riskbycounty
FEMA NRI 1.19.0Updated Nov 2023 · Coverage 2014–2023Methodology

Harris County Disaster Risk

Harris County, Texas

FEMA Risk Rating

Very High

National Percentile

100th

of 3,144 counties

State Rank

#1

of 254 (1 = highest risk)

Flood Risk

100th

percentile

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Flood

River, coastal, and surface flooding risk

Very High

Higher than 100% of US counties

Wildfire

Wildland and wildland-urban interface fire risk

Moderate

Higher than 85% of US counties

Tornado

Tornado and severe thunderstorm risk

Very High

Higher than 100% of US counties

Earthquake

Seismic activity and ground shaking risk

Moderate

Higher than 92% of US counties

Hurricane

Tropical cyclone and hurricane risk

Very High

Higher than 100% of US counties

Risk Overview

About Natural Disaster Risk in Harris County, Texas

Harris County faces extreme disaster risk

Harris County's composite risk score of 99.94 represents one of the highest exposures nationally, with a Very High rating indicating critical vulnerability across all hazard types. The nation's fourth-largest county confronts severe, overlapping threats from hurricanes, flooding, tornadoes, and seismic activity.

Texas's highest natural disaster risk

Harris County's composite score of 99.94 dramatically exceeds the Texas state average of 49.00—more than double—placing it as the state's most at-risk major county. Houston's massive population concentration amplifies the stakes of its exceptional disaster exposure.

Riskier than all neighboring counties

Harris County's disaster profile far exceeds that of Galveston, Brazoria, Chambers, and Liberty counties, despite all being Gulf Coast jurisdictions. Its larger footprint, denser development, and exposure to Houston's subsidence and urban heat all compound disaster risk.

Hurricanes, tornadoes, and floods are certain

Harris County faces near-maximum risk across three critical hazards: tornado (100.00), hurricane (100.00), and flood (99.97) scores. These overlapping threats mean severe storms regularly produce compounding damage—flooding during hurricanes, flash floods from tornadic rain, and wind-driven surge.

Comprehensive, specialized coverage is essential

Harris County residents cannot rely on standard homeowner's insurance alone—flood insurance, windstorm coverage, and robust liability protection are mandatory. Document your property thoroughly, maintain elevation where possible, and review all policies annually as insurers adjust rates for this high-risk market.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index · Narrative reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Preparedness Guide

What to Prepare for in Harris County

Top Hazards by Exposure

  1. #1
    TornadoPrepare
    100th percentile
  2. #2
    HurricanePrepare
    100th percentile
  3. #3
    FloodPrepare
    100th percentile

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.19.0 · Percentiles are national (3,144 counties)

Risk Advisory: Harris County

Risk Verdict

At the 100th percentile nationally, Harris County faces one of the most concentrated natural disaster risk profiles of any U.S. county. Harris County's elevated composite score reflects cumulative multi-hazard exposure; households should prepare for the county's two or three primary hazard types.

Hazard Breakdown

Tornado risk is Harris County's dominant natural hazard, ranked at the 100th percentile nationally under FEMA's National Risk Index. Hurricane ranks second at the 100th percentile nationally. Additional tracked hazards include flood (100th percentile), earthquake (92th percentile), wildfire (85th percentile).

Preparedness Context

Ranked at the 100th percentile nationally for tornado risk, Harris County is in a zone where storm shelters have the highest per-dollar protective value of any mitigation investment. Harris County's county shelter map is typically available through the local emergency management office. The secondary hurricane hazard at the 100th percentile nationally adds seasonal complexity to Harris County's preparedness calendar, since hurricane and tornado risk often peak at different points in the year. Harris County residents can check the county's emergency management website for community shelter locations nearest their address — a step worth completing now, not during a warning.

Regional Context

A composite score 50.9 points above the Texas state average puts Harris County in a higher-risk category than most counties in the state.

Is your household prepared for Harris County's hazards?

Review FEMA's county-specific preparedness checklists and emergency planning guides.

FEMA Ready Guide →

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the natural disaster risk in Harris County, TX?
Harris County has a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Very High, placing it in the 100th percentile nationally out of 3,144 counties. This composite score reflects the county's overall exposure to natural hazards including floods, wildfires, tornadoes, earthquakes, and hurricanes, weighted by expected annual loss and social vulnerability.
What types of natural hazards affect Harris County?
Harris County is evaluated for five major natural hazard types: tornado (100th percentile), hurricane (100th percentile), flooding (100th percentile), earthquake (92th percentile), wildfire (85th percentile). The highest-risk hazard is tornado at the 100th percentile nationally. These scores are derived from FEMA's National Risk Index, which analyzes expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience for each hazard type.
How does Harris County risk compare to the Texas average?
Harris County's composite risk percentile is 100th, compared to the Texas state average of 49th percentile. The state's overall risk rating is Relatively Low. This means Harris County faces higher natural disaster risk than the typical county in Texas.
Is Harris County at risk for tornado?
Yes, Harris County's tornado risk is at the 100th percentile nationally. This places it in the top quartile for this hazard type. For flooding specifically, Harris County is at the 100th percentile.
How is natural disaster risk measured?
FEMA's National Risk Index (NRI) calculates risk scores for 18 natural hazard types across all U.S. counties and census tracts. The composite score combines Expected Annual Loss (estimated dollar losses from each hazard), Social Vulnerability (demographic factors affecting disaster impact), and Community Resilience (ability to recover). Percentile scores rank each county against all 3,144 U.S. counties, and risk ratings range from Very Low to Very High.
Why is Harris County higher risk than average?
Harris County's composite risk score of 100th percentile is above the Texas state average of 49th percentile. This elevated risk is driven by tornado exposure (100th percentile), along with hurricane and flooding and earthquake and wildfire risk. Geographic location, terrain, climate patterns, and proximity to flood zones or fault lines all influence a county's risk profile.
By Evan Brooks, Data EditorUpdated Reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Data Source

Risk data sourced from the FEMA National Risk Index (NRI). Risk scores are relative rankings (0–100) across all US counties — not absolute risk measures. Higher scores indicate higher relative risk compared to other counties.

Disclaimer: This data is informational only. It is not financial, insurance, or legal advice. Always consult a qualified professional before making insurance or real estate decisions.