riskbycounty
FEMA NRI 1.19.0Updated Nov 2023 · Coverage 2014–2023Methodology

Harrisonburg city Disaster Risk

Harrisonburg city, Virginia

FEMA Risk Rating

Very Low

National Percentile

27th

of 3,144 counties

State Rank

#67

of 133 (1 = highest risk)

Flood Risk

44th

percentile

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Flood

River, coastal, and surface flooding risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 44% of US counties

Wildfire

Wildland and wildland-urban interface fire risk

Very Low

Higher than 11% of US counties

Tornado

Tornado and severe thunderstorm risk

Very Low

Higher than 23% of US counties

Earthquake

Seismic activity and ground shaking risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 65% of US counties

Hurricane

Tropical cyclone and hurricane risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 71% of US counties

Risk Overview

About Natural Disaster Risk in Harrisonburg city, Virginia

Harrisonburg Enjoys Very Low National Risk

At 26.59, Harrisonburg's composite risk score falls well below the national average, marking it as very low risk. This score reflects favorable geographic and demographic conditions that reduce overall disaster exposure.

Among Virginia's Safest Communities

Harrisonburg's 26.59 score sits notably below Virginia's state average of 33.27, placing it comfortably in the lower-risk tier statewide. The city-level data reflects concentrated development patterns and distance from major coastal hazards.

Valley's Safest City by a Wide Margin

Harrisonburg's 26.59 makes it substantially safer than neighboring Henry County (63.61) and Hanover County (53.50) across the state. Among Virginia's incorporated cities and counties, it ranks among the top performers.

Hurricanes and Earthquakes Present Rare Threats

Despite low overall risk, Harrisonburg still registers hurricane exposure at 70.63 and earthquake risk at 65.08, reflecting residual statewide hazards. Flooding (44.18) ranks as the city's most localized concern in areas near the Shenandoah River.

Maintain Standard Coverage for Rare Events

Your existing homeowners policy likely covers most scenarios in Harrisonburg, but adding flood insurance remains prudent given any riverine proximity. Check your earthquake coverage limits even in this low-risk area for complete peace of mind.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index · Narrative reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Preparedness Guide

What to Prepare for in Harrisonburg city

Top Hazards by Exposure

  1. #1
    HurricanePrepare
    71th percentile
  2. #2
    EarthquakePrepare
    65th percentile
  3. #3
    FloodPrepare
    44th percentile

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.19.0 · Percentiles are national (3,144 counties)

Risk Advisory: Harrisonburg city

Risk Verdict

Harrisonburg city's natural disaster risk is among the lowest in the country, with a composite score at the 27th percentile nationally. No county at the 27th percentile is entirely free of natural hazard exposure; Harrisonburg city residents benefit from staying alert to local conditions and signing up for county emergency alerts.

Hazard Breakdown

Hurricane risk is Harrisonburg city's dominant natural hazard, ranked at the 71th percentile nationally under FEMA's National Risk Index. Earthquake ranks second at the 65th percentile nationally. Additional tracked hazards include flood (44th percentile), tornado (23th percentile), wildfire (11th percentile).

Preparedness Context

Hurricane risk is Harrisonburg city's top-ranked natural hazard at the 71th percentile nationally. The most time-sensitive preparedness step is knowing the county's evacuation zone for your address — zone maps are published by the county emergency management office. The county's secondary earthquake risk at the 65th percentile nationally means Harrisonburg city faces compounding hazards — inland flooding often follows landfalling hurricanes even well away from the coast. Harrisonburg city's county emergency management office publishes official evacuation zone maps with zone-specific shelter locations; downloading this map and identifying your zone assignment is the single highest-value pre-season step.

Regional Context

The Virginia county average exceeds Harrisonburg city's score by 6.7 composite points — placing this county in the lower-risk tier relative to its in-state peers.

Is your household prepared for Harrisonburg city's hazards?

Review FEMA's county-specific preparedness checklists and emergency planning guides.

FEMA Ready Guide →

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the natural disaster risk in Harrisonburg city, VA?
Harrisonburg city has a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Very Low, placing it in the 27th percentile nationally out of 3,144 counties. This composite score reflects the county's overall exposure to natural hazards including floods, wildfires, tornadoes, earthquakes, and hurricanes, weighted by expected annual loss and social vulnerability.
What types of natural hazards affect Harrisonburg city?
Harrisonburg city is evaluated for five major natural hazard types: hurricane (71th percentile), earthquake (65th percentile), flooding (44th percentile), tornado (23th percentile), wildfire (11th percentile). The highest-risk hazard is hurricane at the 71th percentile nationally. These scores are derived from FEMA's National Risk Index, which analyzes expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience for each hazard type.
How does Harrisonburg city risk compare to the Virginia average?
Harrisonburg city's composite risk percentile is 27th, compared to the Virginia state average of 33th percentile. The state's overall risk rating is Very Low. This means Harrisonburg city faces lower natural disaster risk than the typical county in Virginia.
Is Harrisonburg city at risk for hurricane?
Yes, Harrisonburg city's hurricane risk is at the 71th percentile nationally. This is above the national median. For flooding specifically, Harrisonburg city is at the 44th percentile.
How is natural disaster risk measured?
FEMA's National Risk Index (NRI) calculates risk scores for 18 natural hazard types across all U.S. counties and census tracts. The composite score combines Expected Annual Loss (estimated dollar losses from each hazard), Social Vulnerability (demographic factors affecting disaster impact), and Community Resilience (ability to recover). Percentile scores rank each county against all 3,144 U.S. counties, and risk ratings range from Very Low to Very High.
Is Harrisonburg city a safe place to live?
Harrisonburg city's composite risk score of 27th percentile is below the Virginia state average of 33th percentile, indicating relatively lower exposure to natural hazards. However, no county is completely risk-free. The primary hazard type is hurricane at the 71th percentile. Residents should still maintain emergency preparedness plans and appropriate insurance coverage.
By Evan Brooks, Data EditorUpdated Reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Data Source

Risk data sourced from the FEMA National Risk Index (NRI). Risk scores are relative rankings (0–100) across all US counties — not absolute risk measures. Higher scores indicate higher relative risk compared to other counties.

Disclaimer: This data is informational only. It is not financial, insurance, or legal advice. Always consult a qualified professional before making insurance or real estate decisions.