riskbycounty
FEMA NRI 1.19.0Updated Nov 2023 · Coverage 2014–2023Methodology

Apache County Disaster Risk

Apache County, Arizona

FEMA Risk Rating

Relatively Low

National Percentile

79th

of 3,144 counties

State Rank

#13

of 15 (1 = highest risk)

Flood Risk

81th

percentile

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Flood

River, coastal, and surface flooding risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 81% of US counties

Wildfire

Wildland and wildland-urban interface fire risk

Relatively High

Higher than 98% of US counties

Tornado

Tornado and severe thunderstorm risk

Very Low

Higher than 4% of US counties

Earthquake

Seismic activity and ground shaking risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 68% of US counties

Hurricane

Tropical cyclone and hurricane risk

Very Low

Higher than 12% of US counties

Risk Overview

About Natural Disaster Risk in Apache County, Arizona

Apache County's moderate risk profile

Apache County scores 78.78 on the composite risk scale, landing it in the "Relatively Low" category and below Arizona's state average of 84.45. While this puts the county in a better position than many peers nationally, natural hazards still warrant serious preparation and insurance consideration.

Safest counties in Arizona

Apache County ranks among Arizona's lower-risk counties, positioned well below the state's average exposure. This relatively favorable standing doesn't mean the county is risk-free—it simply means residents face fewer overlapping hazards than those in high-risk areas like Maricopa County.

Compared to neighboring counties

Apache County's 78.78 score is notably lower than Coconino County (94.21) to the west and significantly safer than Navajo County's typical exposure profile. Its risk profile makes it one of the more protected areas in Arizona's northern region.

Wildfire and flood dominate here

Apache County faces extreme wildfire risk (97.90) that rivals the state's most dangerous areas, driven by vast forests and seasonal drought conditions. Flood risk scores 80.73, making these two hazards the primary concerns for property owners and emergency planners.

Secure comprehensive wildfire coverage

Standard homeowners policies often exclude wildfire damage, making supplemental coverage essential in Apache County. Flood insurance through the National Flood Insurance Program is also recommended given the county's elevated flood risk, particularly for properties in flood-prone areas.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index · Narrative reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Preparedness Guide

What to Prepare for in Apache County

Top Hazards by Exposure

  1. #1
    WildfirePrepare
    98th percentile
  2. #2
    FloodPrepare
    81th percentile
  3. #3
    EarthquakePrepare
    68th percentile

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.19.0 · Percentiles are national (3,144 counties)

Risk Advisory: Apache County

Risk Verdict

Apache County's FEMA risk score places it at the 79th percentile nationally, indicating lower-than-typical exposure for a U.S. county. At this risk level, having a documented household preparedness plan — not just awareness — is the meaningful next step for Apache County residents.

Hazard Breakdown

Wildfire risk is Apache County's dominant natural hazard, ranked at the 98th percentile nationally under FEMA's National Risk Index. Flood ranks second at the 81th percentile nationally. Additional tracked hazards include earthquake (68th percentile), hurricane (12th percentile), tornado (4th percentile).

Preparedness Context

Apache County sits at the 98th percentile for wildfire exposure. Signing up for Apache County's county emergency alert system and knowing the pre-planned evacuation route before conditions deteriorate are the two highest-value preparedness actions for residents here. A secondary flood exposure at the 81th percentile nationally means Apache County residents face hazards from two distinct natural peril categories during different seasons. In Apache County, wildfire smoke often precedes the flame front by hours or days; households benefit from tracking EPA's AirNow.gov and having HEPA air filtration available as a first line of indoor protection when air quality alerts are issued.

Regional Context

At 5.7 points below the Arizona state average, Apache County is among the lower-risk counties in the state for natural disaster exposure.

Is your household prepared for Apache County's hazards?

Review FEMA's county-specific preparedness checklists and emergency planning guides.

FEMA Ready Guide →

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the natural disaster risk in Apache County, AZ?
Apache County has a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Relatively Low, placing it in the 79th percentile nationally out of 3,144 counties. This composite score reflects the county's overall exposure to natural hazards including floods, wildfires, tornadoes, earthquakes, and hurricanes, weighted by expected annual loss and social vulnerability.
What types of natural hazards affect Apache County?
Apache County is evaluated for five major natural hazard types: wildfire (98th percentile), flooding (81th percentile), earthquake (68th percentile), hurricane (12th percentile), tornado (4th percentile). The highest-risk hazard is wildfire at the 98th percentile nationally. These scores are derived from FEMA's National Risk Index, which analyzes expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience for each hazard type.
How does Apache County risk compare to the Arizona average?
Apache County's composite risk percentile is 79th, compared to the Arizona state average of 85th percentile. The state's overall risk rating is Relatively Moderate. This means Apache County faces lower natural disaster risk than the typical county in Arizona.
Is Apache County at risk for wildfire?
Yes, Apache County's wildfire risk is at the 98th percentile nationally. This places it in the top quartile for this hazard type. For flooding specifically, Apache County is at the 81th percentile.
How is natural disaster risk measured?
FEMA's National Risk Index (NRI) calculates risk scores for 18 natural hazard types across all U.S. counties and census tracts. The composite score combines Expected Annual Loss (estimated dollar losses from each hazard), Social Vulnerability (demographic factors affecting disaster impact), and Community Resilience (ability to recover). Percentile scores rank each county against all 3,144 U.S. counties, and risk ratings range from Very Low to Very High.
Is Apache County a safe place to live?
Apache County's composite risk score of 79th percentile is below the Arizona state average of 85th percentile, indicating relatively lower exposure to natural hazards. However, no county is completely risk-free. The primary hazard type is wildfire at the 98th percentile. Residents should still maintain emergency preparedness plans and appropriate insurance coverage.
By Evan Brooks, Data EditorUpdated Reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Data Source

Risk data sourced from the FEMA National Risk Index (NRI). Risk scores are relative rankings (0–100) across all US counties — not absolute risk measures. Higher scores indicate higher relative risk compared to other counties.

Disclaimer: This data is informational only. It is not financial, insurance, or legal advice. Always consult a qualified professional before making insurance or real estate decisions.