riskbycounty
FEMA NRI 1.19.0Updated Nov 2023 · Coverage 2014–2023Methodology

Elk County Disaster Risk

Elk County, Pennsylvania

FEMA Risk Rating

Relatively Low

National Percentile

45th

of 3,144 counties

State Rank

#58

of 67 (1 = highest risk)

Flood Risk

68th

percentile

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Flood

River, coastal, and surface flooding risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 68% of US counties

Wildfire

Wildland and wildland-urban interface fire risk

Very Low

Higher than 6% of US counties

Tornado

Tornado and severe thunderstorm risk

Very Low

Higher than 18% of US counties

Earthquake

Seismic activity and ground shaking risk

Very Low

Higher than 28% of US counties

Hurricane

Tropical cyclone and hurricane risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 64% of US counties

Risk Overview

About Natural Disaster Risk in Elk County, Pennsylvania

Elk ranks among safest U.S. counties

With a composite risk score of 45.20, Elk places in the lowest quartile of U.S. counties for natural disaster exposure, earning a Relatively Low rating. The county benefits from exceptionally minimal wildfire (5.85), tornado (18.10), and earthquake (27.61) risks, though some flood exposure persists.

Pennsylvania's safest county by far

Elk's 45.20 score ranks substantially below Pennsylvania's state average of 67.45, establishing it as the state's least hazard-exposed county by a significant margin. This exceptional safety profile results from the county's remote northwestern location, which shields it from seismic, tornado, and wildfire vulnerabilities affecting other regions.

Dramatically safer than all regional peers

Elk (45.20) faces far lower composite risk than nearby Crawford County (76.02) and Clearfield County (67.11), making it a clear outlier in its region. The county's isolation and elevation provide natural protection from most hazard categories, creating Pennsylvania's most favorable disaster-risk environment.

Flooding is the sole meaningful concern

Flood risk of 67.97 represents Elk's only significant natural hazard exposure; wildfire, tornado, and earthquake risks all rank among Pennsylvania's lowest. This narrow hazard profile means residents can focus preparedness efforts almost exclusively on water-related disasters.

Flood insurance completes your protection

With flood risk at 67.97 and all other hazards minimized, a National Flood Insurance Program policy or private flood insurance represents your primary disaster protection need. Once flood coverage is secured, Elk residents enjoy some of Pennsylvania's most favorable odds against natural disasters, requiring minimal additional hazard-specific preparations.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index · Narrative reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Preparedness Guide

What to Prepare for in Elk County

Top Hazards by Exposure

  1. #1
    FloodPrepare
    68th percentile
  2. #2
    HurricanePrepare
    64th percentile
  3. #3
    EarthquakePrepare
    28th percentile

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.19.0 · Percentiles are national (3,144 counties)

Risk Advisory: Elk County

Risk Verdict

At the 45th percentile nationally, Elk County experiences a manageable level of natural hazard risk that falls below the U.S. median. Being ranked at the 45th percentile nationally is an advantage for Elk County — it means fewer statistically likely events, though basic readiness ensures households are covered when exceptions occur.

Hazard Breakdown

Flood risk is Elk County's dominant natural hazard, ranked at the 68th percentile nationally under FEMA's National Risk Index. Hurricane ranks second at the 64th percentile nationally. Additional tracked hazards include earthquake (28th percentile), tornado (18th percentile), wildfire (6th percentile).

Preparedness Context

Elk County's dominant hazard is flooding, ranked at the 68th percentile nationally. In addition to flood insurance, residents should identify their nearest evacuation shelter and store key documents in waterproof containers. Secondary hurricane exposure at the 64th percentile adds a second preparedness layer; households should review coverage options and alert sign-up for both hazard types. Elk County's county emergency management office publishes hazard-specific guidance tailored to local conditions; bookmarking that resource and the county's alert system is a practical first step for any household.

Regional Context

Compared to the Pennsylvania county average, Elk County's composite score runs 22.3 points lower — a gap that reflects the county's relatively modest hazard profile within its state context.

Is your household prepared for Elk County's hazards?

Review FEMA's county-specific preparedness checklists and emergency planning guides.

FEMA Ready Guide →

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the natural disaster risk in Elk County, PA?
Elk County has a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Relatively Low, placing it in the 45th percentile nationally out of 3,144 counties. This composite score reflects the county's overall exposure to natural hazards including floods, wildfires, tornadoes, earthquakes, and hurricanes, weighted by expected annual loss and social vulnerability.
What types of natural hazards affect Elk County?
Elk County is evaluated for five major natural hazard types: flooding (68th percentile), hurricane (64th percentile), earthquake (28th percentile), tornado (18th percentile), wildfire (6th percentile). The highest-risk hazard is flooding at the 68th percentile nationally. These scores are derived from FEMA's National Risk Index, which analyzes expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience for each hazard type.
How does Elk County risk compare to the Pennsylvania average?
Elk County's composite risk percentile is 45th, compared to the Pennsylvania state average of 67th percentile. The state's overall risk rating is Relatively Low. This means Elk County faces lower natural disaster risk than the typical county in Pennsylvania.
Is Elk County at risk for flooding?
Yes, Elk County's flooding risk is at the 68th percentile nationally. This is above the national median.
How is natural disaster risk measured?
FEMA's National Risk Index (NRI) calculates risk scores for 18 natural hazard types across all U.S. counties and census tracts. The composite score combines Expected Annual Loss (estimated dollar losses from each hazard), Social Vulnerability (demographic factors affecting disaster impact), and Community Resilience (ability to recover). Percentile scores rank each county against all 3,144 U.S. counties, and risk ratings range from Very Low to Very High.
Is Elk County a safe place to live?
Elk County's composite risk score of 45th percentile is below the Pennsylvania state average of 67th percentile, indicating relatively lower exposure to natural hazards. However, no county is completely risk-free. The primary hazard type is flooding at the 68th percentile. Residents should still maintain emergency preparedness plans and appropriate insurance coverage.
By Evan Brooks, Data EditorUpdated Reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Data Source

Risk data sourced from the FEMA National Risk Index (NRI). Risk scores are relative rankings (0–100) across all US counties — not absolute risk measures. Higher scores indicate higher relative risk compared to other counties.

Disclaimer: This data is informational only. It is not financial, insurance, or legal advice. Always consult a qualified professional before making insurance or real estate decisions.