riskbycounty
FEMA NRI 1.19.0Updated Nov 2023 · Coverage 2014–2023Methodology

Pinal County Disaster Risk

Pinal County, Arizona

FEMA Risk Rating

Relatively Moderate

National Percentile

94th

of 3,144 counties

State Rank

#5

of 15 (1 = highest risk)

Flood Risk

96th

percentile

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Flood

River, coastal, and surface flooding risk

Relatively High

Higher than 96% of US counties

Wildfire

Wildland and wildland-urban interface fire risk

Relatively High

Higher than 98% of US counties

Tornado

Tornado and severe thunderstorm risk

Very Low

Higher than 37% of US counties

Earthquake

Seismic activity and ground shaking risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 80% of US counties

Hurricane

Tropical cyclone and hurricane risk

Very Low

Higher than 19% of US counties

Risk Overview

About Natural Disaster Risk in Pinal County, Arizona

Pinal ranks among U.S. highest-risk

Pinal County scores 93.83 on composite risk, landing in the relatively moderate category but well above national baselines. The score reflects significant exposure to multiple hazard types, particularly wildfire and flood threats.

Second-riskiest in Arizona

Pinal ranks second among Arizona's 15 counties with a score of 93.83, trailing only Pima (99.11) and exceeding the state average of 84.45 by 9.4 points. The county faces elevated overall disaster risk across most hazard categories.

Riskier than central Arizona peers

Pinal's 93.83 exceeds Pima's neighboring Santa Cruz County (88.33) and surpasses Yavapai (93.73), though it ranks just below Pima. The county carries some of Arizona's most significant multi-hazard exposure.

Wildfire and flood dominate Pinal

Wildfire risk reaches 98.00 and flood risk 96.37—both among Arizona's highest—while tornado risk climbs to a notable 37.05. Earthquake risk at 79.83 and hurricane risk at 18.82 add additional layers of exposure.

Separate policies for flood and fire

Standard homeowners insurance excludes both wildfire and flood damage; Pinal residents should secure separate policies for both hazards. Given the county's 93.83 risk score and elevated tornado exposure, verify tornado coverage in your home policy as well.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index · Narrative reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Preparedness Guide

What to Prepare for in Pinal County

Top Hazards by Exposure

  1. #1
    WildfirePrepare
    98th percentile
  2. #2
    FloodPrepare
    96th percentile
  3. #3
    EarthquakePrepare
    80th percentile

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.19.0 · Percentiles are national (3,144 counties)

Risk Advisory: Pinal County

Risk Verdict

FEMA's National Risk Index rates Pinal County at the 94th percentile nationally — above average and worth proactive preparation. Residents should prioritize a formal household emergency plan, including evacuation routes, insurance review, and a well-stocked emergency kit.

Hazard Breakdown

Wildfire risk is Pinal County's dominant natural hazard, ranked at the 98th percentile nationally under FEMA's National Risk Index. Flood ranks second at the 96th percentile nationally. Additional tracked hazards include earthquake (80th percentile), tornado (37th percentile), hurricane (19th percentile).

Preparedness Context

With wildfire ranked at the 98th percentile nationally, Pinal County is in a zone where air quality can deteriorate rapidly before structures are threatened. An N95 respirator and a HEPA air purifier are practical items for Pinal County households to have on hand before fire season. The county's flood exposure at the 96th percentile nationally complements the wildfire risk — saturating rain after burn scarring often triggers secondary flood and debris flow events. Defensible space, insurance review, and an evacuation plan are the three preparedness pillars for Pinal County households — and the insurance review is the one most often deferred by Pinal County residents and most costly to skip when a fire event actually occurs.

Regional Context

Pinal County is 9.4 composite risk points above the Arizona average, indicating that residents face greater natural hazard exposure than most of their in-state neighbors.

Is your household prepared for Pinal County's hazards?

Review FEMA's county-specific preparedness checklists and emergency planning guides.

FEMA Ready Guide →

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the natural disaster risk in Pinal County, AZ?
Pinal County has a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Relatively Moderate, placing it in the 94th percentile nationally out of 3,144 counties. This composite score reflects the county's overall exposure to natural hazards including floods, wildfires, tornadoes, earthquakes, and hurricanes, weighted by expected annual loss and social vulnerability.
What types of natural hazards affect Pinal County?
Pinal County is evaluated for five major natural hazard types: wildfire (98th percentile), flooding (96th percentile), earthquake (80th percentile), tornado (37th percentile), hurricane (19th percentile). The highest-risk hazard is wildfire at the 98th percentile nationally. These scores are derived from FEMA's National Risk Index, which analyzes expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience for each hazard type.
How does Pinal County risk compare to the Arizona average?
Pinal County's composite risk percentile is 94th, compared to the Arizona state average of 85th percentile. The state's overall risk rating is Relatively Moderate. This means Pinal County faces higher natural disaster risk than the typical county in Arizona.
Is Pinal County at risk for wildfire?
Yes, Pinal County's wildfire risk is at the 98th percentile nationally. This places it in the top quartile for this hazard type. For flooding specifically, Pinal County is at the 96th percentile.
How is natural disaster risk measured?
FEMA's National Risk Index (NRI) calculates risk scores for 18 natural hazard types across all U.S. counties and census tracts. The composite score combines Expected Annual Loss (estimated dollar losses from each hazard), Social Vulnerability (demographic factors affecting disaster impact), and Community Resilience (ability to recover). Percentile scores rank each county against all 3,144 U.S. counties, and risk ratings range from Very Low to Very High.
Why is Pinal County higher risk than average?
Pinal County's composite risk score of 94th percentile is above the Arizona state average of 85th percentile. This elevated risk is driven by wildfire exposure (98th percentile), along with flooding and earthquake risk. Geographic location, terrain, climate patterns, and proximity to flood zones or fault lines all influence a county's risk profile.
By Evan Brooks, Data EditorUpdated Reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Data Source

Risk data sourced from the FEMA National Risk Index (NRI). Risk scores are relative rankings (0–100) across all US counties — not absolute risk measures. Higher scores indicate higher relative risk compared to other counties.

Disclaimer: This data is informational only. It is not financial, insurance, or legal advice. Always consult a qualified professional before making insurance or real estate decisions.