riskbycounty
FEMA NRI 1.19.0Updated Nov 2023 · Coverage 2014–2023Methodology

Alexandria city Disaster Risk

Alexandria city, Virginia

FEMA Risk Rating

Relatively Low

National Percentile

74th

of 3,144 counties

State Rank

#12

of 133 (1 = highest risk)

Flood Risk

82th

percentile

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Flood

River, coastal, and surface flooding risk

Moderate

Higher than 82% of US counties

Wildfire

Wildland and wildland-urban interface fire risk

Very Low

Higher than 6% of US counties

Tornado

Tornado and severe thunderstorm risk

Very Low

Higher than 40% of US counties

Earthquake

Seismic activity and ground shaking risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 80% of US counties

Hurricane

Tropical cyclone and hurricane risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 79% of US counties

Risk Overview

About Natural Disaster Risk in Alexandria city, Virginia

Alexandria's urban risk is above average

Alexandria's composite risk score of 73.70 ranks as relatively low but remains more than double Virginia's state average of 33.27. Urban density and Potomac River proximity drive exposure to flood (81.84), hurricane (79.14), and earthquake (79.96) hazards.

Major urban center faces significant exposure

Alexandria ranks among Virginia's more hazard-exposed jurisdictions despite its 'relatively low' rating, reflecting the urban vulnerability of this high-density area. The city's position on tidal waterways elevates flood and hurricane risk compared to most inland counties.

Urban exposure higher than suburban peers

Alexandria's 73.70 score exceeds nearby Arlington County (66.79) and significantly surpasses rural counties like Appomattox (5.09). Urban waterfront location and concentrated infrastructure create compounded risk compared to surrounding jurisdictions.

Flooding and earthquakes pose main threats

Alexandria's flood risk (81.84) and earthquake risk (79.96) represent primary concerns, while hurricane risk (79.14) also merits attention given the city's tidal position. Wildfire risk (5.66) remains minimal for this urban environment.

Waterfront protection and seismic readiness critical

Flood insurance is essential given the city's proximity to the Potomac River and tidal surge exposure. Retrofit older buildings for seismic safety and ensure comprehensive homeowners coverage.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index · Narrative reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Preparedness Guide

What to Prepare for in Alexandria city

Top Hazards by Exposure

  1. #1
    FloodPrepare
    82th percentile
  2. #2
    EarthquakePrepare
    80th percentile
  3. #3
    HurricanePrepare
    79th percentile

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.19.0 · Percentiles are national (3,144 counties)

Risk Advisory: Alexandria city

Risk Verdict

Alexandria city's FEMA risk score places it at the 74th percentile nationally, indicating lower-than-typical exposure for a U.S. county. A moderate composite score often means one or two hazard categories are doing the heavy lifting — knowing which ones matters for preparation.

Hazard Breakdown

Flood risk is Alexandria city's dominant natural hazard, ranked at the 82th percentile nationally under FEMA's National Risk Index. Earthquake ranks second at the 80th percentile nationally. Additional tracked hazards include hurricane (79th percentile), tornado (40th percentile), wildfire (6th percentile).

Preparedness Context

At the 82th percentile nationally for flood risk, Alexandria city residents benefit from understanding their specific flood zone status. Even one inch of floodwater causes significant structural damage to properties outside officially designated high-risk zones. Earthquake risk, ranked at the 80th percentile nationally, is also a factor in Alexandria city's overall hazard profile and warrants awareness even as flood is the primary concern. A tested family preparedness plan specific to Alexandria city's primary hazards — including how to shelter in place or evacuate, and who to call — provides more real protection than a general emergency kit sitting unused on a shelf.

Regional Context

The Virginia county average is 40.4 composite points below Alexandria city's score, a gap that reflects the county's elevated position in the state's hazard distribution.

Is your household prepared for Alexandria city's hazards?

Review FEMA's county-specific preparedness checklists and emergency planning guides.

FEMA Ready Guide →

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the natural disaster risk in Alexandria city, VA?
Alexandria city has a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Relatively Low, placing it in the 74th percentile nationally out of 3,144 counties. This composite score reflects the county's overall exposure to natural hazards including floods, wildfires, tornadoes, earthquakes, and hurricanes, weighted by expected annual loss and social vulnerability.
What types of natural hazards affect Alexandria city?
Alexandria city is evaluated for five major natural hazard types: flooding (82th percentile), earthquake (80th percentile), hurricane (79th percentile), tornado (40th percentile), wildfire (6th percentile). The highest-risk hazard is flooding at the 82th percentile nationally. These scores are derived from FEMA's National Risk Index, which analyzes expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience for each hazard type.
How does Alexandria city risk compare to the Virginia average?
Alexandria city's composite risk percentile is 74th, compared to the Virginia state average of 33th percentile. The state's overall risk rating is Very Low. This means Alexandria city faces higher natural disaster risk than the typical county in Virginia.
Is Alexandria city at risk for flooding?
Yes, Alexandria city's flooding risk is at the 82th percentile nationally. This places it in the top quartile for this hazard type.
How is natural disaster risk measured?
FEMA's National Risk Index (NRI) calculates risk scores for 18 natural hazard types across all U.S. counties and census tracts. The composite score combines Expected Annual Loss (estimated dollar losses from each hazard), Social Vulnerability (demographic factors affecting disaster impact), and Community Resilience (ability to recover). Percentile scores rank each county against all 3,144 U.S. counties, and risk ratings range from Very Low to Very High.
Why is Alexandria city higher risk than average?
Alexandria city's composite risk score of 74th percentile is above the Virginia state average of 33th percentile. This elevated risk is driven by flooding exposure (82th percentile), along with earthquake and hurricane risk. Geographic location, terrain, climate patterns, and proximity to flood zones or fault lines all influence a county's risk profile.
By Evan Brooks, Data EditorUpdated Reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Data Source

Risk data sourced from the FEMA National Risk Index (NRI). Risk scores are relative rankings (0–100) across all US counties — not absolute risk measures. Higher scores indicate higher relative risk compared to other counties.

Disclaimer: This data is informational only. It is not financial, insurance, or legal advice. Always consult a qualified professional before making insurance or real estate decisions.