riskbycounty
FEMA NRI 1.19.0Updated Nov 2023 · Coverage 2014–2023Methodology

Hot Spring County Disaster Risk

Hot Spring County, Arkansas

FEMA Risk Rating

Relatively Low

National Percentile

56th

of 3,144 counties

State Rank

#37

of 75 (1 = highest risk)

Flood Risk

59th

percentile

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Flood

River, coastal, and surface flooding risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 59% of US counties

Wildfire

Wildland and wildland-urban interface fire risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 55% of US counties

Tornado

Tornado and severe thunderstorm risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 68% of US counties

Earthquake

Seismic activity and ground shaking risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 76% of US counties

Hurricane

Tropical cyclone and hurricane risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 53% of US counties

Risk Overview

About Natural Disaster Risk in Hot Spring County, Arkansas

Hot Spring County matches national risk averages

Hot Spring County's composite risk score of 55.53 places it right at Arkansas's state average of 55.51, earning a Relatively Low national rating. This near-perfect state-average alignment reflects balanced multi-hazard exposure typical of mid-Arkansas counties.

Quintessential Arkansas risk profile

At 55.53, Hot Spring County is virtually indistinguishable from Arkansas's state average, making it a representative county for understanding regional disaster vulnerability. Its position reflects neither unusual protection nor exceptional hazard concentration.

Moderate risk balanced among peer counties

Hot Spring County's score of 55.53 sits comfortably in the middle of its regional peer group, above Grant County (15.71) and Howard County (48.51) but well below Garland County (89.31). This balance makes it representative of southwestern Arkansas conditions.

Tornadoes pose greatest immediate threat

Tornado risk at 68.26 represents Hot Spring County's most pressing hazard, while earthquake exposure at 76.49 creates a secondary structural concern. Flood risk at 58.62 and wildfire risk at 55.25 round out a genuinely balanced multi-hazard environment.

Balanced coverage approach works best here

Hot Spring County's moderate, balanced risk profile means standard homeowner's insurance with good wind coverage provides solid baseline protection. Consider flood insurance if your property sits in a designated flood zone, and ensure your policy's deductibles and coverage limits align with your home's replacement cost.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index · Narrative reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Preparedness Guide

What to Prepare for in Hot Spring County

Top Hazards by Exposure

  1. #1
    EarthquakePrepare
    76th percentile
  2. #2
    TornadoPrepare
    68th percentile
  3. #3
    FloodPrepare
    59th percentile

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.19.0 · Percentiles are national (3,144 counties)

Risk Advisory: Hot Spring County

Risk Verdict

At the 56th percentile nationally, Hot Spring County experiences a manageable level of natural hazard risk that falls below the U.S. median. Hot Spring County's risk profile calls for targeted preparedness, focusing on the hazard categories that dominate the county's score.

Hazard Breakdown

Earthquake risk is Hot Spring County's dominant natural hazard, ranked at the 76th percentile nationally under FEMA's National Risk Index. Tornado ranks second at the 68th percentile nationally. Additional tracked hazards include flood (59th percentile), wildfire (55th percentile), hurricane (53th percentile).

Preparedness Context

Hot Spring County's primary hazard, earthquake, ranks at the 76th percentile nationally. Unreinforced masonry structures carry the highest injury risk during seismic events; residents in older buildings should check with their municipality about available seismic retrofit programs. The county's tornado risk at the 68th percentile nationally is a seasonal consideration alongside the year-round earthquake threat, requiring awareness of both hazard types. After a major earthquake, Hot Spring County residents should expect water service disruption for 24 to 72 or more hours. Storing a minimum of one gallon per person per day for three days — before any event — is the most direct preparedness action households can take.

Regional Context

At 0.0 points from the Arkansas county mean, Hot Spring County's overall disaster risk profile is close to typical for this state, with no dramatic deviation in either direction.

Is your household prepared for Hot Spring County's hazards?

Review FEMA's county-specific preparedness checklists and emergency planning guides.

FEMA Ready Guide →

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the natural disaster risk in Hot Spring County, AR?
Hot Spring County has a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Relatively Low, placing it in the 56th percentile nationally out of 3,144 counties. This composite score reflects the county's overall exposure to natural hazards including floods, wildfires, tornadoes, earthquakes, and hurricanes, weighted by expected annual loss and social vulnerability.
What types of natural hazards affect Hot Spring County?
Hot Spring County is evaluated for five major natural hazard types: earthquake (76th percentile), tornado (68th percentile), flooding (59th percentile), wildfire (55th percentile), hurricane (53th percentile). The highest-risk hazard is earthquake at the 76th percentile nationally. These scores are derived from FEMA's National Risk Index, which analyzes expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience for each hazard type.
How does Hot Spring County risk compare to the Arkansas average?
Hot Spring County's composite risk percentile is 56th, compared to the Arkansas state average of 56th percentile. The state's overall risk rating is Relatively Low. This means Hot Spring County faces higher natural disaster risk than the typical county in Arkansas.
Is Hot Spring County at risk for earthquake?
Yes, Hot Spring County's earthquake risk is at the 76th percentile nationally. This places it in the top quartile for this hazard type. For flooding specifically, Hot Spring County is at the 59th percentile.
How is natural disaster risk measured?
FEMA's National Risk Index (NRI) calculates risk scores for 18 natural hazard types across all U.S. counties and census tracts. The composite score combines Expected Annual Loss (estimated dollar losses from each hazard), Social Vulnerability (demographic factors affecting disaster impact), and Community Resilience (ability to recover). Percentile scores rank each county against all 3,144 U.S. counties, and risk ratings range from Very Low to Very High.
Why is Hot Spring County higher risk than average?
Hot Spring County's composite risk score of 56th percentile is above the Arkansas state average of 56th percentile. This elevated risk is driven by earthquake exposure (76th percentile), along with tornado and flooding and wildfire and hurricane risk. Geographic location, terrain, climate patterns, and proximity to flood zones or fault lines all influence a county's risk profile.
By Evan Brooks, Data EditorUpdated Reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Data Source

Risk data sourced from the FEMA National Risk Index (NRI). Risk scores are relative rankings (0–100) across all US counties — not absolute risk measures. Higher scores indicate higher relative risk compared to other counties.

Disclaimer: This data is informational only. It is not financial, insurance, or legal advice. Always consult a qualified professional before making insurance or real estate decisions.