riskbycounty
FEMA NRI 1.19.0Updated Nov 2023 · Coverage 2014–2023Methodology

Nolan County Disaster Risk

Nolan County, Texas

FEMA Risk Rating

Very Low

National Percentile

38th

of 3,144 counties

State Rank

#151

of 254 (1 = highest risk)

Flood Risk

29th

percentile

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Flood

River, coastal, and surface flooding risk

Very Low

Higher than 29% of US counties

Wildfire

Wildland and wildland-urban interface fire risk

Moderate

Higher than 87% of US counties

Tornado

Tornado and severe thunderstorm risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 63% of US counties

Earthquake

Seismic activity and ground shaking risk

Very Low

Higher than 17% of US counties

Hurricane

Tropical cyclone and hurricane risk

Very Low

Higher than 27% of US counties

Risk Overview

About Natural Disaster Risk in Nolan County, Texas

Nolan County sits well below national risk

With a composite risk score of 37.85 and a Very Low rating, Nolan County faces significantly less natural disaster risk than the typical U.S. county. The county's overall exposure is roughly 23% lower than the state average of 49.00, positioning it among the safer regions in Texas for residents and property owners.

Among Texas's safest counties

Nolan County ranks in the bottom tier of risk across all Texas counties, thanks to its very low composite score. This favorable standing reflects limited exposure to most major hazard types, making it a relatively stable place to build and invest.

Safer than surrounding West Texas

Compared to nearby counties, Nolan sits in the lower-risk spectrum with its 37.85 score. Neighbors like Palo Pinto County (55.22) and Panola County (55.44) face meaningfully higher composite risk, making Nolan a relative haven in the region.

Wildfire and tornado are top concerns

Wildfire risk peaks at 86.61—the county's dominant hazard—followed by tornado risk at 62.69, both well above typical thresholds. Flood, hurricane, and earthquake risks all remain minimal, with scores under 30, so property protection should focus on wind and fire resilience.

Prioritize windstorm and fire coverage

Standard homeowners insurance should cover tornado damage, but verify your wildfire coverage—especially if you live near grassland or have brush nearby. Consider a separate windstorm policy if your standard homeowners plan excludes it, since Nolan's wildfire and tornado exposure warrant comprehensive wind and fire protection.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index · Narrative reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Preparedness Guide

What to Prepare for in Nolan County

Top Hazards by Exposure

  1. #1
    WildfirePrepare
    87th percentile
  2. #2
    TornadoPrepare
    63th percentile
  3. #3
    FloodPrepare
    29th percentile

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.19.0 · Percentiles are national (3,144 counties)

Risk Advisory: Nolan County

Risk Verdict

Compared to the nation's 3,144 counties, Nolan County ranks at the 38th percentile for natural disaster risk — toward the safer end of the spectrum. Even at the 38th percentile, Nolan County's composite score reflects real hazard exposure categories — knowing which ones apply locally enables targeted, efficient household preparedness.

Hazard Breakdown

Wildfire risk is Nolan County's dominant natural hazard, ranked at the 87th percentile nationally under FEMA's National Risk Index. Tornado ranks second at the 63th percentile nationally. Additional tracked hazards include flood (29th percentile), hurricane (27th percentile), earthquake (17th percentile).

Preparedness Context

Nolan County sits at the 87th percentile for wildfire exposure. Signing up for Nolan County's county emergency alert system and knowing the pre-planned evacuation route before conditions deteriorate are the two highest-value preparedness actions for residents here. A secondary tornado exposure at the 63th percentile nationally means Nolan County residents face hazards from two distinct natural peril categories during different seasons. In Nolan County, wildfire smoke often precedes the flame front by hours or days; households benefit from tracking EPA's AirNow.gov and having HEPA air filtration available as a first line of indoor protection when air quality alerts are issued.

Regional Context

At 11.2 points below the Texas state average, Nolan County is among the lower-risk counties in the state for natural disaster exposure.

Is your household prepared for Nolan County's hazards?

Review FEMA's county-specific preparedness checklists and emergency planning guides.

FEMA Ready Guide →

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the natural disaster risk in Nolan County, TX?
Nolan County has a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Very Low, placing it in the 38th percentile nationally out of 3,144 counties. This composite score reflects the county's overall exposure to natural hazards including floods, wildfires, tornadoes, earthquakes, and hurricanes, weighted by expected annual loss and social vulnerability.
What types of natural hazards affect Nolan County?
Nolan County is evaluated for five major natural hazard types: wildfire (87th percentile), tornado (63th percentile), flooding (29th percentile), hurricane (27th percentile), earthquake (17th percentile). The highest-risk hazard is wildfire at the 87th percentile nationally. These scores are derived from FEMA's National Risk Index, which analyzes expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience for each hazard type.
How does Nolan County risk compare to the Texas average?
Nolan County's composite risk percentile is 38th, compared to the Texas state average of 49th percentile. The state's overall risk rating is Relatively Low. This means Nolan County faces lower natural disaster risk than the typical county in Texas.
Is Nolan County at risk for wildfire?
Yes, Nolan County's wildfire risk is at the 87th percentile nationally. This places it in the top quartile for this hazard type. For flooding specifically, Nolan County is at the 29th percentile.
How is natural disaster risk measured?
FEMA's National Risk Index (NRI) calculates risk scores for 18 natural hazard types across all U.S. counties and census tracts. The composite score combines Expected Annual Loss (estimated dollar losses from each hazard), Social Vulnerability (demographic factors affecting disaster impact), and Community Resilience (ability to recover). Percentile scores rank each county against all 3,144 U.S. counties, and risk ratings range from Very Low to Very High.
Is Nolan County a safe place to live?
Nolan County's composite risk score of 38th percentile is below the Texas state average of 49th percentile, indicating relatively lower exposure to natural hazards. However, no county is completely risk-free. The primary hazard type is wildfire at the 87th percentile. Residents should still maintain emergency preparedness plans and appropriate insurance coverage.
By Evan Brooks, Data EditorUpdated Reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Data Source

Risk data sourced from the FEMA National Risk Index (NRI). Risk scores are relative rankings (0–100) across all US counties — not absolute risk measures. Higher scores indicate higher relative risk compared to other counties.

Disclaimer: This data is informational only. It is not financial, insurance, or legal advice. Always consult a qualified professional before making insurance or real estate decisions.