riskbycounty
FEMA NRI 1.19.0Updated Nov 2023 · Coverage 2014–2023Methodology

Pawnee County Disaster Risk

Pawnee County, Oklahoma

FEMA Risk Rating

Relatively Low

National Percentile

48th

of 3,144 counties

State Rank

#46

of 77 (1 = highest risk)

Flood Risk

35th

percentile

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Flood

River, coastal, and surface flooding risk

Very Low

Higher than 35% of US counties

Wildfire

Wildland and wildland-urban interface fire risk

Moderate

Higher than 87% of US counties

Tornado

Tornado and severe thunderstorm risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 70% of US counties

Earthquake

Seismic activity and ground shaking risk

Very Low

Higher than 32% of US counties

Hurricane

Tropical cyclone and hurricane risk

Very Low

Higher than 14% of US counties

Risk Overview

About Natural Disaster Risk in Pawnee County, Oklahoma

Pawnee among Oklahoma's lowest-risk counties

Pawnee County's composite risk score of 48.09 places it in the relatively low category and actually slightly below the national average. However, this masks significant wildfire exposure that requires local attention despite the county's overall favorable risk profile.

One of Oklahoma's safer counties overall

Pawnee's score of 48.09 falls well below Oklahoma's state average of 55.47, making it one of the state's lower-risk counties. The county benefits from reduced tornado and flood exposure compared to state peers.

Notably safer than adjacent Osage and Ottawa

Pawnee's score of 48.09 is substantially lower than neighboring Osage (78.09) and Ottawa (76.05) counties, positioning it as the safest in the immediate region. Despite lower overall risk, Pawnee shares significant wildfire concerns with its neighbors.

Wildfire and tornado are primary concerns

Pawnee's wildfire risk score of 86.80 stands out as notably high, while tornado risk of 70.01 represents a secondary but real threat. Flood risk is more moderate at 35.37, reflecting the county's geography and storm patterns.

Prioritize wildfire and wind protection

Homeowners in Pawnee should focus insurance and preparation efforts on wildfire (86.80) and tornado risk (70.01) given the county's profile. Ensure wind coverage is robust and consider defensible space improvements; standard homeowners policies should cover most needs given relatively lower flood risk.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index · Narrative reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Preparedness Guide

What to Prepare for in Pawnee County

Top Hazards by Exposure

  1. #1
    WildfirePrepare
    87th percentile
  2. #2
    TornadoPrepare
    70th percentile
  3. #3
    FloodPrepare
    35th percentile

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.19.0 · Percentiles are national (3,144 counties)

Risk Advisory: Pawnee County

Risk Verdict

Pawnee County has a below-average natural disaster risk profile, scoring at the 48th percentile nationally under FEMA's National Risk Index. At the 48th percentile, Pawnee County's risk profile is among the more manageable in the country — the hazard-specific breakdown above shows where any remaining preparedness focus is best directed.

Hazard Breakdown

Wildfire risk is Pawnee County's dominant natural hazard, ranked at the 87th percentile nationally under FEMA's National Risk Index. Tornado ranks second at the 70th percentile nationally. Additional tracked hazards include flood (35th percentile), earthquake (32th percentile), hurricane (14th percentile).

Preparedness Context

Wildfire is Pawnee County's top-ranked natural hazard at the 87th percentile nationally. Pawnee County residents should assess whether their property lies within or adjacent to a Wildland-Urban Interface (WUI) zone, where ember transport and rapid spread pose the highest risk. The county's tornado exposure at the 70th percentile nationally complements the wildfire risk — saturating rain after burn scarring often triggers secondary flood and debris flow events. For Pawnee County households, a practiced evacuation plan — with a primary and backup route designated before a fire occurs — provides more protection than any structural improvement when a wildfire approaches fast-moving terrain.

Regional Context

The Oklahoma county average exceeds Pawnee County's score by 7.4 composite points — placing this county in the lower-risk tier relative to its in-state peers.

Is your household prepared for Pawnee County's hazards?

Review FEMA's county-specific preparedness checklists and emergency planning guides.

FEMA Ready Guide →

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the natural disaster risk in Pawnee County, OK?
Pawnee County has a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Relatively Low, placing it in the 48th percentile nationally out of 3,144 counties. This composite score reflects the county's overall exposure to natural hazards including floods, wildfires, tornadoes, earthquakes, and hurricanes, weighted by expected annual loss and social vulnerability.
What types of natural hazards affect Pawnee County?
Pawnee County is evaluated for five major natural hazard types: wildfire (87th percentile), tornado (70th percentile), flooding (35th percentile), earthquake (32th percentile), hurricane (14th percentile). The highest-risk hazard is wildfire at the 87th percentile nationally. These scores are derived from FEMA's National Risk Index, which analyzes expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience for each hazard type.
How does Pawnee County risk compare to the Oklahoma average?
Pawnee County's composite risk percentile is 48th, compared to the Oklahoma state average of 56th percentile. The state's overall risk rating is Relatively Low. This means Pawnee County faces lower natural disaster risk than the typical county in Oklahoma.
Is Pawnee County at risk for wildfire?
Yes, Pawnee County's wildfire risk is at the 87th percentile nationally. This places it in the top quartile for this hazard type. For flooding specifically, Pawnee County is at the 35th percentile.
How is natural disaster risk measured?
FEMA's National Risk Index (NRI) calculates risk scores for 18 natural hazard types across all U.S. counties and census tracts. The composite score combines Expected Annual Loss (estimated dollar losses from each hazard), Social Vulnerability (demographic factors affecting disaster impact), and Community Resilience (ability to recover). Percentile scores rank each county against all 3,144 U.S. counties, and risk ratings range from Very Low to Very High.
Is Pawnee County a safe place to live?
Pawnee County's composite risk score of 48th percentile is below the Oklahoma state average of 56th percentile, indicating relatively lower exposure to natural hazards. However, no county is completely risk-free. The primary hazard type is wildfire at the 87th percentile. Residents should still maintain emergency preparedness plans and appropriate insurance coverage.
By Evan Brooks, Data EditorUpdated Reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Data Source

Risk data sourced from the FEMA National Risk Index (NRI). Risk scores are relative rankings (0–100) across all US counties — not absolute risk measures. Higher scores indicate higher relative risk compared to other counties.

Disclaimer: This data is informational only. It is not financial, insurance, or legal advice. Always consult a qualified professional before making insurance or real estate decisions.