riskbycounty
FEMA NRI 1.19.0Updated Nov 2023 · Coverage 2014–2023Methodology

Chittenden County Disaster Risk

Chittenden County, Vermont

FEMA Risk Rating

Relatively Low

National Percentile

64th

of 3,144 counties

State Rank

#1

of 14 (1 = highest risk)

Flood Risk

76th

percentile

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Flood

River, coastal, and surface flooding risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 76% of US counties

Wildfire

Wildland and wildland-urban interface fire risk

Very Low

Higher than 25% of US counties

Tornado

Tornado and severe thunderstorm risk

Very Low

Higher than 30% of US counties

Earthquake

Seismic activity and ground shaking risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 77% of US counties

Hurricane

Tropical cyclone and hurricane risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 66% of US counties

Risk Overview

About Natural Disaster Risk in Chittenden County, Vermont

Chittenden faces elevated national risk

Chittenden County's composite risk score of 63.90 places it in the "Relatively Low" range nationally but marks it as significantly more hazard-exposed than the average U.S. county. This profile reflects its position on Lake Champlain and exposure to multiple Atlantic storm tracks.

Vermont's riskiest county overall

With a score of 63.90, Chittenden County ranks as the highest-risk jurisdiction among Vermont's eight counties, substantially exceeding the state average of 36.44. The county's concentration of development and lakefront exposure drive this elevated profile.

Significantly riskier than surrounding counties

Chittenden's risk score outpaces neighboring Franklin County (29.20) and Addison County (26.78) by large margins. Its greater population density and extensive shoreline along Lake Champlain create exposure multipliers not seen in more rural neighbors.

Earthquakes, floods, and wind lead hazards

Chittenden County faces its highest risk from earthquakes (76.65) and floods (76.37), both scoring in the upper ranges statewide. Tornado risk (29.52) and hurricane risk (65.92) round out a complex hazard portfolio driven by geography and population concentration.

Multiple insurance layers save homes

Chittenden County residents should carry both NFIP flood insurance and comprehensive homeowners coverage with adequate wind and hail protection. Properties near Lake Champlain or in mapped flood zones face compounded risk and warrant particularly robust coverage.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index · Narrative reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Preparedness Guide

What to Prepare for in Chittenden County

Top Hazards by Exposure

  1. #1
    EarthquakePrepare
    77th percentile
  2. #2
    FloodPrepare
    76th percentile
  3. #3
    HurricanePrepare
    66th percentile

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.19.0 · Percentiles are national (3,144 counties)

Risk Advisory: Chittenden County

Risk Verdict

Chittenden County sits below the national average for natural disaster exposure, ranking at the 64th percentile across all U.S. counties. Understanding the specific hazards behind Chittenden County's ranking helps residents prioritize where to direct emergency planning efforts.

Hazard Breakdown

Earthquake risk is Chittenden County's dominant natural hazard, ranked at the 77th percentile nationally under FEMA's National Risk Index. Flood ranks second at the 76th percentile nationally. Additional tracked hazards include hurricane (66th percentile), tornado (30th percentile), wildfire (25th percentile).

Preparedness Context

At the 77th percentile nationally for earthquake risk, Chittenden County is in a zone where a post-earthquake communications plan matters almost as much as pre-earthquake structural preparation — phone networks are typically congested for hours after a significant event. Alongside earthquake exposure, Chittenden County's flood risk at the 76th percentile nationally reinforces the value of maintaining a household emergency supply cache usable for multiple hazard scenarios. For Chittenden County households, the three highest-impact earthquake preparedness actions are: (1) anchor heavy furniture and water heaters, (2) store three days of water at one gallon per person per day, and (3) identify a family reunification plan for the post-quake communication blackout period.

Regional Context

A composite score 27.5 points above the Vermont state average puts Chittenden County in a higher-risk category than most counties in the state.

Is your household prepared for Chittenden County's hazards?

Review FEMA's county-specific preparedness checklists and emergency planning guides.

FEMA Ready Guide →

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the natural disaster risk in Chittenden County, VT?
Chittenden County has a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Relatively Low, placing it in the 64th percentile nationally out of 3,144 counties. This composite score reflects the county's overall exposure to natural hazards including floods, wildfires, tornadoes, earthquakes, and hurricanes, weighted by expected annual loss and social vulnerability.
What types of natural hazards affect Chittenden County?
Chittenden County is evaluated for five major natural hazard types: earthquake (77th percentile), flooding (76th percentile), hurricane (66th percentile), tornado (30th percentile), wildfire (25th percentile). The highest-risk hazard is earthquake at the 77th percentile nationally. These scores are derived from FEMA's National Risk Index, which analyzes expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience for each hazard type.
How does Chittenden County risk compare to the Vermont average?
Chittenden County's composite risk percentile is 64th, compared to the Vermont state average of 36th percentile. The state's overall risk rating is Very Low. This means Chittenden County faces higher natural disaster risk than the typical county in Vermont.
Is Chittenden County at risk for earthquake?
Yes, Chittenden County's earthquake risk is at the 77th percentile nationally. This places it in the top quartile for this hazard type. For flooding specifically, Chittenden County is at the 76th percentile.
How is natural disaster risk measured?
FEMA's National Risk Index (NRI) calculates risk scores for 18 natural hazard types across all U.S. counties and census tracts. The composite score combines Expected Annual Loss (estimated dollar losses from each hazard), Social Vulnerability (demographic factors affecting disaster impact), and Community Resilience (ability to recover). Percentile scores rank each county against all 3,144 U.S. counties, and risk ratings range from Very Low to Very High.
Why is Chittenden County higher risk than average?
Chittenden County's composite risk score of 64th percentile is above the Vermont state average of 36th percentile. This elevated risk is driven by earthquake exposure (77th percentile), along with flooding and hurricane risk. Geographic location, terrain, climate patterns, and proximity to flood zones or fault lines all influence a county's risk profile.
By Evan Brooks, Data EditorUpdated Reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Data Source

Risk data sourced from the FEMA National Risk Index (NRI). Risk scores are relative rankings (0–100) across all US counties — not absolute risk measures. Higher scores indicate higher relative risk compared to other counties.

Disclaimer: This data is informational only. It is not financial, insurance, or legal advice. Always consult a qualified professional before making insurance or real estate decisions.