riskbycounty
FEMA NRI 1.19.0Updated Nov 2023 · Coverage 2014–2023Methodology

Hidalgo County Disaster Risk

Hidalgo County, Texas

FEMA Risk Rating

Relatively High

National Percentile

99th

of 3,144 counties

State Rank

#5

of 254 (1 = highest risk)

Flood Risk

96th

percentile

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Flood

River, coastal, and surface flooding risk

Relatively High

Higher than 96% of US counties

Wildfire

Wildland and wildland-urban interface fire risk

Moderate

Higher than 84% of US counties

Tornado

Tornado and severe thunderstorm risk

Relatively High

Higher than 96% of US counties

Earthquake

Seismic activity and ground shaking risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 79% of US counties

Hurricane

Tropical cyclone and hurricane risk

Relatively High

Higher than 99% of US counties

Risk Overview

About Natural Disaster Risk in Hidalgo County, Texas

Hidalgo faces exceptionally high national risk

Hidalgo County's composite risk score of 99.01 ranks it as "Relatively High" and among the most at-risk counties in the entire United States. This exceptional exposure reflects the Rio Grande Valley's vulnerability to hurricanes, floods, and multiple other hazards.

Highest-risk county in all of Texas

Hidalgo County's score of 99.01 is the absolute highest in Texas and more than double the state average of 49.00. The county's southern location along the Gulf Coast and Mexican border creates unmatched exposure to hurricanes, storm surge, and flooding.

Dramatically riskier than surrounding counties

Hidalgo County's 99.01 score far exceeds all other Texas counties; the next-closest is Hays County at 90.55. Its unique geographic position at the southern tip of Texas creates hazard exposures unmatched elsewhere in the state.

Hurricanes and floods dominate your profile

Hurricane risk reaches 99.50—the highest possible exposure in the state—while flood risk stands at 96.44, creating a severe coastal weather double threat. Tornado risk of 95.99 and earthquake risk of 79.01 complete an exceptionally hazardous profile.

Comprehensive coverage is non-negotiable

Hidalgo residents must carry homeowners insurance, separate flood insurance, and wind/hail coverage to address the county's extreme exposure to hurricanes and flooding. Given the 99+ risk scores for both hurricanes and floods, adequate insurance is essential for financial recovery after major events.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index · Narrative reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Preparedness Guide

What to Prepare for in Hidalgo County

Top Hazards by Exposure

  1. #1
    HurricanePrepare
    99th percentile
  2. #2
    FloodPrepare
    96th percentile
  3. #3
    TornadoPrepare
    96th percentile

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.19.0 · Percentiles are national (3,144 counties)

Risk Advisory: Hidalgo County

Risk Verdict

Natural hazard exposure in Hidalgo County is notably high, placing it at the 99th percentile among all U.S. counties. Hidalgo County's elevated composite score reflects cumulative multi-hazard exposure; households should prepare for the county's two or three primary hazard types.

Hazard Breakdown

Hurricane risk is Hidalgo County's dominant natural hazard, ranked at the 99th percentile nationally under FEMA's National Risk Index. Flood ranks second at the 96th percentile nationally. Additional tracked hazards include tornado (96th percentile), wildfire (84th percentile), earthquake (79th percentile).

Preparedness Context

At the 99th percentile nationally for hurricane risk, Hidalgo County is in a zone where flood insurance matters beyond the primary wind risk: NFIP flood insurance requires a 30-day waiting period before taking effect, making off-season enrollment the correct timing. Flood at the 96th percentile nationally is Hidalgo County's secondary hazard, often intensified by the same weather systems that produce hurricane conditions. For Hidalgo County households, the hurricane preparedness calendar matters: flood insurance has a 30-day waiting period, wind-hardening retrofits take weeks to schedule, and evacuation route scouting is best done before a storm watch is issued.

Regional Context

A composite score 50.0 points above the Texas state average puts Hidalgo County in a higher-risk category than most counties in the state.

Is your household prepared for Hidalgo County's hazards?

Review FEMA's county-specific preparedness checklists and emergency planning guides.

FEMA Ready Guide →

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the natural disaster risk in Hidalgo County, TX?
Hidalgo County has a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Relatively High, placing it in the 99th percentile nationally out of 3,144 counties. This composite score reflects the county's overall exposure to natural hazards including floods, wildfires, tornadoes, earthquakes, and hurricanes, weighted by expected annual loss and social vulnerability.
What types of natural hazards affect Hidalgo County?
Hidalgo County is evaluated for five major natural hazard types: hurricane (99th percentile), flooding (96th percentile), tornado (96th percentile), wildfire (84th percentile), earthquake (79th percentile). The highest-risk hazard is hurricane at the 99th percentile nationally. These scores are derived from FEMA's National Risk Index, which analyzes expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience for each hazard type.
How does Hidalgo County risk compare to the Texas average?
Hidalgo County's composite risk percentile is 99th, compared to the Texas state average of 49th percentile. The state's overall risk rating is Relatively Low. This means Hidalgo County faces higher natural disaster risk than the typical county in Texas.
Is Hidalgo County at risk for hurricane?
Yes, Hidalgo County's hurricane risk is at the 99th percentile nationally. This places it in the top quartile for this hazard type. For flooding specifically, Hidalgo County is at the 96th percentile.
How is natural disaster risk measured?
FEMA's National Risk Index (NRI) calculates risk scores for 18 natural hazard types across all U.S. counties and census tracts. The composite score combines Expected Annual Loss (estimated dollar losses from each hazard), Social Vulnerability (demographic factors affecting disaster impact), and Community Resilience (ability to recover). Percentile scores rank each county against all 3,144 U.S. counties, and risk ratings range from Very Low to Very High.
Why is Hidalgo County higher risk than average?
Hidalgo County's composite risk score of 99th percentile is above the Texas state average of 49th percentile. This elevated risk is driven by hurricane exposure (99th percentile), along with flooding and tornado and wildfire and earthquake risk. Geographic location, terrain, climate patterns, and proximity to flood zones or fault lines all influence a county's risk profile.
By Evan Brooks, Data EditorUpdated Reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Data Source

Risk data sourced from the FEMA National Risk Index (NRI). Risk scores are relative rankings (0–100) across all US counties — not absolute risk measures. Higher scores indicate higher relative risk compared to other counties.

Disclaimer: This data is informational only. It is not financial, insurance, or legal advice. Always consult a qualified professional before making insurance or real estate decisions.