riskbycounty
FEMA NRI 1.19.0Updated Nov 2023 · Coverage 2014–2023Methodology

Mathews County Disaster Risk

Mathews County, Virginia

FEMA Risk Rating

Very Low

National Percentile

12th

of 3,144 counties

State Rank

#100

of 133 (1 = highest risk)

Flood Risk

80th

percentile

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Flood

River, coastal, and surface flooding risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 80% of US counties

Wildfire

Wildland and wildland-urban interface fire risk

Very Low

Higher than 40% of US counties

Tornado

Tornado and severe thunderstorm risk

Very Low

Higher than 17% of US counties

Earthquake

Seismic activity and ground shaking risk

Very Low

Higher than 33% of US counties

Hurricane

Tropical cyclone and hurricane risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 71% of US counties

Risk Overview

About Natural Disaster Risk in Mathews County, Virginia

Mathews has very low composite risk score

With a composite risk score of 12.18 and a Very Low rating, Mathews County ranks well below the national average for natural disaster risk. The county's score is substantially lower than Virginia's state average of 33.27, though its coastal location introduces specific hazards.

Low-risk Virginia coastal community

Mathews County ranks in Virginia's safer tier overall despite its geographic location on the eastern shore. The county's Very Low rating reflects a favorable mix of hazard exposures for its geographic position.

Safer than many inland Virginia counties

Mathews's risk score of 12.18 is lower than Lunenburg County (19.85) and far lower than Mecklenburg County (54.33) and Lynchburg city (49.30). The county benefits from relatively moderate exposure to hurricanes and tornadoes despite its coastal setting.

Flood dominates Mathews coastal profile

Flood risk at 80.00 is exceptionally high for Mathews County, reflecting its waterfront location and vulnerability to storm surge and tidal flooding. Wildfire risk (40.14) and hurricane risk (70.59) are also elevated relative to inland counties, making water-related hazards the primary concern.

Flood insurance critical for coastal location

Mathews County residents must prioritize flood insurance given the county's exceptional flood risk score of 80.00, well above state averages. Standard homeowners policies exclude flood damage, making National Flood Insurance Program coverage or private flood insurance essential for all properties, especially those in coastal areas.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index · Narrative reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Preparedness Guide

What to Prepare for in Mathews County

Top Hazards by Exposure

  1. #1
    FloodPrepare
    80th percentile
  2. #2
    HurricanePrepare
    71th percentile
  3. #3
    WildfirePrepare
    40th percentile

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.19.0 · Percentiles are national (3,144 counties)

Risk Advisory: Mathews County

Risk Verdict

Mathews County sits in the lower tier of U.S. counties for natural disaster exposure, ranked at the 12th percentile nationally. A preparedness foundation — alert registration, household communication plan, and a basic supply review — costs little and remains valuable even at Mathews County's favorable 12th percentile ranking.

Hazard Breakdown

Flood risk is Mathews County's dominant natural hazard, ranked at the 80th percentile nationally under FEMA's National Risk Index. Hurricane ranks second at the 71th percentile nationally. Additional tracked hazards include wildfire (40th percentile), earthquake (33th percentile), tornado (17th percentile).

Preparedness Context

With flood risk ranking at the 80th percentile nationally, Mathews County residents face one of the most financially damaging hazards without specialized coverage. Flood insurance through the NFIP or a private carrier is worth evaluating regardless of current mortgage requirements. The county's second-ranked hazard, hurricane at the 71th percentile nationally, means Mathews County residents face compounding risks from multiple natural hazard types during peak seasons. Registering for Mathews County's county emergency alert system — typically through the county emergency management office's website — ensures households receive early warning when flood events develop faster than forecast.

Regional Context

Mathews County falls 21.1 points below Virginia's typical county risk level, making it one of the safer natural-hazard environments in the state.

Is your household prepared for Mathews County's hazards?

Review FEMA's county-specific preparedness checklists and emergency planning guides.

FEMA Ready Guide →

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the natural disaster risk in Mathews County, VA?
Mathews County has a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Very Low, placing it in the 12th percentile nationally out of 3,144 counties. This composite score reflects the county's overall exposure to natural hazards including floods, wildfires, tornadoes, earthquakes, and hurricanes, weighted by expected annual loss and social vulnerability.
What types of natural hazards affect Mathews County?
Mathews County is evaluated for five major natural hazard types: flooding (80th percentile), hurricane (71th percentile), wildfire (40th percentile), earthquake (33th percentile), tornado (17th percentile). The highest-risk hazard is flooding at the 80th percentile nationally. These scores are derived from FEMA's National Risk Index, which analyzes expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience for each hazard type.
How does Mathews County risk compare to the Virginia average?
Mathews County's composite risk percentile is 12th, compared to the Virginia state average of 33th percentile. The state's overall risk rating is Very Low. This means Mathews County faces lower natural disaster risk than the typical county in Virginia.
Is Mathews County at risk for flooding?
Yes, Mathews County's flooding risk is at the 80th percentile nationally. This places it in the top quartile for this hazard type.
How is natural disaster risk measured?
FEMA's National Risk Index (NRI) calculates risk scores for 18 natural hazard types across all U.S. counties and census tracts. The composite score combines Expected Annual Loss (estimated dollar losses from each hazard), Social Vulnerability (demographic factors affecting disaster impact), and Community Resilience (ability to recover). Percentile scores rank each county against all 3,144 U.S. counties, and risk ratings range from Very Low to Very High.
Is Mathews County a safe place to live?
Mathews County's composite risk score of 12th percentile is below the Virginia state average of 33th percentile, indicating relatively lower exposure to natural hazards. However, no county is completely risk-free. The primary hazard type is flooding at the 80th percentile. Residents should still maintain emergency preparedness plans and appropriate insurance coverage.
By Evan Brooks, Data EditorUpdated Reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Data Source

Risk data sourced from the FEMA National Risk Index (NRI). Risk scores are relative rankings (0–100) across all US counties — not absolute risk measures. Higher scores indicate higher relative risk compared to other counties.

Disclaimer: This data is informational only. It is not financial, insurance, or legal advice. Always consult a qualified professional before making insurance or real estate decisions.