riskbycounty
FEMA NRI 1.19.0Updated Nov 2023 · Coverage 2014–2023Methodology

Carroll County Disaster Risk

Carroll County, Tennessee

FEMA Risk Rating

Relatively Low

National Percentile

73th

of 3,144 counties

State Rank

#23

of 95 (1 = highest risk)

Flood Risk

27th

percentile

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Flood

River, coastal, and surface flooding risk

Very Low

Higher than 27% of US counties

Wildfire

Wildland and wildland-urban interface fire risk

Very Low

Higher than 20% of US counties

Tornado

Tornado and severe thunderstorm risk

Moderate

Higher than 87% of US counties

Earthquake

Seismic activity and ground shaking risk

Relatively High

Higher than 94% of US counties

Hurricane

Tropical cyclone and hurricane risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 52% of US counties

Risk Overview

About Natural Disaster Risk in Carroll County, Tennessee

Carroll County faces above-average disaster risk

With a composite risk score of 72.81, Carroll County ranks significantly higher than the national average and substantially above Tennessee's state average of 52.45. This relatively low rating masks concentrated vulnerabilities in specific hazard types that warrant attention from residents and policymakers.

Riskier than most Tennessee counties

Carroll County's score of 72.81 places it in the upper tier of Tennessee's 95 counties by disaster risk. The county's exposure is driven primarily by two hazard types that exceed state norms significantly.

Stands out among West Tennessee peers

Carroll County's 72.81 score substantially exceeds neighboring Chester County (44.50) and Cheatham County (46.28) to the west and south. However, it mirrors similar risk profiles to other rural West Tennessee counties facing comparable multi-hazard exposure.

Earthquakes and tornadoes dominate local hazards

Earthquake risk (94.40) and tornado risk (87.12) represent Carroll County's primary concerns, both well above the state average. Flood risk remains minimal at 27.23, while wildfire exposure is notably low at 20.20, making seismic and severe weather preparedness the county's top priorities.

Prioritize earthquake and storm coverage

Standard homeowners policies exclude earthquake damage, making separate earthquake insurance essential for Carroll County residents facing a 94.40 risk score. Additionally, comprehensive tornado and severe weather coverage—including basement safe rooms or reinforced structures—should be evaluated to protect against the county's 87.12 tornado risk.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index · Narrative reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Preparedness Guide

What to Prepare for in Carroll County

Top Hazards by Exposure

  1. #1
    EarthquakePrepare
    94th percentile
  2. #2
    TornadoPrepare
    87th percentile
  3. #3
    HurricanePrepare
    52th percentile

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.19.0 · Percentiles are national (3,144 counties)

Risk Advisory: Carroll County

Risk Verdict

At the 73th percentile nationally, Carroll County experiences a manageable level of natural hazard risk that falls below the U.S. median. Carroll County's risk profile calls for targeted preparedness, focusing on the hazard categories that dominate the county's score.

Hazard Breakdown

Earthquake risk is Carroll County's dominant natural hazard, ranked at the 94th percentile nationally under FEMA's National Risk Index. Tornado ranks second at the 87th percentile nationally. Additional tracked hazards include hurricane (52th percentile), flood (27th percentile), wildfire (20th percentile).

Preparedness Context

Carroll County's primary hazard, earthquake, ranks at the 94th percentile nationally. Unreinforced masonry structures carry the highest injury risk during seismic events; residents in older buildings should check with their municipality about available seismic retrofit programs. The county's tornado risk at the 87th percentile nationally is a seasonal consideration alongside the year-round earthquake threat, requiring awareness of both hazard types. After a major earthquake, Carroll County residents should expect water service disruption for 24 to 72 or more hours. Storing a minimum of one gallon per person per day for three days — before any event — is the most direct preparedness action households can take.

Regional Context

Carroll County falls 20.4 points above Tennessee's typical county risk level, which means the hazard environment here is notably more demanding than the state baseline.

Is your household prepared for Carroll County's hazards?

Review FEMA's county-specific preparedness checklists and emergency planning guides.

FEMA Ready Guide →

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the natural disaster risk in Carroll County, TN?
Carroll County has a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Relatively Low, placing it in the 73th percentile nationally out of 3,144 counties. This composite score reflects the county's overall exposure to natural hazards including floods, wildfires, tornadoes, earthquakes, and hurricanes, weighted by expected annual loss and social vulnerability.
What types of natural hazards affect Carroll County?
Carroll County is evaluated for five major natural hazard types: earthquake (94th percentile), tornado (87th percentile), hurricane (52th percentile), flooding (27th percentile), wildfire (20th percentile). The highest-risk hazard is earthquake at the 94th percentile nationally. These scores are derived from FEMA's National Risk Index, which analyzes expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience for each hazard type.
How does Carroll County risk compare to the Tennessee average?
Carroll County's composite risk percentile is 73th, compared to the Tennessee state average of 53th percentile. The state's overall risk rating is Relatively Low. This means Carroll County faces higher natural disaster risk than the typical county in Tennessee.
Is Carroll County at risk for earthquake?
Yes, Carroll County's earthquake risk is at the 94th percentile nationally. This places it in the top quartile for this hazard type. For flooding specifically, Carroll County is at the 27th percentile.
How is natural disaster risk measured?
FEMA's National Risk Index (NRI) calculates risk scores for 18 natural hazard types across all U.S. counties and census tracts. The composite score combines Expected Annual Loss (estimated dollar losses from each hazard), Social Vulnerability (demographic factors affecting disaster impact), and Community Resilience (ability to recover). Percentile scores rank each county against all 3,144 U.S. counties, and risk ratings range from Very Low to Very High.
Why is Carroll County higher risk than average?
Carroll County's composite risk score of 73th percentile is above the Tennessee state average of 53th percentile. This elevated risk is driven by earthquake exposure (94th percentile), along with tornado and hurricane risk. Geographic location, terrain, climate patterns, and proximity to flood zones or fault lines all influence a county's risk profile.
By Evan Brooks, Data EditorUpdated Reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Data Source

Risk data sourced from the FEMA National Risk Index (NRI). Risk scores are relative rankings (0–100) across all US counties — not absolute risk measures. Higher scores indicate higher relative risk compared to other counties.

Disclaimer: This data is informational only. It is not financial, insurance, or legal advice. Always consult a qualified professional before making insurance or real estate decisions.