riskbycounty
FEMA NRI 1.19.0Updated Nov 2023 · Coverage 2014–2023Methodology

San Juan County Disaster Risk

San Juan County, Utah

FEMA Risk Rating

Very Low

National Percentile

27th

of 3,144 counties

State Rank

#15

of 29 (1 = highest risk)

Flood Risk

24th

percentile

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Flood

River, coastal, and surface flooding risk

Very Low

Higher than 24% of US counties

Wildfire

Wildland and wildland-urban interface fire risk

Moderate

Higher than 82% of US counties

Tornado

Tornado and severe thunderstorm risk

Very Low

Higher than 5% of US counties

Earthquake

Seismic activity and ground shaking risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 56% of US counties

Risk Overview

About Natural Disaster Risk in San Juan County, Utah

San Juan County remains very low-risk

San Juan County's composite risk score of 26.81 places it well below the national average and in the very low risk category. Despite some localized hazard exposure, the county ranks among safer regions nationally.

Below-average risk across Utah

At 26.81, San Juan County scores comfortably below Utah's state average of 36.19. This positioning reflects relatively moderate exposure to most major disaster types.

Lower risk than Sanpete and Sevier

San Juan County's score of 26.81 sits lower than neighboring Sanpete County (38.61) and Sevier County (22.74). The variation reflects differences in elevation, proximity to water, and seismic activity.

Wildfire and earthquake dominate exposure

Wildfire risk (82.35) and earthquake risk (55.69) are San Juan County's primary concerns, while flood (23.95) and tornado risk (5.44) remain minimal. The combination reflects the county's high-desert plateau terrain and geological setting.

Wildfire and earthquake coverage matters most

Prioritize wildfire protection and earthquake insurance in San Juan County, as these represent your significant exposures. Standard homeowners insurance may not cover all wildfire damage, so verify your policy includes this protection.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index · Narrative reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Preparedness Guide

What to Prepare for in San Juan County

Top Hazards by Exposure

  1. #1
    WildfirePrepare
    82th percentile
  2. #2
    EarthquakePrepare
    56th percentile
  3. #3
    FloodPrepare
    24th percentile

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.19.0 · Percentiles are national (3,144 counties)

Risk Advisory: San Juan County

Risk Verdict

At the 27th percentile nationally, San Juan County experiences relatively limited natural hazard pressure compared to most of the country. At the 27th percentile, San Juan County's risk profile is among the more manageable in the country — the hazard-specific breakdown above shows where any remaining preparedness focus is best directed.

Hazard Breakdown

Wildfire risk is San Juan County's dominant natural hazard, ranked at the 82th percentile nationally under FEMA's National Risk Index. Earthquake ranks second at the 56th percentile nationally. Additional tracked hazards include flood (24th percentile), tornado (5th percentile).

Preparedness Context

San Juan County's dominant hazard is wildfire, ranked at the 82th percentile nationally. Maintaining at least 30 feet of lean, clean vegetation around structures in San Juan County and keeping gutters clear of debris significantly reduces ignition risk from wind-driven embers. A secondary earthquake exposure at the 56th percentile nationally means San Juan County residents face hazards from two distinct natural peril categories during different seasons. San Juan County's households benefit from reviewing homeowners insurance before fire season, specifically whether the policy covers replacement cost rather than actual cash value, and whether it includes additional living expenses if displacement is required.

Regional Context

A composite score 9.4 points below the Utah state average puts San Juan County in a better-than-typical position relative to neighboring counties.

Is your household prepared for San Juan County's hazards?

Review FEMA's county-specific preparedness checklists and emergency planning guides.

FEMA Ready Guide →

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the natural disaster risk in San Juan County, UT?
San Juan County has a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Very Low, placing it in the 27th percentile nationally out of 3,144 counties. This composite score reflects the county's overall exposure to natural hazards including floods, wildfires, tornadoes, earthquakes, and hurricanes, weighted by expected annual loss and social vulnerability.
What types of natural hazards affect San Juan County?
San Juan County is evaluated for five major natural hazard types: wildfire (82th percentile), earthquake (56th percentile), flooding (24th percentile), tornado (5th percentile). The highest-risk hazard is wildfire at the 82th percentile nationally. These scores are derived from FEMA's National Risk Index, which analyzes expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience for each hazard type.
How does San Juan County risk compare to the Utah average?
San Juan County's composite risk percentile is 27th, compared to the Utah state average of 36th percentile. The state's overall risk rating is Very Low. This means San Juan County faces lower natural disaster risk than the typical county in Utah.
Is San Juan County at risk for wildfire?
Yes, San Juan County's wildfire risk is at the 82th percentile nationally. This places it in the top quartile for this hazard type. For flooding specifically, San Juan County is at the 24th percentile.
How is natural disaster risk measured?
FEMA's National Risk Index (NRI) calculates risk scores for 18 natural hazard types across all U.S. counties and census tracts. The composite score combines Expected Annual Loss (estimated dollar losses from each hazard), Social Vulnerability (demographic factors affecting disaster impact), and Community Resilience (ability to recover). Percentile scores rank each county against all 3,144 U.S. counties, and risk ratings range from Very Low to Very High.
Is San Juan County a safe place to live?
San Juan County's composite risk score of 27th percentile is below the Utah state average of 36th percentile, indicating relatively lower exposure to natural hazards. However, no county is completely risk-free. The primary hazard type is wildfire at the 82th percentile. Residents should still maintain emergency preparedness plans and appropriate insurance coverage.
By Evan Brooks, Data EditorUpdated Reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Data Source

Risk data sourced from the FEMA National Risk Index (NRI). Risk scores are relative rankings (0–100) across all US counties — not absolute risk measures. Higher scores indicate higher relative risk compared to other counties.

Disclaimer: This data is informational only. It is not financial, insurance, or legal advice. Always consult a qualified professional before making insurance or real estate decisions.