riskbycounty
FEMA NRI 1.19.0Updated Nov 2023 · Coverage 2014–2023Methodology

Hill County Disaster Risk

Hill County, Texas

FEMA Risk Rating

Relatively Low

National Percentile

73th

of 3,144 counties

State Rank

#73

of 254 (1 = highest risk)

Flood Risk

46th

percentile

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Flood

River, coastal, and surface flooding risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 46% of US counties

Wildfire

Wildland and wildland-urban interface fire risk

Moderate

Higher than 82% of US counties

Tornado

Tornado and severe thunderstorm risk

Moderate

Higher than 90% of US counties

Earthquake

Seismic activity and ground shaking risk

Very Low

Higher than 31% of US counties

Hurricane

Tropical cyclone and hurricane risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 66% of US counties

Risk Overview

About Natural Disaster Risk in Hill County, Texas

Hill County's risk moderately exceeds national norm

Hill County's composite risk score of 72.96 places it in the "Relatively Low" category but still above the national average. The central Texas county faces concentrated exposure to severe weather hazards that define its overall profile.

Above-average risk for Texas

With a score of 72.96 compared to Texas's state average of 49.00, Hill County ranks as higher-risk than typical for the state. The county's location in central Texas makes it vulnerable to tornado and wildfire activity.

Mid-range risk in central Texas region

Hill County's 72.96 score places it between Hood County (70.52) and Hays County (90.55) in the central Texas cluster. The county faces higher overall risk than most state peers but less severe exposure than Hays County to the east.

Tornadoes and wildfires are top concerns

Tornado risk of 89.79 and wildfire risk of 82.19 are Hill County's principal hazards, creating a spring severe weather and drought-fire vulnerability. Flood risk of 45.90 is notably lower than adjacent counties, but still meaningful.

Prioritize wind and wildfire protection

Hill County residents should ensure homeowners policies provide comprehensive wind/hail coverage and consider wildfire protection measures like defensible landscaping. Verify your insurance covers tornado and straight-line wind damage, which are your area's most frequent threats.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index · Narrative reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Preparedness Guide

What to Prepare for in Hill County

Top Hazards by Exposure

  1. #1
    TornadoPrepare
    90th percentile
  2. #2
    WildfirePrepare
    82th percentile
  3. #3
    HurricanePrepare
    66th percentile

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.19.0 · Percentiles are national (3,144 counties)

Risk Advisory: Hill County

Risk Verdict

With a national percentile rank of 73th, Hill County faces below-average hazard exposure relative to U.S. counties as a whole. Above-average risk does not mean imminent danger; it signals that informed, hazard-specific preparedness has high value here.

Hazard Breakdown

Tornado risk is Hill County's dominant natural hazard, ranked at the 90th percentile nationally under FEMA's National Risk Index. Wildfire ranks second at the 82th percentile nationally. Additional tracked hazards include hurricane (66th percentile), flood (46th percentile), earthquake (31th percentile).

Preparedness Context

At the 90th percentile nationally for tornado risk, Hill County households benefit most from a reliable alert system — a NOAA weather radio that activates during overnight hours when residents may not be checking smartphone alerts. Alongside tornado exposure, wildfire at the 82th percentile nationally means Hill County households face multi-hazard severe-weather seasons that benefit from a single integrated emergency plan covering both threats. For Hill County households, a pre-decided family shelter plan — who goes where, how children are retrieved from school during a warning, and a neighborhood meet-up point if phones fail — provides real protection that no supply kit alone can replicate.

Regional Context

At 24.0 points above the Texas state average, Hill County carries meaningfully higher natural disaster exposure than a typical Texas county.

Is your household prepared for Hill County's hazards?

Review FEMA's county-specific preparedness checklists and emergency planning guides.

FEMA Ready Guide →

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the natural disaster risk in Hill County, TX?
Hill County has a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Relatively Low, placing it in the 73th percentile nationally out of 3,144 counties. This composite score reflects the county's overall exposure to natural hazards including floods, wildfires, tornadoes, earthquakes, and hurricanes, weighted by expected annual loss and social vulnerability.
What types of natural hazards affect Hill County?
Hill County is evaluated for five major natural hazard types: tornado (90th percentile), wildfire (82th percentile), hurricane (66th percentile), flooding (46th percentile), earthquake (31th percentile). The highest-risk hazard is tornado at the 90th percentile nationally. These scores are derived from FEMA's National Risk Index, which analyzes expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience for each hazard type.
How does Hill County risk compare to the Texas average?
Hill County's composite risk percentile is 73th, compared to the Texas state average of 49th percentile. The state's overall risk rating is Relatively Low. This means Hill County faces higher natural disaster risk than the typical county in Texas.
Is Hill County at risk for tornado?
Yes, Hill County's tornado risk is at the 90th percentile nationally. This places it in the top quartile for this hazard type. For flooding specifically, Hill County is at the 46th percentile.
How is natural disaster risk measured?
FEMA's National Risk Index (NRI) calculates risk scores for 18 natural hazard types across all U.S. counties and census tracts. The composite score combines Expected Annual Loss (estimated dollar losses from each hazard), Social Vulnerability (demographic factors affecting disaster impact), and Community Resilience (ability to recover). Percentile scores rank each county against all 3,144 U.S. counties, and risk ratings range from Very Low to Very High.
Why is Hill County higher risk than average?
Hill County's composite risk score of 73th percentile is above the Texas state average of 49th percentile. This elevated risk is driven by tornado exposure (90th percentile), along with wildfire and hurricane risk. Geographic location, terrain, climate patterns, and proximity to flood zones or fault lines all influence a county's risk profile.
By Evan Brooks, Data EditorUpdated Reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Data Source

Risk data sourced from the FEMA National Risk Index (NRI). Risk scores are relative rankings (0–100) across all US counties — not absolute risk measures. Higher scores indicate higher relative risk compared to other counties.

Disclaimer: This data is informational only. It is not financial, insurance, or legal advice. Always consult a qualified professional before making insurance or real estate decisions.