riskbycounty
FEMA NRI 1.19.0Updated Nov 2023 · Coverage 2014–2023Methodology

Pima County Disaster Risk

Pima County, Arizona

FEMA Risk Rating

Relatively High

National Percentile

99th

of 3,144 counties

State Rank

#2

of 15 (1 = highest risk)

Flood Risk

100th

percentile

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Flood

River, coastal, and surface flooding risk

Very High

Higher than 100% of US counties

Wildfire

Wildland and wildland-urban interface fire risk

Very High

Higher than 100% of US counties

Tornado

Tornado and severe thunderstorm risk

Very Low

Higher than 38% of US counties

Earthquake

Seismic activity and ground shaking risk

Moderate

Higher than 92% of US counties

Hurricane

Tropical cyclone and hurricane risk

Very Low

Higher than 19% of US counties

Risk Overview

About Natural Disaster Risk in Pima County, Arizona

Pima leads Arizona's risk profile

Pima County scores 99.11 on composite risk, the highest in Arizona and well above any national baseline. This score reflects exposure across virtually all hazard types, making Pima the state's most comprehensive disaster-risk county.

Arizona's highest-risk county overall

Pima's 99.11 score ranks it first among Arizona's 15 counties and exceeds the state average of 84.45 by 14.7 points. The county faces elevated exposure to nearly every major disaster type tracked.

Significantly higher than state peers

Pima's 99.11 far exceeds neighboring Santa Cruz County (88.33) and surpasses all other Arizona counties including Pinal (93.83) and Mohave (94.75). Pima stands alone as the state's most at-risk county.

Wildfire, flood, and earthquake threats

Wildfire risk peaks at 99.65, flood risk at 99.52, and earthquake risk at 91.73—all among the state's highest. Pima also faces rare Arizona exposure: hurricane risk at 18.69 and tornado risk at 37.50 add multi-hazard complexity.

Comprehensive insurance is essential

Pima residents face multi-hazard exposure requiring layered protection: separate wildfire and flood policies, plus earthquake coverage, are critical. Review all exclusions in your homeowners policy and consider a comprehensive risk assessment given the county's 99.11 composite score.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index · Narrative reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Preparedness Guide

What to Prepare for in Pima County

Top Hazards by Exposure

  1. #1
    WildfirePrepare
    100th percentile
  2. #2
    FloodPrepare
    100th percentile
  3. #3
    EarthquakePrepare
    92th percentile

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.19.0 · Percentiles are national (3,144 counties)

Risk Advisory: Pima County

Risk Verdict

At the 99th percentile nationally, Pima County is among the more hazard-exposed counties in the United States. Proactive preparedness — not reactive response — is key to managing life in one of the country's higher-risk counties; Pima County residents should plan accordingly.

Hazard Breakdown

Wildfire risk is Pima County's dominant natural hazard, ranked at the 100th percentile nationally under FEMA's National Risk Index. Flood ranks second at the 100th percentile nationally. Additional tracked hazards include earthquake (92th percentile), tornado (38th percentile), hurricane (19th percentile).

Preparedness Context

At the 100th percentile nationally for wildfire risk, Pima County households benefit from creating defensible space — a buffer of reduced vegetation around structures — and reviewing whether homeowners insurance covers wildfire damage in this region. A secondary flood exposure at the 100th percentile nationally means Pima County residents face hazards from two distinct natural peril categories during different seasons. Enrolling in the county's wireless emergency alert system and keeping a vehicle at least half-full during peak fire season are low-cost habits that dramatically reduce evacuation lag time for Pima County residents.

Regional Context

At 14.7 points above the Arizona state average, Pima County carries meaningfully higher natural disaster exposure than a typical Arizona county.

Is your household prepared for Pima County's hazards?

Review FEMA's county-specific preparedness checklists and emergency planning guides.

FEMA Ready Guide →

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the natural disaster risk in Pima County, AZ?
Pima County has a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Relatively High, placing it in the 99th percentile nationally out of 3,144 counties. This composite score reflects the county's overall exposure to natural hazards including floods, wildfires, tornadoes, earthquakes, and hurricanes, weighted by expected annual loss and social vulnerability.
What types of natural hazards affect Pima County?
Pima County is evaluated for five major natural hazard types: wildfire (100th percentile), flooding (100th percentile), earthquake (92th percentile), tornado (38th percentile), hurricane (19th percentile). The highest-risk hazard is wildfire at the 100th percentile nationally. These scores are derived from FEMA's National Risk Index, which analyzes expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience for each hazard type.
How does Pima County risk compare to the Arizona average?
Pima County's composite risk percentile is 99th, compared to the Arizona state average of 85th percentile. The state's overall risk rating is Relatively Moderate. This means Pima County faces higher natural disaster risk than the typical county in Arizona.
Is Pima County at risk for wildfire?
Yes, Pima County's wildfire risk is at the 100th percentile nationally. This places it in the top quartile for this hazard type. For flooding specifically, Pima County is at the 100th percentile.
How is natural disaster risk measured?
FEMA's National Risk Index (NRI) calculates risk scores for 18 natural hazard types across all U.S. counties and census tracts. The composite score combines Expected Annual Loss (estimated dollar losses from each hazard), Social Vulnerability (demographic factors affecting disaster impact), and Community Resilience (ability to recover). Percentile scores rank each county against all 3,144 U.S. counties, and risk ratings range from Very Low to Very High.
Why is Pima County higher risk than average?
Pima County's composite risk score of 99th percentile is above the Arizona state average of 85th percentile. This elevated risk is driven by wildfire exposure (100th percentile), along with flooding and earthquake risk. Geographic location, terrain, climate patterns, and proximity to flood zones or fault lines all influence a county's risk profile.
By Evan Brooks, Data EditorUpdated Reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Data Source

Risk data sourced from the FEMA National Risk Index (NRI). Risk scores are relative rankings (0–100) across all US counties — not absolute risk measures. Higher scores indicate higher relative risk compared to other counties.

Disclaimer: This data is informational only. It is not financial, insurance, or legal advice. Always consult a qualified professional before making insurance or real estate decisions.