riskbycounty
FEMA NRI 1.19.0Updated Nov 2023 · Coverage 2014–2023Methodology

Payne County Disaster Risk

Payne County, Oklahoma

FEMA Risk Rating

Relatively Moderate

National Percentile

84th

of 3,144 counties

State Rank

#6

of 77 (1 = highest risk)

Flood Risk

68th

percentile

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Flood

River, coastal, and surface flooding risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 68% of US counties

Wildfire

Wildland and wildland-urban interface fire risk

Moderate

Higher than 90% of US counties

Tornado

Tornado and severe thunderstorm risk

Relatively High

Higher than 95% of US counties

Earthquake

Seismic activity and ground shaking risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 58% of US counties

Hurricane

Tropical cyclone and hurricane risk

Very Low

Higher than 30% of US counties

Risk Overview

About Natural Disaster Risk in Payne County, Oklahoma

Payne faces elevated national disaster risk

Payne County's composite risk score of 83.94 places it in the relatively moderate category, well above the national average and among the nation's higher-risk counties. This reflects particularly acute tornado and wildfire exposure across the county.

Among Oklahoma's highest-risk counties

At 83.94, Payne's composite score significantly exceeds Oklahoma's state average of 55.47, ranking it among the state's most hazard-prone counties. The county's risk is driven by exceptionally high tornado and wildfire exposure.

Clear regional risk leader in central Oklahoma

Payne's score of 83.94 places it ahead of nearby Pottawatomie County (82.32) and well above Pontotoc County (62.91) and Pushmataha County (32.79). Payne stands as the highest-risk county in its immediate region.

Tornadoes and wildfires create compound threat

Payne County faces an extraordinary tornado risk of 94.72 and wildfire risk of 89.60—among Oklahoma's highest in both categories. Flood risk at 67.62 adds a third significant concern, particularly during spring storm season.

Invest in comprehensive multi-hazard coverage

Payne County residents face multiple serious threats and should carry comprehensive homeowners insurance with explicit wind/hail, wildfire, and flood coverage. Consider a separate flood policy, maintain defensible space around structures, and identify safe shelter locations for tornadoes.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index · Narrative reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Preparedness Guide

What to Prepare for in Payne County

Top Hazards by Exposure

  1. #1
    TornadoPrepare
    95th percentile
  2. #2
    WildfirePrepare
    90th percentile
  3. #3
    FloodPrepare
    68th percentile

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.19.0 · Percentiles are national (3,144 counties)

Risk Advisory: Payne County

Risk Verdict

Payne County's overall risk score at the 84th percentile nationally signals meaningful exposure to multiple natural hazard types. Comprehensive household preparedness — including reviewing insurance, maintaining emergency supplies, and knowing evacuation routes — is strongly recommended.

Hazard Breakdown

Tornado risk is Payne County's dominant natural hazard, ranked at the 95th percentile nationally under FEMA's National Risk Index. Wildfire ranks second at the 90th percentile nationally. Additional tracked hazards include flood (68th percentile), earthquake (58th percentile), hurricane (30th percentile).

Preparedness Context

Payne County ranks at the 95th percentile nationally for tornado exposure. Unlike many slow-onset hazards, tornadoes in Payne County can reach full intensity in minutes; a pre-practiced household shelter plan matters far more than stockpiled supplies. The secondary wildfire hazard at the 90th percentile nationally adds seasonal complexity to Payne County's preparedness calendar, since wildfire and tornado risk often peak at different points in the year. Payne County county emergency management typically publishes annual severe-weather preparedness guides tailored to local tornado patterns; households benefit from reviewing these before storm season begins each spring.

Regional Context

Compared to other Oklahoma counties, Payne County runs 28.5 composite risk points higher than the state mean — reflecting above-average hazard concentration in this area.

Is your household prepared for Payne County's hazards?

Review FEMA's county-specific preparedness checklists and emergency planning guides.

FEMA Ready Guide →

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the natural disaster risk in Payne County, OK?
Payne County has a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Relatively Moderate, placing it in the 84th percentile nationally out of 3,144 counties. This composite score reflects the county's overall exposure to natural hazards including floods, wildfires, tornadoes, earthquakes, and hurricanes, weighted by expected annual loss and social vulnerability.
What types of natural hazards affect Payne County?
Payne County is evaluated for five major natural hazard types: tornado (95th percentile), wildfire (90th percentile), flooding (68th percentile), earthquake (58th percentile), hurricane (30th percentile). The highest-risk hazard is tornado at the 95th percentile nationally. These scores are derived from FEMA's National Risk Index, which analyzes expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience for each hazard type.
How does Payne County risk compare to the Oklahoma average?
Payne County's composite risk percentile is 84th, compared to the Oklahoma state average of 56th percentile. The state's overall risk rating is Relatively Low. This means Payne County faces higher natural disaster risk than the typical county in Oklahoma.
Is Payne County at risk for tornado?
Yes, Payne County's tornado risk is at the 95th percentile nationally. This places it in the top quartile for this hazard type. For flooding specifically, Payne County is at the 68th percentile.
How is natural disaster risk measured?
FEMA's National Risk Index (NRI) calculates risk scores for 18 natural hazard types across all U.S. counties and census tracts. The composite score combines Expected Annual Loss (estimated dollar losses from each hazard), Social Vulnerability (demographic factors affecting disaster impact), and Community Resilience (ability to recover). Percentile scores rank each county against all 3,144 U.S. counties, and risk ratings range from Very Low to Very High.
Why is Payne County higher risk than average?
Payne County's composite risk score of 84th percentile is above the Oklahoma state average of 56th percentile. This elevated risk is driven by tornado exposure (95th percentile), along with wildfire and flooding and earthquake risk. Geographic location, terrain, climate patterns, and proximity to flood zones or fault lines all influence a county's risk profile.
By Evan Brooks, Data EditorUpdated Reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Data Source

Risk data sourced from the FEMA National Risk Index (NRI). Risk scores are relative rankings (0–100) across all US counties — not absolute risk measures. Higher scores indicate higher relative risk compared to other counties.

Disclaimer: This data is informational only. It is not financial, insurance, or legal advice. Always consult a qualified professional before making insurance or real estate decisions.