full during peak fire season are low-cost habits that dramatically reduce evacuation lag time for Pembina County residents.

Regional Context

Pembina County tracks the North Dakota county average closely, sitting 1.3 composite points below the state mean — neither a standout high-risk nor low-risk county within North Dakota.

Is your household prepared for Pembina County's hazards?

Review FEMA's county-specific preparedness checklists and emergency planning guides.

FEMA Ready Guide →

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the natural disaster risk in Pembina County, ND?
Pembina County has a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Very Low, placing it in the 21th percentile nationally out of 3,144 counties. This composite score reflects the county's overall exposure to natural hazards including floods, wildfires, tornadoes, earthquakes, and hurricanes, weighted by expected annual loss and social vulnerability.
What types of natural hazards affect Pembina County?
Pembina County is evaluated for five major natural hazard types: wildfire (64th percentile), flooding (29th percentile), tornado (21th percentile), earthquake (2th percentile). The highest-risk hazard is wildfire at the 64th percentile nationally. These scores are derived from FEMA's National Risk Index, which analyzes expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience for each hazard type.
How does Pembina County risk compare to the North Dakota average?
Pembina County's composite risk percentile is 21th, compared to the North Dakota state average of 22th percentile. The state's overall risk rating is Very Low. This means Pembina County faces lower natural disaster risk than the typical county in North Dakota.
Is Pembina County at risk for wildfire?
Yes, Pembina County's wildfire risk is at the 64th percentile nationally. This is above the national median. For flooding specifically, Pembina County is at the 29th percentile.
How is natural disaster risk measured?
FEMA's National Risk Index (NRI) calculates risk scores for 18 natural hazard types across all U.S. counties and census tracts. The composite score combines Expected Annual Loss (estimated dollar losses from each hazard), Social Vulnerability (demographic factors affecting disaster impact), and Community Resilience (ability to recover). Percentile scores rank each county against all 3,144 U.S. counties, and risk ratings range from Very Low to Very High.
Is Pembina County a safe place to live?
Pembina County's composite risk score of 21th percentile is below the North Dakota state average of 22th percentile, indicating relatively lower exposure to natural hazards. However, no county is completely risk-free. The primary hazard type is wildfire at the 64th percentile. Residents should still maintain emergency preparedness plans and appropriate insurance coverage.
By Evan Brooks, Data EditorUpdated Reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Data Source

Risk data sourced from the FEMA National Risk Index (NRI). Risk scores are relative rankings (0–100) across all US counties — not absolute risk measures. Higher scores indicate higher relative risk compared to other counties.

Disclaimer: This data is informational only. It is not financial, insurance, or legal advice. Always consult a qualified professional before making insurance or real estate decisions.