riskbycounty
FEMA NRI 1.19.0Updated Nov 2023 · Coverage 2014–2023Methodology

Mitchell County Disaster Risk

Mitchell County, Texas

FEMA Risk Rating

Very Low

National Percentile

20th

of 3,144 counties

State Rank

#194

of 254 (1 = highest risk)

Flood Risk

18th

percentile

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Flood

River, coastal, and surface flooding risk

Very Low

Higher than 18% of US counties

Wildfire

Wildland and wildland-urban interface fire risk

Moderate

Higher than 84% of US counties

Tornado

Tornado and severe thunderstorm risk

Very Low

Higher than 35% of US counties

Earthquake

Seismic activity and ground shaking risk

Very Low

Higher than 12% of US counties

Hurricane

Tropical cyclone and hurricane risk

Very Low

Higher than 24% of US counties

Risk Overview

About Natural Disaster Risk in Mitchell County, Texas

Mitchell's risk well below national norms

Mitchell County's composite risk score of 19.75 falls solidly in the Very Low category, substantially below the national average of roughly 50. The county enjoys meaningful protection from most major natural disaster hazards.

Well below Texas's average exposure

At 19.75, Mitchell's score is less than 40 percent of Texas's state average of 49.00, placing it among the state's safer counties. The county's West Texas location and geography create favorable natural disaster conditions.

Safer than most, riskier than a few

Mitchell's score of 19.75 beats most peers but ranks higher than Menard County (3.05) and Mills County (5.60), though far below Midland (81.20). Its position reflects typical West Texas disaster vulnerability—relatively contained.

Wildfire is the primary local hazard

Wildfire risk of 83.97 is Mitchell's highest exposure, reflecting dry conditions and vegetation typical of West Texas. Tornado risk at 35.40 represents a secondary but manageable threat; all other hazards remain minimal.

Basic insurance with wildfire awareness

Standard homeowners policies suffice for Mitchell's overall low-risk profile, though emphasize wildfire prevention and property maintenance. Keep gutters cleared, trim tree branches away from structures, and maintain defensible space around your home.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index · Narrative reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Preparedness Guide

What to Prepare for in Mitchell County

Top Hazards by Exposure

  1. #1
    WildfirePrepare
    84th percentile
  2. #2
    TornadoPrepare
    35th percentile
  3. #3
    HurricanePrepare
    24th percentile

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.19.0 · Percentiles are national (3,144 counties)

Risk Advisory: Mitchell County

Risk Verdict

Mitchell County's natural disaster risk is among the lowest in the country, with a composite score at the 20th percentile nationally. A preparedness foundation — alert registration, household communication plan, and a basic supply review — costs little and remains valuable even at Mitchell County's favorable 20th percentile ranking.

Hazard Breakdown

Wildfire risk is Mitchell County's dominant natural hazard, ranked at the 84th percentile nationally under FEMA's National Risk Index. Tornado ranks second at the 35th percentile nationally. Additional tracked hazards include hurricane (24th percentile), flood (18th percentile), earthquake (12th percentile).

Preparedness Context

Wildfire is Mitchell County's top-ranked natural hazard at the 84th percentile nationally. Mitchell County residents should assess whether their property lies within or adjacent to a Wildland-Urban Interface (WUI) zone, where ember transport and rapid spread pose the highest risk. A secondary tornado exposure at the 35th percentile nationally means Mitchell County residents face hazards from two distinct natural peril categories during different seasons. For Mitchell County households, a practiced evacuation plan — with a primary and backup route designated before a fire occurs — provides more protection than any structural improvement when a wildfire approaches fast-moving terrain.

Regional Context

The Texas county average exceeds Mitchell County's score by 29.2 composite points — placing this county in the lower-risk tier relative to its in-state peers.

Is your household prepared for Mitchell County's hazards?

Review FEMA's county-specific preparedness checklists and emergency planning guides.

FEMA Ready Guide →

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the natural disaster risk in Mitchell County, TX?
Mitchell County has a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Very Low, placing it in the 20th percentile nationally out of 3,144 counties. This composite score reflects the county's overall exposure to natural hazards including floods, wildfires, tornadoes, earthquakes, and hurricanes, weighted by expected annual loss and social vulnerability.
What types of natural hazards affect Mitchell County?
Mitchell County is evaluated for five major natural hazard types: wildfire (84th percentile), tornado (35th percentile), hurricane (24th percentile), flooding (18th percentile), earthquake (12th percentile). The highest-risk hazard is wildfire at the 84th percentile nationally. These scores are derived from FEMA's National Risk Index, which analyzes expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience for each hazard type.
How does Mitchell County risk compare to the Texas average?
Mitchell County's composite risk percentile is 20th, compared to the Texas state average of 49th percentile. The state's overall risk rating is Relatively Low. This means Mitchell County faces lower natural disaster risk than the typical county in Texas.
Is Mitchell County at risk for wildfire?
Yes, Mitchell County's wildfire risk is at the 84th percentile nationally. This places it in the top quartile for this hazard type. For flooding specifically, Mitchell County is at the 18th percentile.
How is natural disaster risk measured?
FEMA's National Risk Index (NRI) calculates risk scores for 18 natural hazard types across all U.S. counties and census tracts. The composite score combines Expected Annual Loss (estimated dollar losses from each hazard), Social Vulnerability (demographic factors affecting disaster impact), and Community Resilience (ability to recover). Percentile scores rank each county against all 3,144 U.S. counties, and risk ratings range from Very Low to Very High.
Is Mitchell County a safe place to live?
Mitchell County's composite risk score of 20th percentile is below the Texas state average of 49th percentile, indicating relatively lower exposure to natural hazards. However, no county is completely risk-free. The primary hazard type is wildfire at the 84th percentile. Residents should still maintain emergency preparedness plans and appropriate insurance coverage.
By Evan Brooks, Data EditorUpdated Reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Data Source

Risk data sourced from the FEMA National Risk Index (NRI). Risk scores are relative rankings (0–100) across all US counties — not absolute risk measures. Higher scores indicate higher relative risk compared to other counties.

Disclaimer: This data is informational only. It is not financial, insurance, or legal advice. Always consult a qualified professional before making insurance or real estate decisions.