riskbycounty
FEMA NRI 1.19.0Updated Nov 2023 · Coverage 2014–2023Methodology

Atascosa County Disaster Risk

Atascosa County, Texas

FEMA Risk Rating

Relatively Low

National Percentile

61th

of 3,144 counties

State Rank

#106

of 254 (1 = highest risk)

Flood Risk

61th

percentile

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Flood

River, coastal, and surface flooding risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 61% of US counties

Wildfire

Wildland and wildland-urban interface fire risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 75% of US counties

Tornado

Tornado and severe thunderstorm risk

Moderate

Higher than 82% of US counties

Earthquake

Seismic activity and ground shaking risk

Very Low

Higher than 18% of US counties

Hurricane

Tropical cyclone and hurricane risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 67% of US counties

Risk Overview

About Natural Disaster Risk in Atascosa County, Texas

Atascosa faces moderate risk

Atascosa County scores 60.69 on the composite risk scale, placing it in the relatively low category but above the national average. This South Texas location faces meaningful natural disaster exposure spanning multiple hazard types.

Above average for Texas

Atascosa County's 60.69 composite score exceeds Texas's state average of 49.00, putting it in the higher-risk tier of Texas counties. The county experiences notably elevated natural hazard exposure compared to most state peers.

Mid-range South Texas exposure

Atascosa County's 60.69 score reflects typical South Texas hazard patterns, placing it near other regional communities in the state's moderate-risk range. Neighboring counties share similar tornado and hurricane vulnerabilities.

Tornadoes and hurricanes lead

Tornado risk reaches 81.97 in Atascosa County and hurricane risk scores 66.75, making severe weather your primary concerns. Wildfire (74.81) and flood (61.04) risks also exceed state averages, creating diverse hazard exposure.

Prepare for severe weather season

Atascosa County's high tornado risk (81.97) demands verified wind coverage in your homeowners policy and a safe shelter plan for your household. Add flood insurance through the National Flood Insurance Program given the 61.04 flood risk, and ensure your policy covers hurricane wind damage or secure supplemental windstorm coverage.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index · Narrative reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Preparedness Guide

What to Prepare for in Atascosa County

Top Hazards by Exposure

  1. #1
    TornadoPrepare
    82th percentile
  2. #2
    WildfirePrepare
    75th percentile
  3. #3
    HurricanePrepare
    67th percentile

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.19.0 · Percentiles are national (3,144 counties)

Risk Advisory: Atascosa County

Risk Verdict

Atascosa County has a below-average natural disaster risk profile, scoring at the 61th percentile nationally under FEMA's National Risk Index. Households in Atascosa County benefit from knowing which individual hazard types — flood, wildfire, tornado, or hurricane — are the primary contributors.

Hazard Breakdown

Tornado risk is Atascosa County's dominant natural hazard, ranked at the 82th percentile nationally under FEMA's National Risk Index. Wildfire ranks second at the 75th percentile nationally. Additional tracked hazards include hurricane (67th percentile), flood (61th percentile), earthquake (18th percentile).

Preparedness Context

Tornado risk is Atascosa County's top-ranked natural hazard at the 82th percentile nationally. For Atascosa County households, the most protective action available is identifying a reinforced interior room on the lowest floor — a bathroom, closet, or central hallway away from windows. Alongside tornado exposure, wildfire at the 75th percentile nationally means Atascosa County households face multi-hazard severe-weather seasons that benefit from a single integrated emergency plan covering both threats. A battery-powered NOAA All Hazards weather radio with an auto-alert tone is the highest-leverage single item for tornado preparedness in Atascosa County, since it delivers warnings even when power is out and phone networks are congested.

Regional Context

Atascosa County's composite risk score sits 11.7 points above the Texas county average, placing it among the more hazard-exposed counties in the state.

Is your household prepared for Atascosa County's hazards?

Review FEMA's county-specific preparedness checklists and emergency planning guides.

FEMA Ready Guide →

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the natural disaster risk in Atascosa County, TX?
Atascosa County has a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Relatively Low, placing it in the 61th percentile nationally out of 3,144 counties. This composite score reflects the county's overall exposure to natural hazards including floods, wildfires, tornadoes, earthquakes, and hurricanes, weighted by expected annual loss and social vulnerability.
What types of natural hazards affect Atascosa County?
Atascosa County is evaluated for five major natural hazard types: tornado (82th percentile), wildfire (75th percentile), hurricane (67th percentile), flooding (61th percentile), earthquake (18th percentile). The highest-risk hazard is tornado at the 82th percentile nationally. These scores are derived from FEMA's National Risk Index, which analyzes expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience for each hazard type.
How does Atascosa County risk compare to the Texas average?
Atascosa County's composite risk percentile is 61th, compared to the Texas state average of 49th percentile. The state's overall risk rating is Relatively Low. This means Atascosa County faces higher natural disaster risk than the typical county in Texas.
Is Atascosa County at risk for tornado?
Yes, Atascosa County's tornado risk is at the 82th percentile nationally. This places it in the top quartile for this hazard type. For flooding specifically, Atascosa County is at the 61th percentile.
How is natural disaster risk measured?
FEMA's National Risk Index (NRI) calculates risk scores for 18 natural hazard types across all U.S. counties and census tracts. The composite score combines Expected Annual Loss (estimated dollar losses from each hazard), Social Vulnerability (demographic factors affecting disaster impact), and Community Resilience (ability to recover). Percentile scores rank each county against all 3,144 U.S. counties, and risk ratings range from Very Low to Very High.
Why is Atascosa County higher risk than average?
Atascosa County's composite risk score of 61th percentile is above the Texas state average of 49th percentile. This elevated risk is driven by tornado exposure (82th percentile), along with wildfire and hurricane and flooding risk. Geographic location, terrain, climate patterns, and proximity to flood zones or fault lines all influence a county's risk profile.
By Evan Brooks, Data EditorUpdated Reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Data Source

Risk data sourced from the FEMA National Risk Index (NRI). Risk scores are relative rankings (0–100) across all US counties — not absolute risk measures. Higher scores indicate higher relative risk compared to other counties.

Disclaimer: This data is informational only. It is not financial, insurance, or legal advice. Always consult a qualified professional before making insurance or real estate decisions.