riskbycounty
FEMA NRI 1.19.0Updated Nov 2023 · Coverage 2014–2023Methodology

Sullivan County Disaster Risk

Sullivan County, Pennsylvania

FEMA Risk Rating

Very Low

National Percentile

11th

of 3,144 counties

State Rank

#66

of 67 (1 = highest risk)

Flood Risk

37th

percentile

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Flood

River, coastal, and surface flooding risk

Very Low

Higher than 37% of US counties

Wildfire

Wildland and wildland-urban interface fire risk

Very Low

Higher than 6% of US counties

Tornado

Tornado and severe thunderstorm risk

Very Low

Higher than 12% of US counties

Earthquake

Seismic activity and ground shaking risk

Very Low

Higher than 24% of US counties

Hurricane

Tropical cyclone and hurricane risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 59% of US counties

Risk Overview

About Natural Disaster Risk in Sullivan County, Pennsylvania

Sullivan County's low national disaster risk

Sullivan County ranks as very low risk nationally with a composite score of 10.72, placing it well below the U.S. average. This county experiences significantly less natural disaster exposure than most American communities, making it one of Pennsylvania's safest counties for weather and geological events.

Safest county in Pennsylvania

Sullivan County's composite risk score of 10.72 is substantially lower than Pennsylvania's state average of 67.45, ranking it as the lowest-risk county in the state. This 84% reduction in risk compared to state peers reflects the county's geographic protection from major hazard zones.

Well protected compared to neighbors

Sullivan County's score of 10.72 contrasts sharply with neighboring Susquehanna County (53.59) and Tioga County (59.76), both of which face substantially higher flood and tornado risks. As the safest county in this region, Sullivan offers residents notably greater natural disaster resilience than surrounding communities.

Hurricane and earthquake pose modest threats

Sullivan County's main natural hazards are hurricane risk (58.95) and earthquake risk (24.46), though both remain relatively mild compared to state averages. Flood risk (37.37) and tornado risk (12.15) present minimal concerns, making the county exceptionally well-positioned for weather safety.

Basic coverage protects your property

While Sullivan County's overall risk is very low, homeowners should maintain standard property insurance for the modest hurricane and earthquake exposure. Even in low-risk counties, comprehensive coverage ensures financial protection against unexpected natural events.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index · Narrative reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Preparedness Guide

What to Prepare for in Sullivan County

Top Hazards by Exposure

  1. #1
    HurricanePrepare
    59th percentile
  2. #2
    FloodPrepare
    37th percentile
  3. #3
    EarthquakePrepare
    24th percentile

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.19.0 · Percentiles are national (3,144 counties)

Risk Advisory: Sullivan County

Risk Verdict

Sullivan County sits in the lower tier of U.S. counties for natural disaster exposure, ranked at the 11th percentile nationally. Even at the 11th percentile, Sullivan County's composite score reflects real hazard exposure categories — knowing which ones apply locally enables targeted, efficient household preparedness.

Hazard Breakdown

Hurricane risk is Sullivan County's dominant natural hazard, ranked at the 59th percentile nationally under FEMA's National Risk Index. Flood ranks second at the 37th percentile nationally. Additional tracked hazards include earthquake (24th percentile), tornado (12th percentile), wildfire (6th percentile).

Preparedness Context

At the 59th percentile nationally for hurricane exposure, Sullivan County households benefit from reviewing both homeowners and flood insurance coverage before storm season begins — standard policies often exclude storm surge, which is the leading cause of hurricane fatalities. Flood at the 37th percentile nationally is Sullivan County's secondary hazard, often intensified by the same weather systems that produce hurricane conditions. Hurricane-force winds cause direct property damage, but storm surge causes the majority of hurricane-related deaths. Sullivan County households near tidal water or low-elevation areas should verify whether they are in a storm surge risk zone.

Regional Context

Sullivan County falls 56.7 points below Pennsylvania's typical county risk level, making it one of the safer natural-hazard environments in the state.

Is your household prepared for Sullivan County's hazards?

Review FEMA's county-specific preparedness checklists and emergency planning guides.

FEMA Ready Guide →

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the natural disaster risk in Sullivan County, PA?
Sullivan County has a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Very Low, placing it in the 11th percentile nationally out of 3,144 counties. This composite score reflects the county's overall exposure to natural hazards including floods, wildfires, tornadoes, earthquakes, and hurricanes, weighted by expected annual loss and social vulnerability.
What types of natural hazards affect Sullivan County?
Sullivan County is evaluated for five major natural hazard types: hurricane (59th percentile), flooding (37th percentile), earthquake (24th percentile), tornado (12th percentile), wildfire (6th percentile). The highest-risk hazard is hurricane at the 59th percentile nationally. These scores are derived from FEMA's National Risk Index, which analyzes expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience for each hazard type.
How does Sullivan County risk compare to the Pennsylvania average?
Sullivan County's composite risk percentile is 11th, compared to the Pennsylvania state average of 67th percentile. The state's overall risk rating is Relatively Low. This means Sullivan County faces lower natural disaster risk than the typical county in Pennsylvania.
Is Sullivan County at risk for hurricane?
Yes, Sullivan County's hurricane risk is at the 59th percentile nationally. This is above the national median. For flooding specifically, Sullivan County is at the 37th percentile.
How is natural disaster risk measured?
FEMA's National Risk Index (NRI) calculates risk scores for 18 natural hazard types across all U.S. counties and census tracts. The composite score combines Expected Annual Loss (estimated dollar losses from each hazard), Social Vulnerability (demographic factors affecting disaster impact), and Community Resilience (ability to recover). Percentile scores rank each county against all 3,144 U.S. counties, and risk ratings range from Very Low to Very High.
Is Sullivan County a safe place to live?
Sullivan County's composite risk score of 11th percentile is below the Pennsylvania state average of 67th percentile, indicating relatively lower exposure to natural hazards. However, no county is completely risk-free. The primary hazard type is hurricane at the 59th percentile. Residents should still maintain emergency preparedness plans and appropriate insurance coverage.
By Evan Brooks, Data EditorUpdated Reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Data Source

Risk data sourced from the FEMA National Risk Index (NRI). Risk scores are relative rankings (0–100) across all US counties — not absolute risk measures. Higher scores indicate higher relative risk compared to other counties.

Disclaimer: This data is informational only. It is not financial, insurance, or legal advice. Always consult a qualified professional before making insurance or real estate decisions.