riskbycounty
FEMA NRI 1.19.0Updated Nov 2023 · Coverage 2014–2023Methodology

Madison County Disaster Risk

Madison County, Texas

FEMA Risk Rating

Very Low

National Percentile

35th

of 3,144 counties

State Rank

#157

of 254 (1 = highest risk)

Flood Risk

24th

percentile

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Flood

River, coastal, and surface flooding risk

Very Low

Higher than 24% of US counties

Wildfire

Wildland and wildland-urban interface fire risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 48% of US counties

Tornado

Tornado and severe thunderstorm risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 55% of US counties

Earthquake

Seismic activity and ground shaking risk

Very Low

Higher than 18% of US counties

Hurricane

Tropical cyclone and hurricane risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 79% of US counties

Risk Overview

About Natural Disaster Risk in Madison County, Texas

Madison County risks remain safely below national average

Madison County's composite risk score of 34.89 places it well below the national average, earning a "Very Low" rating despite some elevated specific hazards. The county's overall disaster risk profile is favorable compared to typical U.S. counties. However, certain individual hazards—particularly hurricane and tornado risk—deserve specific attention.

Madison ranks in the safer half of Texas counties

At 34.89, Madison County scores notably below Texas' state average of 49.00, placing it in the lower-risk tier of counties statewide. The county benefits from a position that avoids the worst tornado alleys and wildfire zones that plague other Texas regions. However, its proximity to the Gulf makes hurricane risk a meaningful factor.

Comparable risk to Marion County, higher than Mason

Madison County's risk profile (34.89) closely mirrors Marion County (29.17) while exceeding safer neighbors like Mason County (10.97) and McCulloch County (10.05). The county sits in the middle range for the East Texas region, with moderately elevated hurricane and tornado exposure. Its inland position moderates coastal flooding threats that impact Gulf-facing counties.

Hurricane and tornado threats dominate Madison's hazards

Hurricane risk reaches 79.10 in Madison County—exceptionally high and a major concern for coastal-adjacent East Texas residents. Tornado risk follows at 55.44, representing a significant severe weather threat during spring months. Wildfire (47.84) and flood (23.82) risks remain secondary but warrant baseline preparedness.

Prioritize hurricane and tornado coverage now

Madison County residents must secure comprehensive homeowners insurance with explicit windstorm and hail coverage to address hurricane and tornado threats. Consider a separate windstorm policy if standard coverage limits are insufficient, given the county's elevated hurricane exposure of 79.10. Safe room construction or basement reinforcement should be evaluated for family safety during severe weather events.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index · Narrative reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Preparedness Guide

What to Prepare for in Madison County

Top Hazards by Exposure

  1. #1
    HurricanePrepare
    79th percentile
  2. #2
    TornadoPrepare
    55th percentile
  3. #3
    WildfirePrepare
    48th percentile

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.19.0 · Percentiles are national (3,144 counties)

Risk Advisory: Madison County

Risk Verdict

Natural disaster exposure in Madison County is lower than roughly three-quarters of U.S. counties, with a composite score at the 35th percentile. Even at the 35th percentile, Madison County's composite score reflects real hazard exposure categories — knowing which ones apply locally enables targeted, efficient household preparedness.

Hazard Breakdown

Hurricane risk is Madison County's dominant natural hazard, ranked at the 79th percentile nationally under FEMA's National Risk Index. Tornado ranks second at the 55th percentile nationally. Additional tracked hazards include wildfire (48th percentile), flood (24th percentile), earthquake (18th percentile).

Preparedness Context

At the 79th percentile nationally for hurricane risk, Madison County is in a zone where flood insurance matters beyond the primary wind risk: NFIP flood insurance requires a 30-day waiting period before taking effect, making off-season enrollment the correct timing. Madison County's tornado exposure at the 55th percentile nationally adds a hazard layer that can persist or intensify after hurricane-force winds have passed, particularly in low-lying inland areas. For Madison County households, the hurricane preparedness calendar matters: flood insurance has a 30-day waiting period, wind-hardening retrofits take weeks to schedule, and evacuation route scouting is best done before a storm watch is issued.

Regional Context

Madison County is 14.1 composite risk points below the Texas state mean, meaning most other Texas counties face higher natural hazard exposure.

Is your household prepared for Madison County's hazards?

Review FEMA's county-specific preparedness checklists and emergency planning guides.

FEMA Ready Guide →

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the natural disaster risk in Madison County, TX?
Madison County has a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Very Low, placing it in the 35th percentile nationally out of 3,144 counties. This composite score reflects the county's overall exposure to natural hazards including floods, wildfires, tornadoes, earthquakes, and hurricanes, weighted by expected annual loss and social vulnerability.
What types of natural hazards affect Madison County?
Madison County is evaluated for five major natural hazard types: hurricane (79th percentile), tornado (55th percentile), wildfire (48th percentile), flooding (24th percentile), earthquake (18th percentile). The highest-risk hazard is hurricane at the 79th percentile nationally. These scores are derived from FEMA's National Risk Index, which analyzes expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience for each hazard type.
How does Madison County risk compare to the Texas average?
Madison County's composite risk percentile is 35th, compared to the Texas state average of 49th percentile. The state's overall risk rating is Relatively Low. This means Madison County faces lower natural disaster risk than the typical county in Texas.
Is Madison County at risk for hurricane?
Yes, Madison County's hurricane risk is at the 79th percentile nationally. This places it in the top quartile for this hazard type. For flooding specifically, Madison County is at the 24th percentile.
How is natural disaster risk measured?
FEMA's National Risk Index (NRI) calculates risk scores for 18 natural hazard types across all U.S. counties and census tracts. The composite score combines Expected Annual Loss (estimated dollar losses from each hazard), Social Vulnerability (demographic factors affecting disaster impact), and Community Resilience (ability to recover). Percentile scores rank each county against all 3,144 U.S. counties, and risk ratings range from Very Low to Very High.
Is Madison County a safe place to live?
Madison County's composite risk score of 35th percentile is below the Texas state average of 49th percentile, indicating relatively lower exposure to natural hazards. However, no county is completely risk-free. The primary hazard type is hurricane at the 79th percentile. Residents should still maintain emergency preparedness plans and appropriate insurance coverage.
By Evan Brooks, Data EditorUpdated Reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Data Source

Risk data sourced from the FEMA National Risk Index (NRI). Risk scores are relative rankings (0–100) across all US counties — not absolute risk measures. Higher scores indicate higher relative risk compared to other counties.

Disclaimer: This data is informational only. It is not financial, insurance, or legal advice. Always consult a qualified professional before making insurance or real estate decisions.