riskbycounty
FEMA NRI 1.19.0Updated Nov 2023 · Coverage 2014–2023Methodology

Ashley County Disaster Risk

Ashley County, Arkansas

FEMA Risk Rating

Relatively Low

National Percentile

54th

of 3,144 counties

State Rank

#38

of 75 (1 = highest risk)

Flood Risk

54th

percentile

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Flood

River, coastal, and surface flooding risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 54% of US counties

Wildfire

Wildland and wildland-urban interface fire risk

Very Low

Higher than 32% of US counties

Tornado

Tornado and severe thunderstorm risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 73% of US counties

Earthquake

Seismic activity and ground shaking risk

Moderate

Higher than 83% of US counties

Hurricane

Tropical cyclone and hurricane risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 65% of US counties

Risk Overview

About Natural Disaster Risk in Ashley County, Arkansas

Ashley County slightly below average

Ashley County's composite risk score of 53.91 places it just below the national average, indicating relatively low overall disaster vulnerability. While the county faces multiple hazards, none rise to extreme levels.

Lower risk than most Arkansas counties

At 53.91, Ashley County scores slightly below Arkansas's state average of 55.51, making it one of the safer counties in the state. This favorable positioning reflects relatively moderate exposure across most hazard categories.

Safer than Arkansas County to the north

Ashley County's 53.91 score is lower than Arkansas County's 63.20, though higher than Bradley County's 30.76 further south. The county benefits from somewhat reduced tornado and earthquake exposure compared to northern neighbors.

Tornadoes and earthquakes are top threats

Tornado risk of 72.58 represents Ashley County's highest hazard score, with severe spring storms a recurring concern. Earthquake risk ranks second at 83.27, and hurricane exposure at 65.12 adds seasonal weather volatility to the county's profile.

Cover tornado and earthquake damage

With tornado risk at 72.58, ensure your homeowners policy covers wind and hail damage and consider a safe room or shelter. Add earthquake coverage to protect against the county's 83.27 earthquake risk.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index · Narrative reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Preparedness Guide

What to Prepare for in Ashley County

Top Hazards by Exposure

  1. #1
    EarthquakePrepare
    83th percentile
  2. #2
    TornadoPrepare
    73th percentile
  3. #3
    HurricanePrepare
    65th percentile

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.19.0 · Percentiles are national (3,144 counties)

Risk Advisory: Ashley County

Risk Verdict

At the 54th percentile nationally, Ashley County experiences a manageable level of natural hazard risk that falls below the U.S. median. Ashley County's risk profile calls for targeted preparedness, focusing on the hazard categories that dominate the county's score.

Hazard Breakdown

Earthquake risk is Ashley County's dominant natural hazard, ranked at the 83th percentile nationally under FEMA's National Risk Index. Tornado ranks second at the 73th percentile nationally. Additional tracked hazards include hurricane (65th percentile), flood (54th percentile), wildfire (32th percentile).

Preparedness Context

Ashley County's primary hazard, earthquake, ranks at the 83th percentile nationally. Unreinforced masonry structures carry the highest injury risk during seismic events; residents in older buildings should check with their municipality about available seismic retrofit programs. Tornado at the 73th percentile nationally is a separate hazard dimension for Ashley County that requires different protective strategies from earthquake preparedness. After a major earthquake, Ashley County residents should expect water service disruption for 24 to 72 or more hours. Storing a minimum of one gallon per person per day for three days — before any event — is the most direct preparedness action households can take.

Regional Context

At 1.6 points from the Arkansas county mean, Ashley County's overall disaster risk profile is close to typical for this state, with no dramatic deviation in either direction.

Is your household prepared for Ashley County's hazards?

Review FEMA's county-specific preparedness checklists and emergency planning guides.

FEMA Ready Guide →

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the natural disaster risk in Ashley County, AR?
Ashley County has a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Relatively Low, placing it in the 54th percentile nationally out of 3,144 counties. This composite score reflects the county's overall exposure to natural hazards including floods, wildfires, tornadoes, earthquakes, and hurricanes, weighted by expected annual loss and social vulnerability.
What types of natural hazards affect Ashley County?
Ashley County is evaluated for five major natural hazard types: earthquake (83th percentile), tornado (73th percentile), hurricane (65th percentile), flooding (54th percentile), wildfire (32th percentile). The highest-risk hazard is earthquake at the 83th percentile nationally. These scores are derived from FEMA's National Risk Index, which analyzes expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience for each hazard type.
How does Ashley County risk compare to the Arkansas average?
Ashley County's composite risk percentile is 54th, compared to the Arkansas state average of 56th percentile. The state's overall risk rating is Relatively Low. This means Ashley County faces lower natural disaster risk than the typical county in Arkansas.
Is Ashley County at risk for earthquake?
Yes, Ashley County's earthquake risk is at the 83th percentile nationally. This places it in the top quartile for this hazard type. For flooding specifically, Ashley County is at the 54th percentile.
How is natural disaster risk measured?
FEMA's National Risk Index (NRI) calculates risk scores for 18 natural hazard types across all U.S. counties and census tracts. The composite score combines Expected Annual Loss (estimated dollar losses from each hazard), Social Vulnerability (demographic factors affecting disaster impact), and Community Resilience (ability to recover). Percentile scores rank each county against all 3,144 U.S. counties, and risk ratings range from Very Low to Very High.
Is Ashley County a safe place to live?
Ashley County's composite risk score of 54th percentile is below the Arkansas state average of 56th percentile, indicating relatively lower exposure to natural hazards. However, no county is completely risk-free. The primary hazard type is earthquake at the 83th percentile. Residents should still maintain emergency preparedness plans and appropriate insurance coverage.
By Evan Brooks, Data EditorUpdated Reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Data Source

Risk data sourced from the FEMA National Risk Index (NRI). Risk scores are relative rankings (0–100) across all US counties — not absolute risk measures. Higher scores indicate higher relative risk compared to other counties.

Disclaimer: This data is informational only. It is not financial, insurance, or legal advice. Always consult a qualified professional before making insurance or real estate decisions.