riskbycounty
FEMA NRI 1.19.0Updated Nov 2023 · Coverage 2014–2023Methodology

Johnson County Disaster Risk

Johnson County, Arkansas

FEMA Risk Rating

Relatively Low

National Percentile

58th

of 3,144 counties

State Rank

#35

of 75 (1 = highest risk)

Flood Risk

62th

percentile

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Flood

River, coastal, and surface flooding risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 62% of US counties

Wildfire

Wildland and wildland-urban interface fire risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 67% of US counties

Tornado

Tornado and severe thunderstorm risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 79% of US counties

Earthquake

Seismic activity and ground shaking risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 69% of US counties

Hurricane

Tropical cyclone and hurricane risk

Very Low

Higher than 36% of US counties

Risk Overview

About Natural Disaster Risk in Johnson County, Arkansas

Johnson stays below state average

Johnson County's composite risk score of 58.14 rates as Relatively Low and sits just slightly above Arkansas's state average of 55.51. The county's risk profile is more balanced than neighbors, with no single hazard reaching extreme levels.

Mid-tier risk among Arkansas counties

Johnson County ranks in the middle range of Arkansas's 75 counties for overall disaster vulnerability. While it experiences elevated wildfire and tornado risks, it avoids the extreme earthquake exposure that plagues eastern counties.

Similar to Izard, safer than Jefferson

Johnson's 58.14 score closely matches Izard County's 53.09, while both rank well below Jackson County's 67.84 and far below Jefferson's dangerous 85.18. The two counties share comparable tornado and earthquake profiles across the region.

Wildfire and tornado risks lead

Johnson County faces wildfire risk at 67.40—among the state's highest—and tornado risk at 78.91. These two hazards drive the county's overall moderate risk profile.

Prioritize wildfire and storm coverage

Wildfire insurance is essential for Johnson County homeowners given the 67.40 risk score, especially if you live near forested areas. Add windstorm coverage to address the 78.91 tornado risk that exceeds most state averages.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index · Narrative reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Preparedness Guide

What to Prepare for in Johnson County

Top Hazards by Exposure

  1. #1
    TornadoPrepare
    79th percentile
  2. #2
    EarthquakePrepare
    69th percentile
  3. #3
    WildfirePrepare
    67th percentile

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.19.0 · Percentiles are national (3,144 counties)

Risk Advisory: Johnson County

Risk Verdict

Natural hazard pressure in Johnson County is below the national midpoint, with a composite score at the 58th percentile. Proactive emergency planning and awareness of the specific hazards driving Johnson County's score can meaningfully reduce household risk.

Hazard Breakdown

Tornado risk is Johnson County's dominant natural hazard, ranked at the 79th percentile nationally under FEMA's National Risk Index. Earthquake ranks second at the 69th percentile nationally. Additional tracked hazards include wildfire (67th percentile), flood (62th percentile), hurricane (36th percentile).

Preparedness Context

With tornado ranked at the 79th percentile nationally, Johnson County sits in a high-exposure zone where the difference between outcomes often comes down to proximity to a reinforced interior shelter and seconds of warning time. Alongside tornado exposure, earthquake at the 69th percentile nationally means Johnson County households face multi-hazard severe-weather seasons that benefit from a single integrated emergency plan covering both threats. For Johnson County households, safe rooms certified to FEMA 320/361 standards offer the highest protection during a direct tornado hit; households without a safe room should locate the innermost lowest-floor room in their building and practice the route to it before storm season.

Regional Context

Johnson County's risk score is broadly comparable to the Arkansas county average, with a 2.6-point gap that places the county near the center of the state's hazard distribution.

Is your household prepared for Johnson County's hazards?

Review FEMA's county-specific preparedness checklists and emergency planning guides.

FEMA Ready Guide →

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the natural disaster risk in Johnson County, AR?
Johnson County has a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Relatively Low, placing it in the 58th percentile nationally out of 3,144 counties. This composite score reflects the county's overall exposure to natural hazards including floods, wildfires, tornadoes, earthquakes, and hurricanes, weighted by expected annual loss and social vulnerability.
What types of natural hazards affect Johnson County?
Johnson County is evaluated for five major natural hazard types: tornado (79th percentile), earthquake (69th percentile), wildfire (67th percentile), flooding (62th percentile), hurricane (36th percentile). The highest-risk hazard is tornado at the 79th percentile nationally. These scores are derived from FEMA's National Risk Index, which analyzes expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience for each hazard type.
How does Johnson County risk compare to the Arkansas average?
Johnson County's composite risk percentile is 58th, compared to the Arkansas state average of 56th percentile. The state's overall risk rating is Relatively Low. This means Johnson County faces higher natural disaster risk than the typical county in Arkansas.
Is Johnson County at risk for tornado?
Yes, Johnson County's tornado risk is at the 79th percentile nationally. This places it in the top quartile for this hazard type. For flooding specifically, Johnson County is at the 62th percentile.
How is natural disaster risk measured?
FEMA's National Risk Index (NRI) calculates risk scores for 18 natural hazard types across all U.S. counties and census tracts. The composite score combines Expected Annual Loss (estimated dollar losses from each hazard), Social Vulnerability (demographic factors affecting disaster impact), and Community Resilience (ability to recover). Percentile scores rank each county against all 3,144 U.S. counties, and risk ratings range from Very Low to Very High.
Why is Johnson County higher risk than average?
Johnson County's composite risk score of 58th percentile is above the Arkansas state average of 56th percentile. This elevated risk is driven by tornado exposure (79th percentile), along with earthquake and wildfire and flooding risk. Geographic location, terrain, climate patterns, and proximity to flood zones or fault lines all influence a county's risk profile.
By Evan Brooks, Data EditorUpdated Reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Data Source

Risk data sourced from the FEMA National Risk Index (NRI). Risk scores are relative rankings (0–100) across all US counties — not absolute risk measures. Higher scores indicate higher relative risk compared to other counties.

Disclaimer: This data is informational only. It is not financial, insurance, or legal advice. Always consult a qualified professional before making insurance or real estate decisions.