riskbycounty
FEMA National Risk Index

Fairfax city Disaster Risk

Fairfax city, Virginia

FEMA Risk Rating

Very Low

National Percentile

5th

of 3,144 counties

State Rank

#121

of 133 (1 = highest risk)

Flood Risk

14th

percentile

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Flood

River, coastal, and surface flooding risk

Very Low

Higher than 14% of US counties

Wildfire

Wildland and wildland-urban interface fire risk

Very Low

Higher than 1% of US counties

Tornado

Tornado and severe thunderstorm risk

Very Low

Higher than 20% of US counties

Earthquake

Seismic activity and ground shaking risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 48% of US counties

Hurricane

Tropical cyclone and hurricane risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 62% of US counties

Risk Advisory: Fairfax city

Risk Verdict

Fairfax city has a very low overall disaster risk profile, scoring in the 5th percentile nationally. This county is among the safer counties in the United States from a natural disaster perspective, though no area is entirely risk-free.

Hazard Breakdown

Hurricane risk is the dominant hazard for Fairfax city, scoring in the 62th percentile nationally. It is followed by earthquake risk at the 48th percentile. Additional hazards include tornado (20th), flood (14th), wildfire (1th).

Preparedness Context

With hurricane risk as the top concern, Fairfax city residents should know your evacuation route, stockpile supplies for at least 72 hours, and review your homeowners and flood insurance policies annually. Secondary risks such as earthquake also warrant attention in household and community preparedness planning. FEMA recommends all households maintain at least 72 hours of food, water, and medication supplies regardless of specific hazard exposure.

Regional Context

Fairfax city is notably safer than the average county in Virginia. Its composite risk score is 28 points lower than the state average, indicating below-average exposure to natural hazards relative to other counties in the state.

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Frequently Asked Questions

What is the natural disaster risk in Fairfax city, VA?
Fairfax city has a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Very Low, placing it in the 5th percentile nationally out of 3,144 counties. This composite score reflects the county's overall exposure to natural hazards including floods, wildfires, tornadoes, earthquakes, and hurricanes, weighted by expected annual loss and social vulnerability.
What types of natural hazards affect Fairfax city?
Fairfax city is evaluated for five major natural hazard types: hurricane (62th percentile), earthquake (48th percentile), tornado (20th percentile), flooding (14th percentile), wildfire (1th percentile). The highest-risk hazard is hurricane at the 62th percentile nationally. These scores are derived from FEMA's National Risk Index, which analyzes expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience for each hazard type.
How does Fairfax city risk compare to the Virginia average?
Fairfax city's composite risk percentile is 5th, compared to the Virginia state average of 33th percentile. The state's overall risk rating is Very Low. This means Fairfax city faces lower natural disaster risk than the typical county in Virginia.
Is Fairfax city at risk for hurricane?
Yes, Fairfax city's hurricane risk is at the 62th percentile nationally. This is above the national median. For flooding specifically, Fairfax city is at the 14th percentile.
How is natural disaster risk measured?
FEMA's National Risk Index (NRI) calculates risk scores for 18 natural hazard types across all U.S. counties and census tracts. The composite score combines Expected Annual Loss (estimated dollar losses from each hazard), Social Vulnerability (demographic factors affecting disaster impact), and Community Resilience (ability to recover). Percentile scores rank each county against all 3,144 U.S. counties, and risk ratings range from Very Low to Very High.
Is Fairfax city a safe place to live?
Fairfax city's composite risk score of 5th percentile is below the Virginia state average of 33th percentile, indicating relatively lower exposure to natural hazards. However, no county is completely risk-free. The primary hazard type is hurricane at the 62th percentile. Residents should still maintain emergency preparedness plans and appropriate insurance coverage.

Counties with Similar Risk

Bath County

Virginia

+0.1

Very Low

5th percentile

Appomattox County

Virginia

-0.2

Very Low

5th percentile

Emporia city

Virginia

-0.3

Very Low

5th percentile

By Logan Johnson, Founder & Data EditorUpdated Reviewed by Logan Johnson, Founder & Data Editor

Data Source

Risk data sourced from the FEMA National Risk Index (NRI). Risk scores are relative rankings (0–100) across all US counties — not absolute risk measures. Higher scores indicate higher relative risk compared to other counties.

Disclaimer: This data is informational only. It is not financial, insurance, or legal advice. Always consult a qualified professional before making insurance or real estate decisions.

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