riskbycounty
FEMA NRI 1.19.0Updated Nov 2023 · Coverage 2014–2023Methodology

Aurora County Disaster Risk

Aurora County, South Dakota

FEMA Risk Rating

Very Low

National Percentile

20th

of 3,144 counties

State Rank

#33

of 66 (1 = highest risk)

Flood Risk

13th

percentile

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Flood

River, coastal, and surface flooding risk

Very Low

Higher than 13% of US counties

Wildfire

Wildland and wildland-urban interface fire risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 65% of US counties

Tornado

Tornado and severe thunderstorm risk

Very Low

Higher than 32% of US counties

Earthquake

Seismic activity and ground shaking risk

Very Low

Higher than 17% of US counties

Risk Overview

About Natural Disaster Risk in Aurora County, South Dakota

Aurora ranks well below national risk

With a composite risk score of 19.59, Aurora County sits in the "Very Low" category and well below the national average. Your county faces significantly lower natural disaster exposure than most American communities, though wildfire risk registers at a moderate 65.39.

Among South Dakota's safest counties

Aurora County ranks near the bottom of South Dakota's disaster risk ladder with a score of 19.59, compared to the state average of 26.84. Only a handful of South Dakota counties present lower overall natural hazard exposure than Aurora.

Safer than surrounding areas

Aurora's composite risk of 19.59 places it well below neighboring Beadle County (47.14) and Brule County (58.72). Your county enjoys one of the lower risk profiles in eastern South Dakota's agricultural region.

Wildfire dominates Aurora's hazard profile

Wildfire risk (65.39) towers over other threats in Aurora County, making it your primary natural disaster concern. Tornado risk (32.35) presents a secondary hazard typical of the Great Plains, while flood and earthquake risks remain minimal.

Prepare for wildfire and severe weather

Although Aurora County's overall risk is very low, wildfire-prone areas should carry adequate homeowners or renters insurance that covers fire damage. Consider a separate umbrella policy to protect against tornado-related losses in this naturally resilient region.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index · Narrative reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Preparedness Guide

What to Prepare for in Aurora County

Top Hazards by Exposure

  1. #1
    WildfirePrepare
    65th percentile
  2. #2
    TornadoPrepare
    32th percentile
  3. #3
    EarthquakePrepare
    17th percentile

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.19.0 · Percentiles are national (3,144 counties)

Risk Advisory: Aurora County

Risk Verdict

Natural disaster exposure in Aurora County is lower than roughly three-quarters of U.S. counties, with a composite score at the 20th percentile. Residents of Aurora County can use the 20th percentile ranking as a baseline, while recognizing that individual properties may still lie in specific hazard zones that differ from the county average.

Hazard Breakdown

Wildfire risk is Aurora County's dominant natural hazard, ranked at the 65th percentile nationally under FEMA's National Risk Index. Tornado ranks second at the 32th percentile nationally. Additional tracked hazards include earthquake (17th percentile), flood (13th percentile).

Preparedness Context

At the 65th percentile nationally for wildfire, Aurora County residents should verify whether their insurance policy includes replacement cost coverage for structures and whether the insurer still writes new policies in this fire-risk zone. The county's tornado exposure at the 32th percentile nationally complements the wildfire risk — saturating rain after burn scarring often triggers secondary flood and debris flow events. Local USFS or Cal Fire (where applicable) fire risk maps and seasonal Red Flag Warning alerts from the National Weather Service are two free resources Aurora County residents can use to stay ahead of rapidly changing wildfire conditions.

Regional Context

Aurora County is 7.2 composite risk points below the South Dakota state mean, meaning most other South Dakota counties face higher natural hazard exposure.

Is your household prepared for Aurora County's hazards?

Review FEMA's county-specific preparedness checklists and emergency planning guides.

FEMA Ready Guide →

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the natural disaster risk in Aurora County, SD?
Aurora County has a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Very Low, placing it in the 20th percentile nationally out of 3,144 counties. This composite score reflects the county's overall exposure to natural hazards including floods, wildfires, tornadoes, earthquakes, and hurricanes, weighted by expected annual loss and social vulnerability.
What types of natural hazards affect Aurora County?
Aurora County is evaluated for five major natural hazard types: wildfire (65th percentile), tornado (32th percentile), earthquake (17th percentile), flooding (13th percentile). The highest-risk hazard is wildfire at the 65th percentile nationally. These scores are derived from FEMA's National Risk Index, which analyzes expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience for each hazard type.
How does Aurora County risk compare to the South Dakota average?
Aurora County's composite risk percentile is 20th, compared to the South Dakota state average of 27th percentile. The state's overall risk rating is Very Low. This means Aurora County faces lower natural disaster risk than the typical county in South Dakota.
Is Aurora County at risk for wildfire?
Yes, Aurora County's wildfire risk is at the 65th percentile nationally. This is above the national median. For flooding specifically, Aurora County is at the 13th percentile.
How is natural disaster risk measured?
FEMA's National Risk Index (NRI) calculates risk scores for 18 natural hazard types across all U.S. counties and census tracts. The composite score combines Expected Annual Loss (estimated dollar losses from each hazard), Social Vulnerability (demographic factors affecting disaster impact), and Community Resilience (ability to recover). Percentile scores rank each county against all 3,144 U.S. counties, and risk ratings range from Very Low to Very High.
Is Aurora County a safe place to live?
Aurora County's composite risk score of 20th percentile is below the South Dakota state average of 27th percentile, indicating relatively lower exposure to natural hazards. However, no county is completely risk-free. The primary hazard type is wildfire at the 65th percentile. Residents should still maintain emergency preparedness plans and appropriate insurance coverage.
By Evan Brooks, Data EditorUpdated Reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Data Source

Risk data sourced from the FEMA National Risk Index (NRI). Risk scores are relative rankings (0–100) across all US counties — not absolute risk measures. Higher scores indicate higher relative risk compared to other counties.

Disclaimer: This data is informational only. It is not financial, insurance, or legal advice. Always consult a qualified professional before making insurance or real estate decisions.