riskbycounty
FEMA NRI 1.19.0Updated Nov 2023 · Coverage 2014–2023Methodology

Lincoln County Disaster Risk

Lincoln County, Wyoming

FEMA Risk Rating

Relatively Low

National Percentile

52th

of 3,144 counties

State Rank

#8

of 23 (1 = highest risk)

Flood Risk

35th

percentile

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Flood

River, coastal, and surface flooding risk

Very Low

Higher than 35% of US counties

Wildfire

Wildland and wildland-urban interface fire risk

Moderate

Higher than 84% of US counties

Tornado

Tornado and severe thunderstorm risk

Very Low

Higher than 13% of US counties

Earthquake

Seismic activity and ground shaking risk

Moderate

Higher than 88% of US counties

Risk Overview

About Natural Disaster Risk in Lincoln County, Wyoming

Lincoln faces moderate national disaster risk

Lincoln County scores 51.91 on the composite risk scale, placing it above the national average and earning a Relatively Low rating. The county's risk level is notably higher than the safest U.S. counties but remains manageable with appropriate preparation.

Mid-range risk for Wyoming

Lincoln County's 51.91 score places it above Wyoming's state average of 37.86, ranking it among the state's moderate-risk counties. Earthquake exposure particularly elevates the county's profile compared to many Wyoming peers.

Riskier than Hot Springs, safer than Laramie

Lincoln County's 51.91 score falls between the very safe Hot Springs County (16.09) and the high-risk Laramie County (76.69). Its elevation is driven primarily by earthquake risk (87.82), the highest among neighboring counties, while wildfire (83.62) also poses significant hazards.

Earthquakes and wildfires lead threats

Earthquake risk dominates Lincoln County at 87.82, the highest hazard exposure in the county and reflecting proximity to major fault zones. Wildfire risk reaches 83.62, making these two geological and fire-based hazards the county's primary concerns.

Earthquake and wildfire coverage essential

Lincoln County residents should secure dedicated earthquake insurance immediately—standard policies exclude seismic damage, and the county's 87.82 earthquake score demands protection. Add wildfire coverage and ensure your home meets current building codes for earthquake resilience.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index · Narrative reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Preparedness Guide

What to Prepare for in Lincoln County

Top Hazards by Exposure

  1. #1
    EarthquakePrepare
    88th percentile
  2. #2
    WildfirePrepare
    84th percentile
  3. #3
    FloodPrepare
    35th percentile

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.19.0 · Percentiles are national (3,144 counties)

Risk Advisory: Lincoln County

Risk Verdict

Lincoln County ranks at the 52th percentile nationally for natural disaster risk — below the median for U.S. counties. Residents are encouraged to understand which hazards dominate locally and tailor their preparedness accordingly.

Hazard Breakdown

Earthquake risk is Lincoln County's dominant natural hazard, ranked at the 88th percentile nationally under FEMA's National Risk Index. Wildfire ranks second at the 84th percentile nationally. Additional tracked hazards include flood (35th percentile), tornado (13th percentile).

Preparedness Context

Lincoln County ranks at the 88th percentile nationally for earthquake risk. Unlike most natural hazards, earthquakes provide no advance warning; preparedness here means structural adjustments and a practiced response, not alert monitoring. The county's wildfire risk at the 84th percentile nationally is a seasonal consideration alongside the year-round earthquake threat, requiring awareness of both hazard types. For earthquake preparedness, Lincoln County's county emergency management office often maintains a list of community water supply points, Red Cross shelter locations, and post-quake assistance programs — useful resources to identify before an event occurs.

Regional Context

Compared to other Wyoming counties, Lincoln County runs 14.0 composite risk points higher than the state mean — reflecting above-average hazard concentration in this area.

Is your household prepared for Lincoln County's hazards?

Review FEMA's county-specific preparedness checklists and emergency planning guides.

FEMA Ready Guide →

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the natural disaster risk in Lincoln County, WY?
Lincoln County has a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Relatively Low, placing it in the 52th percentile nationally out of 3,144 counties. This composite score reflects the county's overall exposure to natural hazards including floods, wildfires, tornadoes, earthquakes, and hurricanes, weighted by expected annual loss and social vulnerability.
What types of natural hazards affect Lincoln County?
Lincoln County is evaluated for five major natural hazard types: earthquake (88th percentile), wildfire (84th percentile), flooding (35th percentile), tornado (13th percentile). The highest-risk hazard is earthquake at the 88th percentile nationally. These scores are derived from FEMA's National Risk Index, which analyzes expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience for each hazard type.
How does Lincoln County risk compare to the Wyoming average?
Lincoln County's composite risk percentile is 52th, compared to the Wyoming state average of 38th percentile. The state's overall risk rating is Very Low. This means Lincoln County faces higher natural disaster risk than the typical county in Wyoming.
Is Lincoln County at risk for earthquake?
Yes, Lincoln County's earthquake risk is at the 88th percentile nationally. This places it in the top quartile for this hazard type. For flooding specifically, Lincoln County is at the 35th percentile.
How is natural disaster risk measured?
FEMA's National Risk Index (NRI) calculates risk scores for 18 natural hazard types across all U.S. counties and census tracts. The composite score combines Expected Annual Loss (estimated dollar losses from each hazard), Social Vulnerability (demographic factors affecting disaster impact), and Community Resilience (ability to recover). Percentile scores rank each county against all 3,144 U.S. counties, and risk ratings range from Very Low to Very High.
Why is Lincoln County higher risk than average?
Lincoln County's composite risk score of 52th percentile is above the Wyoming state average of 38th percentile. This elevated risk is driven by earthquake exposure (88th percentile), along with wildfire risk. Geographic location, terrain, climate patterns, and proximity to flood zones or fault lines all influence a county's risk profile.
By Evan Brooks, Data EditorUpdated Reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Data Source

Risk data sourced from the FEMA National Risk Index (NRI). Risk scores are relative rankings (0–100) across all US counties — not absolute risk measures. Higher scores indicate higher relative risk compared to other counties.

Disclaimer: This data is informational only. It is not financial, insurance, or legal advice. Always consult a qualified professional before making insurance or real estate decisions.