riskbycounty
FEMA NRI 1.19.0Updated Nov 2023 · Coverage 2014–2023Methodology

Lawrence County Disaster Risk

Lawrence County, Arkansas

FEMA Risk Rating

Relatively Low

National Percentile

68th

of 3,144 counties

State Rank

#25

of 75 (1 = highest risk)

Flood Risk

53th

percentile

Hazard Risk Breakdown

Flood

River, coastal, and surface flooding risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 53% of US counties

Wildfire

Wildland and wildland-urban interface fire risk

Very Low

Higher than 36% of US counties

Tornado

Tornado and severe thunderstorm risk

Moderate

Higher than 83% of US counties

Earthquake

Seismic activity and ground shaking risk

Moderate

Higher than 92% of US counties

Hurricane

Tropical cyclone and hurricane risk

Relatively Low

Higher than 50% of US counties

Risk Overview

About Natural Disaster Risk in Lawrence County, Arkansas

Lawrence's tornado and earthquake risks soar

Lawrence County's composite risk score of 67.88 rates as Relatively Low but masks acute concentration in tornadoes (83.46) and earthquakes (92.37). Both scores far exceed the state average of 55.51, reflecting serious regional vulnerability.

Top-tier threat in two major hazards

Lawrence County ranks among Arkansas's highest-risk counties, driven primarily by extreme tornado and earthquake exposure. The county's 83.46 tornado score and 92.37 earthquake score place it near the state's most vulnerable regions.

Nearly matches Jackson's extreme risks

Lawrence's 67.88 composite score closely parallels Jackson County's 67.84, and their earthquake risks are nearly identical (Lawrence 92.37 vs. Jackson 91.60). Lawrence's tornado score of 83.46 trails Jackson's 89.63 but still far exceeds most state peers.

Earthquakes and tornadoes reign supreme

Lawrence residents face earthquake risk at 92.37—second-highest in the state—and tornado risk at 83.46. Together, these two hazards define the county's high-risk profile.

Earthquake and windstorm insurance critical

Lawrence County homeowners absolutely need earthquake insurance given the 92.37 risk score. Add comprehensive windstorm coverage to your homeowners policy to protect against the county's dangerous 83.46 tornado exposure.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index · Narrative reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Preparedness Guide

What to Prepare for in Lawrence County

Top Hazards by Exposure

  1. #1
    EarthquakePrepare
    92th percentile
  2. #2
    TornadoPrepare
    83th percentile
  3. #3
    FloodPrepare
    53th percentile

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.19.0 · Percentiles are national (3,144 counties)

Risk Advisory: Lawrence County

Risk Verdict

Lawrence County has a below-average natural disaster risk profile, scoring at the 68th percentile nationally under FEMA's National Risk Index. Households in Lawrence County benefit from knowing which individual hazard types — flood, wildfire, tornado, or hurricane — are the primary contributors.

Hazard Breakdown

Earthquake risk is Lawrence County's dominant natural hazard, ranked at the 92th percentile nationally under FEMA's National Risk Index. Tornado ranks second at the 83th percentile nationally. Additional tracked hazards include flood (53th percentile), hurricane (50th percentile), wildfire (36th percentile).

Preparedness Context

Earthquake risk is Lawrence County's leading natural hazard, ranked at the 92th percentile nationally. Securing tall furniture, water heaters, and bookcases to walls with anti-tip hardware is among the simplest and most effective life-safety measures households can take. Tornado at the 83th percentile nationally is a separate hazard dimension for Lawrence County that requires different protective strategies from earthquake preparedness. Lawrence County residents should locate the main gas shutoff valve and keep an appropriate wrench nearby — gas leaks cause a significant share of earthquake-related injuries and fires, and the shutoff step is safe to take immediately after shaking stops.

Regional Context

Lawrence County's composite risk score sits 12.4 points above the Arkansas county average, placing it among the more hazard-exposed counties in the state.

Is your household prepared for Lawrence County's hazards?

Review FEMA's county-specific preparedness checklists and emergency planning guides.

FEMA Ready Guide →

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the natural disaster risk in Lawrence County, AR?
Lawrence County has a FEMA National Risk Index rating of Relatively Low, placing it in the 68th percentile nationally out of 3,144 counties. This composite score reflects the county's overall exposure to natural hazards including floods, wildfires, tornadoes, earthquakes, and hurricanes, weighted by expected annual loss and social vulnerability.
What types of natural hazards affect Lawrence County?
Lawrence County is evaluated for five major natural hazard types: earthquake (92th percentile), tornado (83th percentile), flooding (53th percentile), hurricane (50th percentile), wildfire (36th percentile). The highest-risk hazard is earthquake at the 92th percentile nationally. These scores are derived from FEMA's National Risk Index, which analyzes expected annual loss, social vulnerability, and community resilience for each hazard type.
How does Lawrence County risk compare to the Arkansas average?
Lawrence County's composite risk percentile is 68th, compared to the Arkansas state average of 56th percentile. The state's overall risk rating is Relatively Low. This means Lawrence County faces higher natural disaster risk than the typical county in Arkansas.
Is Lawrence County at risk for earthquake?
Yes, Lawrence County's earthquake risk is at the 92th percentile nationally. This places it in the top quartile for this hazard type. For flooding specifically, Lawrence County is at the 53th percentile.
How is natural disaster risk measured?
FEMA's National Risk Index (NRI) calculates risk scores for 18 natural hazard types across all U.S. counties and census tracts. The composite score combines Expected Annual Loss (estimated dollar losses from each hazard), Social Vulnerability (demographic factors affecting disaster impact), and Community Resilience (ability to recover). Percentile scores rank each county against all 3,144 U.S. counties, and risk ratings range from Very Low to Very High.
Why is Lawrence County higher risk than average?
Lawrence County's composite risk score of 68th percentile is above the Arkansas state average of 56th percentile. This elevated risk is driven by earthquake exposure (92th percentile), along with tornado and flooding and hurricane risk. Geographic location, terrain, climate patterns, and proximity to flood zones or fault lines all influence a county's risk profile.
By Evan Brooks, Data EditorUpdated Reviewed by Evan Brooks, Data Editor

Data Source

Risk data sourced from the FEMA National Risk Index (NRI). Risk scores are relative rankings (0–100) across all US counties — not absolute risk measures. Higher scores indicate higher relative risk compared to other counties.

Disclaimer: This data is informational only. It is not financial, insurance, or legal advice. Always consult a qualified professional before making insurance or real estate decisions.