riskbycounty
FEMA NRI 1.19.0Updated Nov 2023 · Coverage 2014–2023Methodology

Cocke County Disaster Risk

Cocke County, Tennessee

FEMA Risk Rating

Relatively Low

National Percentile

55th

of 3,144 counties

State Rank

#50

of 95 (1 = highest risk)

Flood Risk

68th

percentile

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Flood

River, coastal, and surface flooding risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 68% of US counties

Wildfire

Wildland and wildland-urban interface fire risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 62% of US counties

Tornado

Tornado and severe thunderstorm risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 50% of US counties

Earthquake

Seismic activity and ground shaking risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 77% of US counties

Hurricane

Tropical cyclone and hurricane risk

Very Low

Higher than 36% of US counties

Risk Overview

About Natural Disaster Risk in Cocke County, Tennessee

Cocke County exceeds state average slightly

Cocke County's composite risk score of 54.52 sits just above Tennessee's state average of 52.45, indicating slightly elevated vulnerability to natural disasters. The county's relatively low overall rating masks significant exposure in flood and wildfire categories concentrated in its Appalachian terrain.

Mid-range risk among Tennessee counties

Cocke County ranks in the middle range of Tennessee's 95 counties by composite risk score, reflecting its position as a moderately exposed East Tennessee mountain county. The county's elevation and forest cover drive its hazard concentrations.

Lower wildfire risk than nearby Claiborne

Cocke County's wildfire risk of 61.77 is notably lower than Claiborne County's 81.36 to the west, though its flood risk (68.48) exceeds Claiborne's (51.72). This variation reflects Cocke's valley and riparian geography compared to Claiborne's higher-elevation plateau.

Floods and wildfires dominate local threats

Flood risk (68.48) and wildfire risk (61.77) represent Cocke County's primary concerns, both substantially above the state average and reflecting the county's Appalachian mountain and forest environment. Earthquake risk (76.91) ranks third, while tornado and hurricane risks remain secondary.

Prioritize flood and wildfire mitigation

Cocke County residents near waterways should obtain federal flood insurance to address the county's 68.48 flood risk, particularly in historic floodplain areas. Defensible space management and wildfire insurance are equally critical given the county's 61.77 wildfire risk and substantial forest cover.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index · Narrative reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Preparedness Guide

What to Prepare for in Cocke County

Top Hazards by Exposure

  1. #1
    EarthquakePrepare
    77th percentile
  2. #2
    FloodPrepare
    68th percentile
  3. #3
    WildfirePrepare
    62th percentile

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.19.0 · Percentiles are national (3,144 counties)

Risk Advisory: Cocke County

Risk Verdict

Natural hazard pressure in Cocke County is below the national midpoint, with a composite score at the 55th percentile. Proactive emergency planning and awareness of the specific hazards driving Cocke County's score can meaningfully reduce household risk.

Hazard Breakdown

Earthquake risk is Cocke County's dominant natural hazard, ranked at the 77th percentile nationally under FEMA's National Risk Index. Flood ranks second at the 68th percentile nationally. Additional tracked hazards include wildfire (62th percentile), tornado (50th percentile), hurricane (36th percentile).

Preparedness Context

Earthquake exposure at the 77th percentile nationally puts Cocke County in a zone where utilities — gas, water, electrical — are the most common post-quake hazard. Knowing how to shut off the main gas valve is an important household skill to develop before an event occurs. The county's flood risk at the 68th percentile nationally is a seasonal consideration alongside the year-round earthquake threat, requiring awareness of both hazard types. Cocke County households benefit from keeping shoes and a flashlight near the bed — post-earthquake navigation through debris in the dark is a common cause of secondary injury. This low-cost step has outsized protective value.

Regional Context

Cocke County's risk score is broadly comparable to the Tennessee county average, with a 2.1-point gap that places the county near the center of the state's hazard distribution.

Is your household prepared for Cocke County's hazards?

Review FEMA's county-specific preparedness checklists and emergency planning guides.

FEMA Ready Guide →

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the natural disaster risk in Cocke County, TN?
Cocke County has a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Relatively Low, placing it in the 55th percentile nationally out of 3,144 counties. This composite score reflects the county's overall exposure to natural hazards including floods, wildfires, tornadoes, earthquakes, and hurricanes, weighted by expected annual loss and social vulnerability.
What types of natural hazards affect Cocke County?
Cocke County is evaluated for five major natural hazard types: earthquake (77th percentile), flooding (68th percentile), wildfire (62th percentile), tornado (50th percentile), hurricane (36th percentile). The highest-risk hazard is earthquake at the 77th percentile nationally. These scores are derived from FEMA's National Risk Index, which analyzes expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience for each hazard type.
How does Cocke County risk compare to the Tennessee average?
Cocke County's composite risk percentile is 55th, compared to the Tennessee state average of 53th percentile. The state's overall risk rating is Relatively Low. This means Cocke County faces higher natural disaster risk than the typical county in Tennessee.
Is Cocke County at risk for earthquake?
Yes, Cocke County's earthquake risk is at the 77th percentile nationally. This places it in the top quartile for this hazard type. For flooding specifically, Cocke County is at the 68th percentile.
How is natural disaster risk measured?
FEMA's National Risk Index (NRI) calculates risk scores for 18 natural hazard types across all U.S. counties and census tracts. The composite score combines Expected Annual Loss (estimated dollar losses from each hazard), Social Vulnerability (demographic factors affecting disaster impact), and Community Resilience (ability to recover). Percentile scores rank each county against all 3,144 U.S. counties, and risk ratings range from Very Low to Very High.
Why is Cocke County higher risk than average?
Cocke County's composite risk score of 55th percentile is above the Tennessee state average of 53th percentile. This elevated risk is driven by earthquake exposure (77th percentile), along with flooding and wildfire and tornado risk. Geographic location, terrain, climate patterns, and proximity to flood zones or fault lines all influence a county's risk profile.
By Evan Brooks, Data EditorUpdated Reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Data Source

Risk data sourced from the FEMA National Risk Index (NRI). Risk scores are relative rankings (0–100) across all US counties — not absolute risk measures. Higher scores indicate higher relative risk compared to other counties.

Disclaimer: This data is informational only. It is not financial, insurance, or legal advice. Always consult a qualified professional before making insurance or real estate decisions.